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Abstract The Household Pulse Survey (HPS), released by the US Census Bureau at the start of the coronavirus pandemic, gathers timely information about the societal and economic impacts of coronavirus. The first phase of the survey was launched in April 2020 and ran for 12 weeks. To track the immediate impact of the pandemic, individual respondents during this phase were re-sampled for up to three consecutive weeks. Motivated by expected job loss during the pandemic, using public-use microdata, this work proposes unit-level, model-based estimators that incorporate longitudinal dependence at both the response and domain level. In particular, using a pseudo-likelihood, we consider a Bayesian hierarchical unit-level, model-based approach for both Gaussian and binary response data under informative sampling. To facilitate construction of these model-based estimates, we develop an efficient Gibbs sampler. An empirical simulation study is conducted to compare the proposed approach to models that do not account for unit-level longitudinal correlation. Finally, using public-use HPS micro-data, we provide an analysis of ‘expected job loss’ that compares both design- and model-based estimators and demonstrates superior performance for the proposed model-based approaches.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available May 12, 2026
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Vedensky, Daniel; Parker, Paul A.; Holan, Scott H. (, The American Statistician)
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