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Abstract. During the Last Glacial Period (LGP), Greenland experienced approximately 30 abrupt warming phases, known as Dansgaard–Oeschger (D–O) events, followed by cooling back to baseline glacial conditions. Studies of mean climate change across warming transitions reveal indistinguishable phase offsets between shifts in temperature, dust, sea salt, accumulation, and moisture source, thus preventing a comprehensive understanding of the “anatomy” of D–O cycles (Capron et al., 2021). One aspect of abrupt change that has not been systematically assessed is how high-frequency interannual-scale climatic variability surrounding centennial-scale mean temperature changes across D–O transitions. Here, we utilize the East Greenland Ice-core Project (EGRIP) high-resolution water isotope record, a proxy for temperature and atmospheric circulation, to quantify the amplitude of 7–15-year isotopic variability for D–O events 2–13, the Younger Dryas, and the Bølling–Allerød. On average, cold stadial periods consistently exhibit greater variability than warm interstadial periods. Most notably, we often find that reductions in the amplitude of the 7–15-year band led abrupt D–O warmings by hundreds of years. Such a large phase offset between two climate parameters in a Greenland ice core has never been documented for D–O cycles. However, similar centennial lead times have been found in proxies for Norwegian Sea ice cover relative to abrupt Greenland warming (Sadatzki et al., 2020). Using HadCM3, a fully coupled general circulation model, we assess the effects of sea ice on 7–15-year temperature variability at the EGRIP. For a range of stadial and interstadial conditions, we find a strong relationship in line with our observations between colder simulated mean temperature and enhanced temperature variability at the EGRIP location. We also find a robust correlation between year-to-year North Atlantic sea ice fluctuations and the strength of interannual-scale temperature variability at EGRIP. Together, paleoclimate proxy evidence and model simulations suggest that sea ice plays a substantial role in high-frequency climate variability prior to D–O warming. This provides a clue about the anatomy of D–O events and should be the target of future sea ice model studies.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available February 24, 2026
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Abstract. Above polar ice sheets, atmospheric water vapor exchangeoccurs across the planetary boundary layer (PBL) and is an importantmechanism in a number of processes that affect the surface mass balance ofthe ice sheets. Yet, this exchange is not well understood and hassubstantial implications for modeling and remote sensing of the polarhydrologic cycle. Efforts to characterize the exchange face substantiallogistical challenges including the remoteness of ice sheet field camps,extreme weather conditions, low humidity and temperature that limit theeffectiveness of instruments, and dangers associated with flying mannedaircraft at low altitudes. Here, we present an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV)sampling platform for operation in extreme polar environments that iscapable of sampling atmospheric water vapor for subsequent measurement ofwater isotopes. This system was deployed to the East Greenland Ice-coreProject (EastGRIP) camp in northeast Greenland during summer 2019. Foursampling flight missions were completed. With a suite of atmosphericmeasurements aboard the UAV (temperature, humidity, pressure, GPS) wedetermine the height of the PBL using online algorithms, allowing forstrategic decision-making by the pilot to sample water isotopes above andbelow the PBL. Water isotope data were measured by a Picarro L2130-iinstrument using flasks of atmospheric air collected within the nose cone ofthe UAV. The internal repeatability for δD and δ18O was2.8 ‰ and 0.45 ‰, respectively,which we also compared to independent EastGRIP tower-isotope data. Based onthese results, we demonstrate the efficacy of this new UAV-isotope platformand present improvements to be utilized in future polar field campaigns. Thesystem is also designed to be readily adaptable to other fields of study,such as measurement of carbon cycle gases or remote sensing of groundconditions.more » « less
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Thiemens, Mark (Ed.)Pleistocene Ice Ages display abrupt Dansgaard–Oeschger (DO) climate oscillations that provide prime examples of Earth System tipping points—abrupt transition that may result in irreversible change. Greenland ice cores provide key records of DO climate variability, but gas-calibrated estimates of the temperature change magnitudes have been limited to central and northwest Greenland. Here, we present ice-core δ15N-N2records from south (Dye 3) and coastal east Greenland (Renland) to calibrate the local water isotope thermometer and provide a Greenland-wide spatial characterization of DO event magnitude. We combine these data with existing records of δ18O, deuterium excess, and accumulation rates to create a multiproxy “fingerprint” of the DO impact on Greenland. Isotope-enabled climate models have skill in simulating the observational multiproxy DO event impact, and we use a series of idealized simulations with such models to identify regions of the North Atlantic that are critical in explaining DO variability. Our experiments imply that wintertime sea ice variation in the subpolar gyre, rather than the commonly invoked Nordic Seas, is both a sufficient and a necessary condition to explain the observed DO impacts in Greenland, whatever the distal cause. Moisture-tagging experiments support the idea that Greenland DO isotope signals may be explained almost entirely via changes in the vapor source distribution and that site temperature is not a main control on δ18O during DO transitions, contrary to the traditional interpretation. Our results provide a comprehensive, multiproxy, data-model synthesis of abrupt DO climate variability in Greenland.more » « less
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