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Free, publicly-accessible full text available December 1, 2026
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Abstract Parameterization of submarine melting represents a large source of uncertainty in modeling ice sheet response to climate change. Here we present in situ observations of melt at near‐vertical ice faces using a novel instrument platform mounted rigidly to icebergs. We investigate boundary layer dynamics controlling melt across 31 measurement periods that span a range of momentum and thermal forcing (1–12 cm/s flows and 3–10 K). While melt generally scales with velocity and temperature, we find substantially enhanced melt linked with unsteady forcing. Several implementations of the three‐equation melt parameterization show melt can be predicted within a factor of 2 if the model is evaluated with peak near‐boundary velocities and flows are quasi‐steady. However, if flows are unsteady or the model is evaluated with low‐resolution velocities, melt is underpredicted by 2– We conclude that understanding the detailed character of near‐boundary flows is critical for submarine melt predictions.more » « less
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{"Abstract":["These data include processed multibeam sonar and drone-derived three-dimensional point clouds of icebergs surveyed between 2022 and 2023 in Xeitl Geeyí’ (LeConte Bay), Southeast Alaska. Thirteen grounded icebergs were mapped using Norbit iWBMS and Winghead i77h/i80s sonars, and one recently capsized floating iceberg was mapped using a DJI Air 2S drone. The datasets were collected to quantify submarine iceberg morphology and surface roughness as part of a broader effort to improve understanding of ice–ocean interactions at near-vertical ice-ocean boundaries. The methods and analyses are described in Cohen et al. (submitted in 2025), "Characterizing submarine ice roughness at icebergs from a temperate tidewater glacier", under review in the Journal of Glaciology. All data are georeferenced to World Geodetic System 1984 (WGS 84) and Universal Transverse Mercator Zone 8 N (meters in easting/northing)."]}more » « less
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Abstract The Greenland Ice Sheet has undergone rapid mass loss over the last four decades, primarily through solid and liquid discharge at marine‐terminating outlet glaciers. The acceleration of these glaciers is in part due to the increase in temperature of ocean water in contact with the glacier terminus. However, quantifying heat transport to the glacier through fjord circulation can be challenging due to iceberg abundance, which threatens instrument survival and fjord accessibility. Here we utilize iceberg movement to infer upper‐layer fjord circulation, as freely floating icebergs (i.e., outside the mélange region) behave as natural drifters. In the summers of 2014 and 2019, we deployed transmitting GPS units on a total of 13 icebergs in Ilulissat Icefjord, an iceberg‐rich and historically data‐poor fjord in west Greenland, to quantify circulation over the upper 0–250 m of the water column. We find that the direction of upper‐layer fjord circulation is strongly impacted by the timing of tributary meltwater runoff, while the speed of this circulation changes in concert with glacier behavior, which includes increases and decreases in glacier speed and meltwater runoff. During periods of increased meltwater runoff entering from tributary fjords, icebergs at these confluences deviated from their down‐fjord trajectory, even reversing up‐fjord, until the runoff pulse subsided days later. This study demonstrates the utility of iceberg monitoring to constrain upper‐layer fjord circulation, and highlights the importance of including tributary fjords in predictive models of heat transport and fjord circulation.more » « less
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Abstract. Frontal ablation has caused 32 %–66 % of Greenland Ice Sheet mass loss since 1972, and despite its importance in driving terminus change, ocean thermal forcing remains crudely incorporated into large-scale ice sheet models. In Greenland, local fjord-scale processes modify the magnitude of thermal forcing at the ice–ocean boundary but are too small scale to be resolved in current global climate models. For example, simulations used in the Ice Sheet Intercomparison Project for CMIP6 (ISMIP6) to predict future ice sheet change rely on the extrapolation of regional ocean water properties into fjords to drive terminus ablation. However, the accuracy of this approach has not previously been tested due to the scarcity of observations in Greenland fjords, as well as the inability of fjord-scale models to realistically incorporate icebergs. By employing the recently developed IceBerg package within the Massachusetts Institute of Technology general circulation model (MITgcm), we here evaluate the ability of ocean thermal forcing parameterizations to predict thermal forcing at tidewater glacier termini. This is accomplished through sensitivity experiments using a set of idealized Greenland fjords, each forced with equivalent ocean boundary conditions but with varying tidal amplitudes, subglacial discharge, iceberg coverage, and bathymetry. Our results indicate that the bathymetric obstruction of external water is the primary control on near-glacier thermal forcing, followed by iceberg submarine melting. Despite identical ocean boundary conditions, we find that the simulated fjord processes can modify grounding line thermal forcing by as much as 3 °C, the magnitude of which is largely controlled by the relative depth of bathymetric sills to the Polar Water–Atlantic Water thermocline. However, using a common adjustment for fjord bathymetry we can still predict grounding line thermal forcing within 0.2 °C in our simulations. Finally, we introduce new parameterizations that additionally account for iceberg-driven cooling that can accurately predict interior fjord thermal forcing profiles both in iceberg-laden simulations and in observations from Kangiata Sullua (Ilulissat Icefjord).more » « less
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Abstract At tidewater glaciers, the ocean supplies heat for submarine ice melt and the glacier supplies freshwater that impacts ocean circulation. Models that employ buoyant plume theory are widely used to represent the effects of subglacial discharge on both glacier melt and freshwater export, but a scarcity of observations means that these models are largely unvalidated. The challenges and inherent risks of working near actively calving glaciers make it difficult to collect in situ observations. This study, conducted at Xeitl Sít’ (LeConte Glacier) in southeast Alaska, reports the first observations of velocity and geometry of the upwelling core of a subglacial discharge plume. This subglacial discharge plume rises along an overcut ice face, with vertical velocities in excess of 1 m s−1, and a plume shape consistent with subglacial discharge emerging from a narrow outlet. Buoyant plume theory, as commonly applied, fails to replicate the observed entrainment, underestimating the plume's volume flux by more than 50%. Large eddy simulations reveal that over half of this mismatch can be attributed to the overcut slope of the ice, which enhances entrainment. Enhanced mixing near the grounding line may account for the additional entrainment. Accurate representation of plume geometry and entrainment is critical for understanding plume‐driven melt of the terminus and the initial mixing of glacial meltwater as it is exported into the ocean.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available November 1, 2026
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Abstract At marine‐terminating glaciers, both buoyant plumes and local currents energize turbulent exchanges that control ice melt. Because of challenges in making centimeter‐scale measurements at glaciers, these dynamics at near‐vertical ice‐ocean boundaries are poorly constrained. Here we present the first observations from instruments robotically bolted to an underwater ice face, and use these to elucidate the interplay between buoyancy and externally forced currents in meltwater plumes. Our observations captured two limiting cases of the flow. When external currents are weak, meltwater buoyancy energizes the turbulence and dominates the near‐boundary stress. When external currents strengthen, the plume diffuses far from the boundary and the associated turbulence decreases. As a result, even relatively weak buoyant melt plumes are as effective as moderate shear flows in delivering heat to the ice. These are the firstin‐situobservations to demonstrate how buoyant melt plumes energize near‐boundary turbulence, and why their dynamics are critical in predicting ice melt.more » « less
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Abstract Frontal ablation, the combination of submarine melting and iceberg calving, changes the geometry of a glacier's terminus, influencing glacier dynamics, the fate of upwelling plumes and the distribution of submarine meltwater input into the ocean. Directly observing frontal ablation and terminus morphology below the waterline is difficult, however, limiting our understanding of these coupled ice–ocean processes. To investigate the evolution of a tidewater glacier's submarine terminus, we combine 3-D multibeam point clouds of the subsurface ice face at LeConte Glacier, Alaska, with concurrent observations of environmental conditions during three field campaigns between 2016 and 2018. We observe terminus morphology that was predominately overcut (52% in August 2016, 63% in May 2017 and 74% in September 2018), accompanied by high multibeam sonar-derived melt rates (4.84 m d −1 in 2016, 1.13 m d −1 in 2017 and 1.85 m d −1 in 2018). We find that periods of high subglacial discharge lead to localized undercut discharge outlets, but adjacent to these outlets the terminus maintains significantly overcut geometry, with an ice ramp that protrudes 75 m into the fjord in 2017 and 125 m in 2018. Our data challenge the assumption that tidewater glacier termini are largely undercut during periods of high submarine melting.more » « less
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