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Creators/Authors contains: "Pedatella, Nicholas"

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  1. Using the high-rate phase and amplitude scintillation data from FORMOSA7/COSMIC two mission and back-propagation method, we geolocate plasma irregularities that cause scintillations. The results of geolocation are compared with the NASA GOLD UV image data of plasma bubbles. The root mean square of the zonal difference between estimated locations of plasma irregularities and plasma bubbles are about 1.5° and for single intersection cases 0.5° in the magnetic longitude. The geolocation data provide more accurate scintillation location around the globe compared to assigning to the tangent point and is valuable space weather product, which will be routinely available for public use. 
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  2. This study explores the meteorological source and vertical propagation of gravity waves (GWs) that drive daytime traveling ionospheric disturbances (TIDs), using the specified dynamics version of the SD-WACCM-X (Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model with thermosphere-ionosphere eXtension) and the SAMI3 (Sami3 is Also a Model of the Ionosphere) simulations driven by SD-WACCM-X neutral wind and composition. A cold weather front moved over the northern-central USA (90–100°W, 35–45°N) during the daytime of 20 October 2020, with strong upward airflow. GWs with ~500–700 km horizontal wavelengths propagated southward and northward in the thermosphere over the north-central USA. Also, the perturbations were coherent from the surface to the thermosphere; therefore, the GWs were likely generated by vertical acceleration associated with the cold front over Minnesota and South Dakota. The convectively generated GWs had almost infinite vertical wavelength below ~100 km due to being evanescent. This implies that the GWs tunneled through their evanescent region in the middle atmosphere (where a squared vertical wavenumber is equal to or smaller than 0) and became freely propagating in the thermosphere and ionosphere. Medium-scale TIDs (MSTIDs) also propagated southward with the GWs, suggesting that the convectively generated GWs created MSTIDs. 
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  3. Abstract On 3 February 2022, at 18:13 UTC, SpaceX launched and a short time later deployed 49 Starlink satellites at an orbit altitude between 210 and 320 km. The satellites were meant to be further raised to 550 km. However, the deployment took place during the main phase of a moderate geomagnetic storm, and another moderate storm occurred on the next day. The resulting increase in atmospheric drag led to 38 out of the 49 satellites reentering the atmosphere in the following days. In this work, we use both observations and simulations to perform a detailed investigation of the thermospheric conditions during this storm. Observations at higher altitudes, by Swarm‐A (∼438 km, 09/21 Local Time [LT]) and the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment Follow‐On (∼505 km, 06/18 LT) missions show that during the main phase of the storms the neutral mass density increased by 110% and 120%, respectively. The storm‐time enhancement extended to middle and low latitudes and was stronger in the northern hemisphere. To further investigate the thermospheric variations, we used six empirical and first‐principle numerical models. We found the models captured the upper and lower thermosphere changes, however, their simulated density enhancements differ by up to 70%. Further, the models showed that at the low orbital altitudes of the Starlink satellites (i.e., 200–300 km) the global averaged storm‐time density enhancement reached up to ∼35%–60%. Although such storm effects are far from the largest, they seem to be responsible for the reentry of the 38 satellites. 
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  4. Variability in the ionosphere during the 2020–2021 sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) is investigated using a combination of Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere, and Climate-2 (COSMIC-2) observations and the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model with thermosphere–ionosphere eXtension (WACCM-X) simulations. The unprecedented spatial–temporal sampling of the low latitude ionosphere afforded by COSMIC-2 enables investigating the short-term (<5 days) variability in the ionosphere during the SSW event. The COSMIC-2 observations reveal a reduction in the diurnal and zonal mean ionosphere total electron content (ITEC) and reduced amplitude of the diurnal variation in the ionosphere during the SSW. Enhanced ITEC amplitudes of the semidiurnal solar and lunar migrating tides and the westward propagating semidiurnal tide with zonal wavenumber 3 are also observed. The WACCM-X simulations demonstrate that these variations are driven by variability in the stratosphere–mesosphere during the 2020–2021 SSW event. The results show the impact of the 2020–2021 SSW on the mean state, diurnal, and semidiurnal variations in the ionosphere, as well as the capabilities of the COSMIC-2 mission to observe short-term variability in the ionosphere that is driven by meteorological variability in the lower atmosphere. 
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  5. The mesospheric polar vortex (MPV) plays a critical role in coupling the atmosphere-ionosphere system, so its accurate simulation is imperative for robust predictions of the thermosphere and ionosphere. While the stratospheric polar vortex is widely understood and characterized, the mesospheric polar vortex is much less well-known and observed, a short-coming that must be addressed to improve predictability of the ionosphere. The winter MPV facilitates top-down coupling via the communication of high energy particle precipitation effects from the thermosphere down to the stratosphere, though the details of this mechanism are poorly understood. Coupling from the bottom-up involves gravity waves (GWs), planetary waves (PWs), and tidal interactions that are distinctly different and important during weak vs. strong vortex states, and yet remain poorly understood as well. Moreover, generation and modulation of GWs by the large wind shears at the vortex edge contribute to the generation of traveling atmospheric disturbances and traveling ionospheric disturbances. Unfortunately, representation of the MPV is generally not accurate in state-of-the-art general circulation models, even when compared to the limited observational data available. Models substantially underestimate eastward momentum at the top of the MPV, which limits the ability to predict upward effects in the thermosphere. The zonal wind bias responsible for this missing momentum in models has been attributed to deficiencies in the treatment of GWs and to an inaccurate representation of the high-latitude dynamics. In the coming decade, simulations of the MPV must be improved. 
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  6. Abstract. The Andenes specular meteor radar shows meteor trail diffusion rates increasing on average byabout 10 % at times and locations where a lidar observes noctilucentclouds (NLCs). This high-latitude effect has been attributed to the presenceof charged NLC after exploring possible contributions from thermal tides. Tomake this claim, the current study evaluates data from three stations athigh, middle, and low latitudes for the years 2012 to 2016 to show that NLCinfluence on the meteor trail diffusion is independent of thermal tides. Theobservations also show that the meteor trail diffusion enhancement during NLCcover exists only at high latitudes and near the peaks of NLC layers. Thispaper discusses a number of possible explanations for changes in the regionswith NLCs and leans towards the hypothesis that the relative abundance ofbackground electron density plays the leading role. A more accurate model ofthe meteor trail diffusion around NLC particles would help researchersdetermine mesospheric temperature and neutral density profiles from meteorradars at high latitudes. 
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  7. Abstract Sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) are impressive fluid dynamical events in which large and rapid temperature increases in the winter polar stratosphere (∼10–50 km) are associated with a complete reversal of the climatological wintertime westerly winds. SSWs are caused by the breaking of planetary‐scale waves that propagate upwards from the troposphere. During an SSW, the polar vortex breaks down, accompanied by rapid descent and warming of air in polar latitudes, mirrored by ascent and cooling above the warming. The rapid warming and descent of the polar air column affect tropospheric weather, shifting jet streams, storm tracks, and the Northern Annular Mode, making cold air outbreaks over North America and Eurasia more likely. SSWs affect the atmosphere above the stratosphere, producing widespread effects on atmospheric chemistry, temperatures, winds, neutral (nonionized) particles and electron densities, and electric fields. These effects span both hemispheres. Given their crucial role in the whole atmosphere, SSWs are also seen as a key process to analyze in climate change studies and subseasonal to seasonal prediction. This work reviews the current knowledge on the most important aspects of SSWs, from the historical background to dynamical processes, modeling, chemistry, and impact on other atmospheric layers. 
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