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Abstract. Dimethyl sulfide (DMS) is primarily emitted by marine phytoplankton and oxidized in the atmosphere to form methanesulfonic acid (MSA) and sulfate aerosols. Ice cores in regions affected by anthropogenic pollution show an industrial-era decline in MSA, which has previously been interpreted as indicating a decline in phytoplankton abundance. However, a simultaneous increase in DMS-derived sulfate (bioSO4) in a Greenland ice core suggests that pollution-driven oxidant changes caused the decline in MSA by influencing the relative production of MSA versus bioSO4. Here we use GEOS-Chem, a global chemical transport model, and a zero-dimensional box model over three time periods (preindustrial era, peak North Atlantic NOx pollution, and 21st century) to investigate the chemical drivers of industrial-era changes in MSA and bioSO4, and we examine whether four DMS oxidation mechanisms reproduce trends and seasonality in observations. We find that box model and GEOS-Chem simulations can only partially reproduce ice core trends in MSA and bioSO4 and that wide variation in model results reflects sensitivity to DMS oxidation mechanism and oxidant concentrations. Our simulations support the hypothesized increase in DMS oxidation by the nitrate radical over the industrial era, which increases bioSO4 production, but competing factors such as oxidation by BrO result in increased MSA production in some simulations, which is inconsistent with observations. To improve understanding of DMS oxidation, future work should investigate aqueous-phase chemistry, which produces 82 %–99 % of MSA and bioSO4 in our simulations, and constrain atmospheric oxidant concentrations, including the nitrate radical, hydroxyl radical, and reactive halogens.more » « less
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This project intends to use the Mount Denali ice core archive to develop the most comprehensive suite of North Pacific fire and summer climate proxy records since about 2500 years before present. Wildfire is a key component of summer climate in the North Pacific where wildfires are projected to increase with continued summer warming. Studies that combine paleorecords of summer climate and wildfire are therefore critically needed, especially in the North Pacific region where fire recurrence rate and decadal-to-centennial scale climate fluctuations occur over longer time periods than are covered by direct observations. The goal of the proposed research is to improve our understanding of relationships between summertime climate and wildfire activity, focusing especially on the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA), when regional temperatures were perhaps as warm as the 20th century. Recent advances now permit the measurement of new fire-related (pyrogenic) compounds in ice cores, enabling the development of a robust fire record capable of rigorous comparison with regional paleoclimate reconstructions.more » « less
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An industrial-era drop in Greenland ice core methanesulfonic acid (MSA) is thought to herald a collapse in North Atlantic marine phytoplankton stocks related to a weakening of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. In contrast, stable levels of marine biogenic sulfur production contradict this interpretation and point to changes in atmospheric oxidation as a potential cause of the MSA decline. However, the impact of oxidation on MSA production has not been quantified, nor has this hypothesis been rigorously tested. Here we present a multi-century MSA record from the Denali, Alaska, ice core, which shows an MSA decline similar in magnitude but delayed by 93 years relative to the Greenland record. Box model results using updated chemical pathways indicate that oxidation by industrial nitrate radicals has suppressed atmospheric MSA production, explaining most of Denali’s and Greenland’s MSA declines without requiring a change in phytoplankton production. The delayed timing of the North Pacific MSA decline, relative to the North Atlantic, reflects the distinct history of industrialization in upwind regions and is consistent with the Denali and Greenland ice core nitrate records. These results demonstrate that multi-decadal trends in industrial-era Arctic ice core MSA reflect rising anthropogenic pollution rather than declining marine primary production.more » « less
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This project intends to use the Mount Denali ice core archive to develop the most comprehensive suite of North Pacific fire and summer climate proxy records since about 2500 years before present. Wildfire is a key component of summer climate in the North Pacific where wildfires are projected to increase with continued summer warming. Studies that combine paleorecords of summer climate and wildfire are therefore critically needed, especially in the North Pacific region where fire recurrence rate and decadal-to-centennial scale climate fluctuations occur over longer time periods than are covered by direct observations. The goal of the proposed research is to improve our understanding of relationships between summertime climate and wildfire activity, focusing especially on the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA), when regional temperatures were perhaps as warm as the 20th century. Recent advances now permit the measurement of new fire-related (pyrogenic) compounds in ice cores, enabling the development of a robust fire record capable of rigorous comparison with regional paleoclimate reconstructions.more » « less
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Abstract. Investigating North Pacific climate variability during warmintervals prior to the Common Era can improve our understanding of thebehavior of ocean–atmosphere teleconnections between low latitudes and theArctic under future warming scenarios. However, most of the existing icecore records from the Alaskan and Yukon region only allow access to climateinformation covering the last few centuries. Here we present asurface-to-bedrock age scale for a 210 m long ice core recovered in 2013from the summit plateau of Begguya (Mt. Hunter; Denali National Park,Central Alaska). Combining dating by annual layer counting with absolutedates from micro-radiocarbon dating, a continuous chronology for the entireice core archive was established using an ice flow model. Calibrated14C ages from the deepest section (209.1 m, 7.7 to 9.0 ka cal BP)indicate that basal ice on Begguya is at least of early Holocene origin. Aseries of samples from a shallower depth interval (199.8 to 206.6 m) weredated with near-uniform 14C ages (3 to 5 ka cal BP). Our resultssuggest this may be related to an increase in annual net snow accumulationrates over this period following the Northern Hemisphere Holocene ClimateOptimum (around 8 to 5 kyr BP). With absolute dates constraining thetimescale for the last >8 kyr BP, this paleo-archive will allowfuture investigations of Holocene climate and the regional evolution ofspatial and temporal changes in atmospheric circulation and hydroclimate inthe North Pacific.more » « less
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Abstract Climate change is altering the timing and duration of the vernal window, a period that marks the end of winter and the start of the growing season when rapid transitions in ecosystem energy, water, nutrient, and carbon dynamics take place. Research on this period typically captures only a portion of the ecosystem in transition and focuses largely on the dates by which the system wakes up. Previous work has not addressed lags between transitions that represent delays in energy, water, nutrient, and carbon flows. The objectives of this study were to establish the sequence of physical and biogeochemical transitions and lags during the vernal window period and to understand how climate change may alter them. We synthesized observations from a statewide sensor network in New Hampshire,USA, that concurrently monitored climate, snow, soils, and streams over a three‐year period and supplemented these observations with climate reanalysis data, snow data assimilation model output, and satellite spectral data. We found that some of the transitions that occurred within the vernal window were sequential, with air temperatures warming prior to snow melt, which preceded forest canopy closure. Other transitions were simultaneous with one another and had zero‐length lags, such as snowpack disappearance, rapid soil warming, and peak stream discharge. We modeled lags as a function of both winter coldness and snow depth, both of which are expected to decline with climate change. Warmer winters with less snow resulted in longer lags and a more protracted vernal window. This lengthening of individual lags and of the entire vernal window carries important consequences for the thermodynamics and biogeochemistry of ecosystems, both during the winter‐to‐spring transition and throughout the rest of the year.more » « less
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