The boundary between the overriding and subducting plates is locked along some portions of the Cascadia subduction zone. The extent and location of locking affects the potential size and frequency of great earthquakes in the region. Because much of the boundary is offshore, measurements on land are incapable of completely defining a locked zone in the up‐dip region. Deformation models indicate that a record of seafloor height changes on the accretionary prism can reveal the extent of locking. To detect such changes, we have initiated a series of calibrated pressure measurements using an absolute self‐calibrating pressure recorder. A piston‐gauge calibrator under careful metrological considerations produces an absolutely known reference pressure to correct seafloor pressure observations to an absolute value. We report an accuracy of about 25 ppm of the water depth, or 0.02 kPa (0.2 cm equivalent) at 100 m to 0.8 kPa (8 cm equivalent) at 3,000 m. These campaign survey‐style absolute pressure measurements on seven offshore benchmarks in a line extending 100 km westward from Newport, Oregon from 2014 to 2017 establish a long‐term, sensor‐independent time series that can, over decades, reveal the extent of vertical deformation and thus the extent of plate locking and place initial limits on rates of subsidence or uplift. Continued surveys spanning years could serve as calibration values for co‐located or nearby continuous pressure records and provide useful information on possible crustal deformation rates, while epoch measurements spanning decades would provide further limits and additional insights on deformation.
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Abstract -
Nuyen, Carolyn P. ; Schmidt, David A. ( , Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems)
Abstract Long‐term slow slip events have been observed at several subduction zones around the globe, where they play an integral part in strain release along megathrust faults. Nevertheless, evidence for long‐term slow slip has remained elusive in the Cascadia subduction zone. Here we conduct a systematic analysis of 13 years of GNSS time series data from 2006 to 2019 and present evidence of at least one low‐amplitude long‐term slow slip event on the Cascadia subduction zone, with the possibility of others that are less resolved. Starting in mid‐2012, a 1.5‐year transient is observed in southern Cascadia, with a group of coastal GNSS stations moving ∼2 mm to the west. The data are modeled as a Mw 6.4 slow slip event occurring at 15–35 km depth on the plate interface, just updip of previously recognized short‐term slow slip and tremor. The event shares many characteristics with similar long‐term transient events on the Nankai subduction zone. However, the total fault slip amplitude is an order‐of‐magnitude smaller in Cascadia when compared to large events elsewhere, making long‐term slow slip detection challenging in Cascadia. While there are other westward long‐duration transients in the refined data set, the surface displacements are below the level of the noise or are limited spatially to a few neighboring stations, making interpretation unclear.
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Fredrickson, Erik K. ; Wilcock, William S. D. ; Schmidt, David A. ; MacCready, Parker ; Roland, Emily ; Kurapov, Alexander L. ; Zumberge, Mark A. ; Sasagawa, Glenn S. ( , Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth)