Search for: All records

Abstract The subduction zone along Oaxaca, Mexico, has experienced multiple Mw ≥ 7 earthquakes that ruptured in close proximity several decades apart in at least three locations along the coast. Similarity of waveform recordings from a few long-period seismic stations at teleseismic distances has provided evidence for up to three repeated failures of the same slip patches, or persistent asperities, in the region. The evidence from prior single-station comparisons is bolstered by considering azimuthally distributed sets of body-wave recording pairs for the 1968 and 2018 Pinotepa Nacional (western Oaxaca), and 1965 and 2020 La Crucecita (eastern Oaxaca) earthquakes, as viewed in the long-period World-Wide Standardized Seismograph Network instrument passband (>5 s period). Drawing on detailed slip inversions for the most recent events and observations of their relationships with regional slow-slip events, we note features to be alert for in central Oaxaca where prior repeating events in 1928 and 1978 occurred and there is potential for a similar future event. 

Abstract The 1938M_S8.3 and 2021M_W8.2 earthquakes both ruptured within the Semidi segment of the Aleutian‐Alaska subduction zone. The large‐slip distribution of the 2021 event is well constrained within the depth range 25–45 km, with seaward tsunami observations excluding significant shallower coseismic slip. The 1938 event slip distribution is more uncertain. Regional and far‐field tide gauge observations for the 1938 event are modeled to constrain the location of large coseismic slip. The largest slip (2.0 m) is located below the continental shelf on a 180‐km‐long portion of the rupture extending further northeast than the 2021 rupture, to near Sitkinak Island. Minor slip (1.0 m) extends seaward under the continental slope to 8 km deep, where large slip may have occurred in 1788. The megathrust shallower than 25 km depth to the southwest experienced many small aftershocks and aseismic slip following the 2021 event, and has limited slip deficit. 

Abstract Most great earthquakes on subduction zone plate boundaries have large coseismic slip concentrated along the contact between the subducting slab and the upper plate crust. On 4 March 2021, a magnitude 7.4 foreshock struck 1 hr 47 min before a magnitude 8.1 earthquake along the northern Kermadec island arc. The mainshock is the largest well‐documented underthrusting event along the ∼2,500‐km long Tonga‐Kermadec subduction zone. Using teleseismic, geodetic, and tsunami data, we find that all substantial coseismic slip in the mainshock is located along the mantle/slab interface at depths from 20 to 55 km, with the large foreshock nucleating near the down‐dip edge. Smaller foreshocks and most aftershocks are located up‐dip of the mainshock, where substantial prior moderate thrust earthquake activity had occurred. The upper plate crust is ∼17 km thick in northern Kermadec with only moderate‐size events along the crust/slab interface. A 1976 sequence withM_Wvalues of 7.9, 7.8, 7.3, 7.0, and 7.0 that spanned the 2021 rupture zone also involved deep megathrust rupture along the mantle/slab contact, but distinct waveforms exclude repeating ruptures. Variable waveforms for eight deep M6.9+ thrusting earthquakes since 1990 suggest discrete slip patches distributed throughout the region. The ∼300‐km long plate boundary in northern Kermadec is the only documented subduction zone region where the largest modeled interplate earthquakes have ruptured along the mantle/slab interface, suggesting that local frictional properties of the putatively hydrated mantle wedge may involve a dense distribution of Antigorite‐rich patches with high slip rate velocity weakening behavior in this locale. 

Abstract On 18 November 2022, a large earthquake struck offshore southern Sumatra, generating a tsunami with 25 cm peak amplitude recorded at tide gauge station SBLT. OurW‐phase solution indicates a shallow dip of 6.2°, compatible with long‐period surface wave radiation patterns. Inversion of teleseismic body waves indicates a shallow slip distribution extending from about 10 km deep to near the trench with maximum slip of ∼4.1 m and seismic moment of  Nm (M_W7.3). Joint modeling of seismic and tsunami data indicates a shallow rigidity of ∼23 GPa. We find a low moment‐scaled radiated energy of , similar to that of the 2010M_W7.8 Mentawai event () and other tsunami earthquakes. These characteristics indicate that the 2022 event should be designated as a smaller moment magnitude tsunami earthquake compared to the other 12 well‐documented global occurrences since 1896. The 2022 event ruptured up‐dip of the 2007M_W8.4 Bengkulu earthquake, demonstrating shallow seismogenic capability of a megathrust that had experienced both a deeper seismic event and adjacent shallow aseismic afterslip. We consider seismogenic behavior of shallow megathrusts and concern for future tsunami earthquakes in subduction zones globally, noting a correlation between tsunami earthquake occurrence and subducting seafloor covered with siliceous pelagic sediments. We suggest that the combination of pelagic clay and siliceous sediments and rough seafloor topography near the trench play important roles in controlling the genesis of tsunami earthquakes along Sumatra and other regions, rather than the subduction tectonic framework of accretionary or erosive margin. 

Abstract Our study is to build an aftershock catalog with a low magnitude of completeness for the 2020 Mw 6.5 Stanley, Idaho, earthquake. This is challenging because of the low signal-to-noise ratios for recorded seismograms. Therefore, we apply convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and use 2D time–frequency feature maps as inputs for aftershock detection. Another trained CNN is used to automatically pick P-wave arrival times, which are then used in both nonlinear and double-difference earthquake location algorithms. Our new one-month-long catalog has 4644 events and a completeness magnitude (Mc) 1.9, which has over seven times more events and 0.9 lower Mc than the current U.S. Geological Survey National Earthquake Information Center catalog. The distribution and expansion of these aftershocks improve the resolution of two north-northwest-trending faults with different dip angles, providing further support for a central stepover region that changed the earthquake rupture trajectory and induced sustained seismicity. 

Abstract In the aftermath of a significant earthquake, seismologists are frequently asked questions by the media and public regarding possible interactions with recent prior events, including events at great distances away, along with prospects of larger events yet to come, both locally and remotely. For regions with substantial earthquake catalogs that provide information on the regional Gutenberg–Richter magnitude–frequency relationship, Omori temporal aftershock statistical behavior, and aftershock productivity parameters, probabilistic responses can be provided for likelihood of nearby future events of larger magnitude, as well as expected behavior of the overall aftershock sequence. However, such procedures generally involve uncertain extrapolations of parameterized equations to infrequent large events and do not provide answers to inquiries about long-range interactions, either retrospectively for interaction with prior remote large events or prospectively for interaction with future remote large events. Dynamic triggering that may be involved in such long-range interactions occurs, often with significant temporal delay, but is not well understood, making it difficult to respond to related inquiries. One approach to addressing such inquiries is to provide retrospective or prospective occurrence histories for large earthquakes based on global catalogs; while not providing quantitative understanding of any physical interaction, experience-based guidance on the (typically very low) chances of causal interactions can inform public understanding of likelihood of specific scenarios they are commonly very interested in.