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The last glacial period was punctuated by cold intervals in the North Atlantic region that culminated in extensive iceberg discharge events. These cold intervals, known as Heinrich Stadials, are associated with abrupt climate shifts worldwide. Here, we present CO₂measurements from the West Antarctic Ice Sheet Divide ice core across Heinrich Stadials 2 to 5 at decadal-scale resolution. Our results reveal multi-decadal-scale jumps in atmospheric CO₂concentrations within each Heinrich Stadial. The largest magnitude of change (14.0 ± 0.8 ppm within 55 ± 10 y) occurred during Heinrich Stadial 4. Abrupt rises in atmospheric CO₂are concurrent with jumps in atmospheric CH₄and abrupt changes in the water isotopologs in multiple Antarctic ice cores, the latter of which suggest rapid warming of both Antarctica and Southern Ocean vapor source regions. The synchroneity of these rapid shifts points to wind-driven upwelling of relatively warm, carbon-rich waters in the Southern Ocean, likely linked to a poleward intensification of the Southern Hemisphere westerly winds. Using an isotope-enabled atmospheric circulation model, we show that observed changes in Antarctic water isotopologs can be explained by abrupt and widespread Southern Ocean warming. Our work presents evidence for a multi-decadal- to century-scale response of the Southern Ocean to changes in atmospheric circulation, demonstrating the potential for dynamic changes in Southern Ocean biogeochemistry and circulation on human timescales. Furthermore, it suggests that anthropogenic CO₂uptake in the Southern Ocean may weaken with poleward strengthening westerlies today and into the future.

 

Abstract. During the early part of the last glacial termination (17.2–15 ka) and coincident with a ∼35 ppm rise in atmospheric CO2, a sharp 0.3‰–0.4‰ decline in atmospheric δ13CO2 occurred, potentially constraining the key processes that account for the early deglacial CO2 rise. A comparable δ13C decline has also been documented in numerous marine proxy records from surface and thermocline-dwelling planktic foraminifera. The δ13C decline recorded in planktic foraminifera has previously been attributed to the release of respired carbon from the deep ocean that was subsequently transported within the upper ocean to sites where the signal was recorded (and then ultimately transferred to the atmosphere). Benthic δ13C records from the global upper ocean, including a new record presented here from the tropical Pacific, also document this distinct early deglacial δ13C decline. Here we present modeling evidence to show that rather than respired carbon from the deep ocean propagating directly to the upper ocean prior to reaching the atmosphere, the carbon would have first upwelled to the surface in the Southern Ocean where it would have entered the atmosphere. In this way the transmission of isotopically light carbon to the global upper ocean was analogous to the ongoing ocean invasion of fossil fuel CO2. The model results suggest that thermocline waters throughout the ocean and 500–2000 m water depths were affected by this atmospheric bridge during the early deglaciation. 

The Southern Hemisphere westerly winds influence deep ocean circulation and carbon storage. While the westerlies are hypothesized to play a key role in regulating atmospheric CO₂over glacial‐interglacial cycles, past changes in their position and strength remain poorly constrained. Here, we use a compilation of planktic foraminiferal δ¹⁸O from across the Southern Ocean and emergent relationships within an ensemble of climate models to reconstruct changes in the Southern Hemisphere surface westerlies over the last deglaciation. We infer a 4.8° (2.9–7.1°, 95% confidence interval) equatorward shift and about a 25% weakening of the westerlies during the Last Glacial Maximum (20 ka) relative to the mid‐Holocene (6.5 ka). Climate models from the Palaeoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project substantially underestimate this inferred equatorward wind shift. According to our reconstruction, the poleward shift in the westerlies over deglaciation closely mirrors the rise in atmospheric CO₂(R² = 0.98). Experiments with a 0.25° resolution ocean‐sea‐ice‐carbon model suggest that shifting the westerlies equatorward reduces the overturning rate of the ocean below 2 km depth, leading to a suppression of CO₂outgassing from the polar Southern Ocean. Our results support a role for the westerly winds in driving the deglacial CO₂rise, and suggest outgassing of natural CO₂from the Southern Ocean is likely to increase as the westerlies shift poleward due to anthropogenic warming.

 

Abstract. The penultimate deglaciation (PDG, ∼138–128 thousand years before present, hereafter ka) is the transition fromthe penultimate glacial maximum (PGM)to the Last Interglacial (LIG, ∼129–116 ka).The LIG stands out as one of the warmest interglacials of the last 800 000 years (hereafter kyr),with high-latitude temperature warmer than today and global sea level likely higher by at least 6 m.Considering the transient nature of the Earth system,the LIG climate and ice-sheet evolution were certainly influenced by the changesoccurring during the penultimate deglaciation.It is thus importantto investigate, with coupled atmosphere–ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs),the climate and environmental response to the large changesin boundary conditions(i.e. orbital configuration, atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations, ice-sheet geometry and associated meltwater fluxes) occurring during the penultimate deglaciation. A deglaciation working group has recently been set up as part of the Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project (PMIP) phase 4, with a protocolto perform transient simulations of the last deglaciation (19–11 ka; although the protocol covers 26–0 ka).Similar to the last deglaciation, the disintegration of continental ice sheets during the penultimate deglaciation led to significant changesin the oceanic circulation during Heinrich Stadial 11 (∼136–129 ka).However, the two deglaciations bear significant differences in magnitude and temporal evolution of climate and environmental changes. Here, as part of the Past Global Changes (PAGES)-PMIP working group on Quaternary interglacials (QUIGS), we propose a protocol to perform transient simulations of the penultimate deglaciationunder the auspices of PMIP4.This design includes time-varying changes in orbital forcing, greenhouse gas concentrations, continental ice sheets as well as freshwater input from the disintegration ofcontinental ice sheets.This experiment is designed for AOGCMs to assessthe coupled response of the climate system to all forcings.Additional sensitivity experiments are proposed to evaluate the response to each forcing.Finally, a selection of paleo-records representing different parts of the climate system is presented, providing an appropriatebenchmark for upcoming model–data comparisons across the penultimate deglaciation.