skip to main content
US FlagAn official website of the United States government
dot gov icon
Official websites use .gov
A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.
https lock icon
Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock ( lock ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites.


Search for: All records

Creators/Authors contains: "Nichols, Cody"

Note: When clicking on a Digital Object Identifier (DOI) number, you will be taken to an external site maintained by the publisher. Some full text articles may not yet be available without a charge during the embargo (administrative interval).
What is a DOI Number?

Some links on this page may take you to non-federal websites. Their policies may differ from this site.

  1. Large-scale solar promises a low-carbon energy alternative. However, solar production in North America given anticipated climate change has been studied only seasonally in terms of solar irradiance. This work integrates more of the predictive potential of climate-change models by exploring other environmental variables, such as humidity and temperature. Here, a Continental US (CONUS) model is produced by deep learning using 2593 NREL simulated solar power stations. Daily forecasts using 17 Global Climate Models (GCM’s) through 2099 are summarized monthly. Results suggest power production factors change between +4 % and 􀀀 19 % over 93 years. These results suggest more, but still modest, potential declines than previous solar irradiance-based studies. The modest impact is encouraging. For some areas, climate model variability unfortunately yielded statistically insignificant trends and practical application is less clear. For future evaluations, this work suggests the potential importance of additional variables, monthly interval summary, and accounting for model variability. 
    more » « less
    Free, publicly-accessible full text available August 1, 2026