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ABSTRACT The variability induced by precipitable water vapour (PWV) can heavily affect the accuracy of time-series photometric measurements gathered from the ground, especially in the near-infrared. We present here a novel method of modelling and mitigating this variability, as well as open-sourcing the developed tool – Umbrella. In this study, we evaluate the extent to which the photometry in three common bandpasses (r′, i′, z′), and SPECULOOS’ primary bandpass (I + z′), are photometrically affected by PWV variability. In this selection of bandpasses, the I + z′ bandpass was found to be most sensitive to PWV variability, followed by z′, i′, and r′. The correction was evaluated on global light curves of nearby late M- and L-type stars observed by SPECULOOS’ Southern Observatory (SSO) with the I + z′ bandpass, using PWV measurements from the LHATPRO and local temperature/humidity sensors. A median reduction in RMS of 1.1 per cent was observed for variability shorter than the expected transit duration for SSO’s targets. On timescales longer than the expected transit duration, where long-term variability may be induced, a median reduction in RMS of 53.8 per cent was observed for the same method of correction. 

ABSTRACT A new generation of observatories is enabling detailed study of exoplanetary atmospheres and the diversity of alien climates, allowing us to seek evidence for extraterrestrial biological and geological processes. Now is therefore the time to identify the most unique planets to be characterized with these instruments. In this context, we report on the discovery and validation of TOI-715 b, a $$R_{\rm b}=1.55\pm 0.06\rm R_{\oplus }$$ planet orbiting its nearby (42 pc) M4 host (TOI-715/TIC 271971130) with a period $$P_{\rm b} = 19.288004_{-0.000024}^{+0.000027}$$ d. TOI-715 b was first identified by TESS and validated using ground-based photometry, high-resolution imaging and statistical validation. The planet’s orbital period combined with the stellar effective temperature $$T_{\rm eff}=3075\pm 75~\rm K$$ give this planet an installation $$S_{\rm b} = 0.67_{-0.20}^{+0.15}~\rm S_\oplus$$, placing it within the most conservative definitions of the habitable zone for rocky planets. TOI-715 b’s radius falls exactly between two measured locations of the M-dwarf radius valley; characterizing its mass and composition will help understand the true nature of the radius valley for low-mass stars. We demonstrate TOI-715 b is amenable for characterization using precise radial velocities and transmission spectroscopy. Additionally, we reveal a second candidate planet in the system, TIC 271971130.02, with a potential orbital period of $$P_{02} = 25.60712_{-0.00036}^{+0.00031}$$ d and a radius of $$R_{02} = 1.066\pm 0.092\, \rm R_{\oplus }$$, just inside the outer boundary of the habitable zone, and near a 4:3 orbital period commensurability. Should this second planet be confirmed, it would represent the smallest habitable zone planet discovered by TESS to date.