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Creators/Authors contains: "Parrenin, Frédéric"

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  1. Abstract The fate of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS)1is the largest cause of uncertainty in long-term sea-level projections. In the last interglacial (LIG) around 125,000 years ago, data suggest that sea level was several metres higher than today2–4, and required a significant contribution from Antarctic ice loss, with WAIS usually implicated. Antarctica and the Southern Ocean were warmer than today5–8, by amounts comparable to those expected by 2100 under moderate to high future warming scenarios. However, direct evidence about the size of WAIS in the LIG is sparse. Here we use sea salt data from an ice core from Skytrain Ice Rise, adjacent to WAIS, to show that, during most of the LIG, the Ronne Ice Shelf was still in place, and close to its current extent. Water isotope data are consistent with a retreat of WAIS9, but seem inconsistent with more dramatic model realizations10in which both WAIS and the large Antarctic ice shelves were lost. This new constraint calls for a reappraisal of other elements of the LIG sea-level budget. It also weakens the observational basis that motivated model simulations projecting the highest end of projections for future rates of sea-level rise to 2300 and beyond. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available January 29, 2026
  2. Radio-echo sounding (RES) has revealed an internal architecture within both the West and East Antarctic ice sheets that records their depositional, deformational and melting histories. Crucially, RES-imaged internal-reflecting horizons, tied to ice-core age–depth profiles, can be treated as isochrones that record the age–depth structure across the Antarctic ice sheets. These enable the reconstruction of past climate and ice dynamical processes on large scales, which are complementary to but more spatially extensive than commonly used proxy records (e.g. former ice limits constrained by cosmogenic dating or offshore sediment sequences) around Antarctica. We review the progress towards building a pan-Antarctic age–depth model from these data by first introducing the relevant RES datasets that have been acquired across Antarctica over the last 6 decades (focussing specifically on those that detected internal-reflecting horizons) and outlining the processing steps typically undertaken to visualise, trace and date (by intersection with ice cores or modelling) the RES-imaged isochrones. We summarise the scientific applications for which Antarctica's internal architecture has been used to date and present a pathway to expanding Antarctic radiostratigraphy across the continent to provide a benchmark for a wider range of investigations: (1) identification of optimal sites for retrieving new ice-core palaeoclimate records targeting different periods; (2) reconstruction of surface mass balance on millennial or historical timescales; (3) estimation of basal melting and geothermal heat flux from radiostratigraphy and comprehensive mapping of basal-ice units to complement inferences from other geophysical and geological methods; (4) advancement of the knowledge of volcanic activity and fallout across Antarctica; and (5) refinement of numerical models that leverage radiostratigraphy to tune time-varying accumulation, basal melting and ice flow, firstly to reconstruct past behaviour and then to reduce uncertainties in projecting future ice-sheet behaviour. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available October 20, 2026
  3. Abstract. The last deglaciation, which occurred from 18 000 to 11 000 years ago,is the most recent large natural climatic variation of global extent. Withaccurately dated paleoclimate records, we can investigate the timings ofrelated variables in the climate system during this major transition. Here,we use an accurate relative chronology to compare temperature proxy data andglobal atmospheric CO2 as recorded in Antarctic ice cores. In addition tofive regional records, we compare a δ18O stack, representingAntarctic climate variations with the high-resolution robustly dated WAISDivide CO2 record (West Antarctic Ice Sheet). We assess the CO2 and Antarctic temperature phaserelationship using a stochastic method to accurately identify the probabletimings of changes in their trends. Four coherent changes are identified forthe two series, and synchrony between CO2 and temperature is within the95 % uncertainty range for all of the changes except the end of glacial termination 1 (T1). During the onset of the last deglaciation at 18 ka and the deglaciationend at 11.5 ka, Antarctic temperature most likely led CO2 by several centuries (by 570 years, within a range of 127 to 751 years, 68 %probability, at the T1 onset; and by 532 years, within a range of 337 to 629years, 68 % probability, at the deglaciation end). At 14.4 ka, the onsetof the Antarctic Cold Reversal (ACR) period, our results do not show a clearlead or lag (Antarctic temperature leads by 50 years, within a range of−137 to 376 years, 68 % probability). The same is true at the end of the ACR(CO2 leads by 65 years, within a range of 211 to 117 years, 68 %probability). However, the timings of changes in trends for the individualproxy records show variations from the stack, indicating regional differencesin the pattern of temperature change, particularly in the WAIS Divide recordat the onset of the deglaciation; the Dome Fuji record at the deglaciationend; and the EDML record after 16 ka (EPICA Dronning Maud Land, where EPICA is the European Project for Ice Coring in Antarctica). In addition, two changes – one at 16 ka in the CO2 record and one after the ACR onset in three of theisotopic temperature records – do not have high-probability counterparts in the other record. The likely-variable phasing we identify testify to thecomplex nature of the mechanisms driving the carbon cycle and Antarctictemperature during the deglaciation. 
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  4. null (Ed.)
    Abstract. In 2013 an ice core was recovered from Roosevelt Island, an ice dome between two submarine troughs carved by paleo-ice-streams in the Ross Sea, Antarctica. The ice core is part of the Roosevelt Island Climate Evolution (RICE) project and provides new information about the past configuration of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) and its retreat during the last deglaciation. In this work we present the RICE17 chronology, which establishes the depth–age relationship for the top 754 m of the 763 m core. RICE17 is a composite chronology combining annual layer interpretations for 0–343 m (Winstrup et al., 2019) with new estimates for gas and ice ages based on synchronization of CH4 and δ18Oatm records to corresponding records from the WAIS Divide ice core and by modeling of the gas age–ice age difference. Novel aspects of this work include the following: (1) an automated algorithm for multiproxy stratigraphic synchronization of high-resolution gas records; (2) synchronization using centennial-scale variations in methane for pre-anthropogenic time periods (60–720 m, 1971 CE to 30 ka), a strategy applicable for future ice cores; and (3) the observation of a continuous climate record back to ∼65 ka providing evidence that the Roosevelt Island Ice Dome was a constant feature throughout the last glacial period. 
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  5. null (Ed.)
    Abstract. The last glacial period is characterized by a number of millennial climateevents that have been identified in both Greenland and Antarctic ice coresand that are abrupt in Greenland climate records. The mechanisms governingthis climate variability remain a puzzle that requires a precisesynchronization of ice cores from the two hemispheres to be resolved.Previously, Greenland and Antarctic ice cores have been synchronizedprimarily via their common records of gas concentrations or isotopes fromthe trapped air and via cosmogenic isotopes measured on the ice. In thiswork, we apply ice core volcanic proxies and annual layer counting toidentify large volcanic eruptions that have left a signature in bothGreenland and Antarctica. Generally, no tephra is associated with thoseeruptions in the ice cores, so the source of the eruptions cannot beidentified. Instead, we identify and match sequences of volcanic eruptionswith bipolar distribution of sulfate, i.e. unique patterns of volcanicevents separated by the same number of years at the two poles. Using thisapproach, we pinpoint 82 large bipolar volcanic eruptions throughout thesecond half of the last glacial period (12–60 ka). Thisimproved ice core synchronization is applied to determine the bipolarphasing of abrupt climate change events at decadal-scale precision. Inresponse to Greenland abrupt climatic transitions, we find a response in theAntarctic water isotope signals (δ18O and deuterium excess)that is both more immediate and more abrupt than that found with previousgas-based interpolar synchronizations, providing additional support for ourvolcanic framework. On average, the Antarctic bipolar seesaw climateresponse lags the midpoint of Greenland abrupt δ18O transitionsby 122±24 years. The time difference between Antarctic signals indeuterium excess and δ18O, which likewise informs the timeneeded to propagate the signal as described by the theory of the bipolarseesaw but is less sensitive to synchronization errors, suggests anAntarctic δ18O lag behind Greenland of 152±37 years.These estimates are shorter than the 200 years suggested by earliergas-based synchronizations. As before, we find variations in the timing andduration between the response at different sites and for different eventssuggesting an interaction of oceanic and atmospheric teleconnection patternsas well as internal climate variability. 
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