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A new version of the US National Science Foundation National Center forAtmospheric Research (NSF NCAR) thermosphere-ionosphere-electrodynamicsgeneral circulation model (TIEGCM) has been developed and released. Thispaper describes the changes and improvements of the new version 3.0since its last major release (2.0) in 2016. These include: 1) increasingthe model resolution in both the horizontal and vertical dimensions, aswell as the ionospheric dynamo solver; 2) upward extension of the modelupper boundary to enable more accurate simulations of the topsideionosphere and neutral density in the lower exosphere; 3) improvedparameterization for thermal electron heating rate; 4) resolvingtransport of minor species N(2D); 5) treating helium as a major species;6) parameterization for additional physical processes, such as SAPS andelectrojet turbulent heating; 7) including parallel ion drag in theneutral momentum equation; 8) nudging of prognostic fields near thelower boundary from external data; 9) modification to the NO reactionrate and auroral heating rate; 10) outputs of diagnostic analysis termsof the equations; 11) new functionalities enabling model simulations ofcertain recurrent phenomena, such as solar flares and eclipse. Wepresent examples of the model validation during a moderate storm andcompare simulation results by turning on/off new functionalities todemonstrate the related new model capabilities. Furthermore, the modelis upgraded to comply with the new computer software environment at NSFNCAR for easy installation and run setup and with new visualizationtools. Finally, the model limitations and future development plans arediscussed.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available May 27, 2026
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Abstract Motivated by numerous lower atmosphere climate model hindcast simulations, we performed simulations of the Earth's atmosphere from the surface up through the thermosphere‐ionosphere to reveal for the first time the century scale changes in the upper atmosphere from the 1920s through the 2010s using the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model—eXtended (WACCM‐X v. 2.1). We impose solar minimum conditions to get a clear indication of the effects of the long‐term forcing from greenhouse gas increases and changes of the Earth's magnetic field and to avoid the requirement for careful removal of the 11‐year solar cycle as in some previous studies using observations and models. These previous studies have shown greenhouse gas effects in the upper atmosphere but what has been missing is the time evolution with actual greenhouse gas increases throughout the last century, including the period of less than 5% increase prior to the space age and the transition to the over 25% increase in the latter half of the 20th century. Neutral temperature, density, and ionosphere changes are close to those reported in previous studies. Also, we find high correlation between the continuous carbon dioxide rate of change over this past century and that of temperature in the thermosphere and the ionosphere, attributed to the shorter adjustment time of the upper atmosphere to greenhouse gas changes relative to the longer time in the lower atmosphere. Consequently, WACCM‐X future scenario projections can provide valuable insight in the entire atmosphere of future greenhouse gas effects and mitigation efforts.more » « less
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Abstract The Starlink satellites launched on 3 February 2022 were lost before they fully arrived in their designated orbits. The loss was attributed to two moderate geomagnetic storms that occurred consecutively on 3–4 February. We investigate the thermospheric neutral mass density variation during these storms with the Multiscale Atmosphere‐Geospace Environment (MAGE) model, a first‐principles, fully coupled geospace model. Simulated neutral density enhancements are validated by Swarm satellite measurements at the altitude of 400–500 km. Comparison with standalone TIEGCM and empirical NRLMSIS 2.0 and DTM‐2013 models suggests better performance by MAGE in predicting the maximum density enhancement and resolving the gradual recovery process. Along the Starlink satellite orbit in the middle thermosphere (∼200 km altitude), MAGE predicts up to 150% density enhancement near the second storm peak while standalone TIEGCM, NRLMSIS 2.0, and DTM‐2013 suggest only ∼50% increase. MAGE also suggests altitudinal, longitudinal, and latitudinal variability of storm‐time percentage density enhancement due to height dependent Joule heating deposition per unit mass, thermospheric circulation changes, and traveling atmospheric disturbances. This study demonstrates that a moderate storm can cause substantial density enhancement in the middle thermosphere. Thermospheric mass density strongly depends on the strength, timing, and location of high‐latitude energy input, which cannot be fully reproduced with empirical models. A physics‐based, fully coupled geospace model that can accurately resolve the high‐latitude energy input and its variability is critical to modeling the dynamic response of thermospheric neutral density during storm time.more » « less
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