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To obtain actionable information for humanitarian and other emergency responses, an accurate classification of news or events is critical. Daily news and social media are hard to classify based on conveyed information, especially when multiple categories of information are embedded. This research used large language models (LLMs) and traditional transformer-based models, such as BERT, to classify news and social media events using the example of the Sudan Conflict. A systematic evaluation framework was introduced to test GPT models using Zero-Shot prompting, Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG), and RAG with In-Context Learning (ICL) against standard and hyperparameter-tuned bert-based and bert-large models. BERT outperformed GPT in F1-score and accuracy for multi-label classification (MLC) while GPT outperformed BERT in accuracy for Single-Label classification from Multi-Label Ground Truth (SL-MLG). The results illustrate that a larger model size improves classification accuracy for both BERT and GPT, while BERT benefits from hyperparameter tuning and GPT benefits from its enhanced contextual comprehension capabilities. By addressing challenges such as overlapping semantic categories, task-specific adaptation, and a limited dataset, this study provides a deeper understanding of LLMs’ applicability in constrained, real-world scenarios, particularly in highlighting the potential for integrating NLP with other applications such as GIS in future conflict analyses.more » « less
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Accurate air pollution monitoring is critical to understand and mitigate the impacts of air pollution on human health and ecosystems. Due to the limited number and geographical coverage of advanced, highly accurate sensors monitoring air pollutants, many low-cost and low-accuracy sensors have been deployed. Calibrating low-cost sensors is essential to fill the geographical gap in sensor coverage. We systematically examined how different machine learning (ML) models and open-source packages could help improve the accuracy of particulate matter (PM) 2.5 data collected by Purple Air sensors. Eleven ML models and five packages were examined. This systematic study found that both models and packages impacted accuracy, while the random training/testing split ratio (e.g., 80/20 vs. 70/30) had minimal impact (0.745% difference for R2). Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models trained in RStudio and TensorFlow excelled, with high R2 scores of 0.856 and 0.857 and low Root Mean Squared Errors (RMSEs) of 4.25 µg/m3 and 4.26 µg/m3, respectively. However, LSTM models may be too slow (1.5 h) or computation-intensive for applications with fast response requirements. Tree-boosted models including XGBoost (0.7612, 5.377 µg/m3) in RStudio and Random Forest (RF) (0.7632, 5.366 µg/m3) in TensorFlow offered good performance with shorter training times (<1 min) and may be suitable for such applications. These findings suggest that AI/ML models, particularly LSTM models, can effectively calibrate low-cost sensors to produce precise, localized air quality data. This research is among the most comprehensive studies on AI/ML for air pollutant calibration. We also discussed limitations, applicability to other sensors, and the explanations for good model performances. This research can be adapted to enhance air quality monitoring for public health risk assessments, support broader environmental health initiatives, and inform policy decisions.more » « less
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The COVID-19 pandemic has been sweeping across the United States of America since early 2020. The whole world was waiting for vaccination to end this pandemic. Since the approval of the first vaccine by the U.S. CDC on 9 November 2020, nearly 67.5% of the US population have been fully vaccinated by 10 July 2022. While quite successful in controlling the spreading of COVID-19, there were voices against vaccines. Therefore, this research utilizes geo-tweets and Bayesian-based method to investigate public opinions towards vaccines based on (1) the spatiotemporal changes in public engagement and public sentiment; (2) how the public engagement and sentiment react to different vaccine-related topics; (3) how various races behave differently. We connected the phenomenon observed to real-time and historical events. We found that in general the public is positive towards COVID-19 vaccines. Public sentiment positivity went up as more people were vaccinated. Public sentiment on specific topics varied in different periods. African Americans’ sentiment toward vaccines was relatively lower than other races.more » « less
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