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  1. Abstract Phytoplankton growth responds to temperature change through both thermal-trait-mediated effects on physiology and community composition and nutrient effects associated with stratification. The conventional view suggests that dominant nutrient effects lead to decreased productivity under warming. Here we integrate field data on the Northeast US Shelf with numerical models to constrain these two effects and identify the drivers of phytoplankton growth rate and net primary production variations in surface waters. Both model and data agree that thermal-trait-mediated effects outweigh nutrient effects, resulting in higher growth rates with increased temperature. Net primary production remains stable from winter to summer due to the compensatory effect of phytoplankton biomass reduction, offset by an elevated phytoplankton growth rate. Our findings provide quantitative evidence showing pronounced thermal-trait-mediated effects and reveal the importance of phytoplankton growth rate in modulating net primary production seasonality, offering valuable insights into the warming effects on phytoplankton dynamics across various spatiotemporal scales. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available May 16, 2027
  2. Bubble-mediated gas exchange associated with wave breaking is a critical pathway for ocean–atmosphere exchange of low solubility gases such as oxygen. Yet, ocean and climate models, as well as observation-based products, usually rely on wind-only air–sea flux formulations derived from carbon constraints that ignore the asymmetric nature of the bubble flux, contributing to discrepancies between estimates of oxygen inventories and their response to climate change. Without bubbles, gas exchange is controlled by a symmetric wind-driven exchange, with the ocean–atmosphere gas partial pressure difference controlling whether outgassing or uptake occurs. Bubbles entrained by wave breaking can enhance this symmetric turbulent exchange, and contribute an additional asymmetric flux, always leading to an uptake, as they get squeezed by hydrostatic pressure (large bubbles) or collapse and fully dissolve (small bubbles). We present an observation-constrained theoretical framework of the air–sea flux accounting for air entrainment due to wave breaking and symmetric and asymmetric bubble exchange. The combined evidence from theory, laboratory, and field measurements of carbon dioxide fluxes, oxygen concentration, and noble gas supersaturation yields a universal formulation of gas exchange which we implement into a global ocean biogeochemical model. We discuss the resulting oxygen fluxes and demonstrate that our wind–wave–bubble formulation better reproduces observed in situ oxygen concentrations in water mass formation regions, where air–sea exchange is high, than a commonly used wind-only formulation. We show that the asymmetric bubble flux is essential for evaluating air–sea oxygen fluxes and estimating the magnitude of the ocean oxygen loss associated with global warming. 
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  3. Abstract In aquatic ecosystems, allochthonous nutrient transport to the euphotic zone is an important process that fuels new production. Here, we use high‐resolution physical and biogeochemical observations from five summers to estimate the mean vertical nitrate flux, and thus new production over the Northeast U.S. Shelf (NES). We find that the summertime nitrate field is primarily controlled by biological uptake and physical advection–diffusion processes, above and below the 1% light level depth, respectively. We estimate the vertical nitrate flux to be 8.2 ± 5.3 × 10−6 mmol N m−2 s−1for the mid‐shelf and 12.6 ± 8.6 × 10−6 mmol N m−2 s−1for the outer shelf. Furthermore, we show that the new production to total primary production ratio (i.e., the f‐ratio), consistently ranges between 10% and 15% under summer conditions on the NES. Two independent approaches—nitrate flux‐based new production and O2/Ar‐based net community production—corroborate the robustness of the f‐ratio estimation. Since ~ 85% of the total primary production is fueled by recycled nutrients over sufficiently broad spatial and temporal scales, less than 15% of the organic matter produced in summer is available for export from the NES euphotic zone. Our direct quantification of new production not only provides more precise details about key processes for NES food webs and ecosystem function, but also demonstrates the potential of this approach to be applied to other similar datasets to understand nutrient and carbon cycling in the global ocean. 
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  4. In order to calculate net community production (NCP) rates on Northeast U.S. Shelf Long-Term Ecological Research (NES-LTER) transect cruises, gas tracer data were collected with a continuous at-sea mass spectrometer. The ratio of O2/Ar, measured continuously from underway water, yields 8,000-15,000 rates of NCP per cruise. Discrete water samples (50 to 150 per cruise) were collected for triple oxygen isotope (TOI) analysis to estimate gross primary production (GPP) rates and ratios of NCP/GPP. Along-shelf (upstream-downstream) transects were conducted in addition to the main across-shelf transect. This data package provides two types of data tables for NES-LTER transect cruises beginning in 2018: a high-frequency continuous Equilibration Inlet Mass Spectrometer (EIMS) table, provided by year, and a low-frequency discrete triple oxygen isotope (TOI) table with all years combined. Rates calculated from these measurements are provided as separate packages, per year, in the EDI repository. 
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  5. This data package provides net community production (NCP) and gross oxygen production (GOP, a measure of gross primary production) for the winter and summer Northeast U.S. Shelf Long-Term Ecological Research (NES-LTER) Transect cruises in 2022. Two tables are provided: a high-frequency table with NCP rates calculated from measurements of O2/Ar made continuously by an at-sea equilibrator inlet mass spectrometer (EIMS), and a low-frequency table with both NCP and GOP rates calculated for discrete samples measured post-cruise. The GOP rates were calculated from triple O2 isotopic (TOI) ratios. These data are derived from the EIMS and TOI data for the NES-LTER Transect cruises in EDI data package knb-lter-nes.6.3. 
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  6. This data package provides net community production (NCP) and gross oxygen production (GOP, a measure of gross primary production) for the winter, spring, summer, and fall Northeast U.S. Shelf Long-Term Ecological Research (NES-LTER) Transect cruises in 2018. Two tables are provided: a high-frequency table with NCP rates calculated from measurements of O2/Ar made continuously by an at-sea equilibrator inlet mass spectrometer (EIMS), and a low-frequency table with both NCP and GOP rates calculated for discrete samples measured post-cruise. The GOP rates were calculated from triple O2 isotopic (TOI) ratios. These data are derived from the EIMS and TOI data for the NES-LTER Transect cruises in EDI data package knb-lter-nes.6.3. 
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  7. This data package provides net community production (NCP) and gross oxygen production (GOP, a measure of gross primary production) for the winter and summer Northeast U.S. Shelf Long-Term Ecological Research (NES-LTER) Transect cruises in 2021. Two tables are provided: a high-frequency table with NCP rates calculated from measurements of O2/Ar made continuously by an at-sea equilibrator inlet mass spectrometer (EIMS), and a low-frequency table with both NCP and GOP rates calculated for discrete samples measured post-cruise. The GOP rates were calculated from triple O2 isotopic (TOI) ratios. These data are derived from the EIMS and TOI data for the NES-LTER Transect cruises in EDI data package knb-lter-nes.6.3. 
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  8. This data package provides net community production (NCP) and gross oxygen production (GOP, a measure of gross primary production) for the winter, spring, and summer Northeast U.S. Shelf Long-Term Ecological Research (NES-LTER) Transect cruises in 2020. Two tables are provided: a high-frequency table with NCP rates calculated from measurements of O2/Ar made continuously by an at-sea equilibrator inlet mass spectrometer (EIMS), and a low-frequency table with both NCP and GOP rates calculated for discrete samples measured post-cruise. The GOP rates were calculated from triple O2 isotopic (TOI) ratios. These data are derived from the EIMS and TOI data for the NES-LTER Transect cruises in EDI data package knb-lter-nes.6.3. 
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  9. This data package provides net community production (NCP) and gross oxygen production (GOP, a measure of gross primary production) for the winter, spring, summer, and fall Northeast U.S. Shelf Long-Term Ecological Research (NES-LTER) Transect cruises in 2019. Two tables are provided: a high-frequency table with NCP rates calculated from measurements of O2/Ar made continuously by an at-sea equilibrator inlet mass spectrometer (EIMS), and a low-frequency table with both NCP and GOP rates calculated for discrete samples measured post-cruise. The GOP rates were calculated from triple O2 isotopic (TOI) ratios. These data are derived from the EIMS and TOI data for the NES-LTER Transect cruises in EDI data package knb-lter-nes.6.3. 
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  10. Abstract The shelf‐break front of the Mid‐Atlantic Bight (MAB) is hypothesized to cause increased biological productivity but observations of such enhancement have been scarce. Additionally, most previous studies at the MAB are based on chlorophyll rather than on actual observed rates of production. Here we present rates of net community production (NCP) and concentrations of phytoplankton carbon, collected at high spatial resolution (< 1 to 3 km) on repeated crossings of the shelf‐break front in spring and summer during 4 yr on the Northeastern US Shelf. We find a localized 50% increase in NCP within 5 km of the shelf‐break front on a majority of transects in early spring; there is a smaller and less frequent increase during later spring and summer. Phytoplankton carbon usually increased very close to the shelf‐break front in the same transects. These data provide an unprecedented look at spatial patterns in productivity rates at the shelf‐break front and show that strong increases in productivity occur at the front but also that such responses are likely short‐lived and occur over short spatial scales, explaining why they may have been missed in other studies. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available December 1, 2026