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            Abstract Analysis of virus-like particles (VLPs) is an essential task in optimizing their implementation as vaccine antigens for virus-initiated diseases. Interrogating VLP collections for elasticity by probing with a rigid atomic force microscopy (AFM) tip is a potential method for determining VLP morphological changes. During VLP morphological change, it is not expected that all VLPs would be in the same state. This leads to the open question of whether VLPs may change in a continuous or stepwise fashion. For continuous change, the statistical distribution of observed VLP properties would be expected as a single distribution, while stepwise change would lead to a multimodal distribution of properties. This study presents the application of a Gaussian mixture model (GMM), fit by the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm, to identify different states of VLP morphological change observed by AFM imaging.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available December 1, 2025
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            Booksh, Karl S.; Celani, Caelin P.; Ralbovsky, Nicole M.; Smith, Joseph P. (, Journal of Chemometrics)ABSTRACT Conformal predictions transform a measurable, heuristic notion of uncertainty into statistically valid confidence intervals such that, for a future sample, the true class prediction will be included in the conformal prediction set at a predetermined confidence. In a Bayesian perspective, common estimates of uncertainty in multivariate classification, namelyp‐values, only provide the probability that the data fits the presumed class model,P(D|M). Conformal predictions, on the other hand, address the more meaningful probability that a model fits the data,P(M|D). Herein, two methods to perform inductive conformal predictions are investigated—the traditional Split Conformal Prediction that uses an external calibration set and a novel Bagged Conformal Prediction, closely related to Cross Conformal Predictions, that utilizes bagging to calibrate the heuristic notions of uncertainty. Methods for preprocessing the conformal prediction scores to improve performance are discussed and investigated. These conformal prediction strategies are applied to identifying four non‐steroidal anti‐inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) from hyperspectral Raman imaging data. In addition to assigning meaningful confidence intervals on the model results, we herein demonstrate how conformal predictions can add additional diagnostics for model quality and method stability.more » « less
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