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Abstract Arctic headwater streams play a crucial role in the carbon cycle, contributing disproportionately to carbon dioxide (CO₂) evasion despite their small size and surface area. In this study, we examined how seasonal hydrologic patterns, such as spring snowmelt (freshet), mid-summer low-flows (baseflow) and the late summer period in August and early September (late-season), influence CO₂evasion in Arctic headwater streams (1–9 km²basin size; 1–4 stream orders) near Utqiagvik, Alaska. During three summers, we measured key environmental parameters (CO₂partial pressure, water temperature, discharge, dissolved organic carbon (DOC), gas transfer velocity) and CO₂evasion using a floating chamber. CO₂evasion followed distinct seasonal patterns with the highest evasion rates during freshet, followed by the late-season, and the lowest during baseflow. Despite its short duration (10 d), freshet accounted for 22% more total CO₂evasion than the 36 d late-season period. The descending peakflow within freshet had the highest median evasion rate (2486 mg C–CO₂m⁻²d⁻¹) of the entire season, while the ascending portion of the peakflow had the lowest (448 mg C–CO₂m⁻²d⁻¹). These two freshet periods showed a statistically significant difference (p< 0.05). Water temperature, DOC, andpCO₂explained 35%, 30% and 67% of freshet evasion variability, respectively. No measured parameters reliably predicted CO₂evasion for the baseflow or late-season periods, suggesting increased hydrologic and biological complexity. The stream showed supply-limitation during freshet but transitioned to chemostatic behavior thereafter. By synthesizing our measurements with previously published data, we show that small streams (<1 km²watersheds) exhibit ∼10-times the CO₂evasion rates than large waterways (>1000 km²). We also find that across the Arctic, only ∼15% of riverine CO₂measurements capture the freshet period. Together, the omission of small streams and the underrepresentation of freshet likely lead to a systematic underestimation of CO₂losses from Arctic surface waters to the atmosphere. 

Abstract The Arctic tundra is a significant source of CH₄generated through anaerobic methanogenesis, and vegetation explains much of the heterogeneity in CH₄fluxes across the Arctic landscape. Wet sedge-dominated tundra exhibits particularly high rates of CH₄flux due to the presence of aerenchyma and therefore, plant-mediated transport of CH₄. However, the response of CH₄to future CO₂concentrations remains largely uncertain. Model predictions assumed that elevated CO₂(eCO₂) will increase primary production and, as a result, CH₄emissions, but this has been poorly tested given the challenges of conducting eCO₂experiments in the Arctic. To address this knowledge gap, we tested the response of CH₄fluxes in soil and vegetation cores from a wet-sedge tundra ecosystem in Alaska to eCO₂. The eCO₂stimulated plant productivity and increased CH₄emissions in a short-term treatment. The instantaneous response suggests a direct contribution of plant-derived labile carbon input in stimulating methanogenesis despite the large soil carbon store in these tundra ecosystems. 

Abstract Global atmospheric concentrations of nitrous oxide have been increasing over previous decades with emerging research suggesting the Arctic as a notable contributor. Thermokarst processes, increasing temperature, and changes in drainage can cause degradation of polygonal tundra landscape features resulting in elevated, well-drained, unvegetated soil surfaces that exhibit large nitrous oxide emissions. Here, we outline the magnitude and some of the dominant factors controlling variability in emissions for these thermokarst landscape features in the North Slope of Alaska. We measured strong nitrous oxide emissions during the growing season from unvegetated high centered polygons (median (mean) = 104.7 (187.7) µg N₂O-N m⁻² h⁻¹), substantially higher than mean rates associated with Arctic tundra wetlands and of similar magnitude to unvegetated hotspots in peat plateaus and palsa mires. In the absence of vegetation, isotopic enrichment of¹⁵N in these thermokarst features indicates a greater influence of microbial processes, (denitrification and nitrification) from barren soil. Findings reveal that the thermokarst features discussed here (~1.5% of the study area) are likely a notable source of nitrous oxide emissions, as inferred from chamber-based estimates. Growing season emissions, estimated at 16 (28) mg N₂O-N ha⁻¹ h⁻¹, may be large enough to affect landscape-level greenhouse gas budgets. 

The positive Arctic–methane (CH₄) feedback forms when more CH₄is released from the Arctic tundra to warm the climate, further stimulating the Arctic to emit CH₄. This study utilized the CLM-Microbe model to project CH₄emissions across five distinct Arctic tundra ecosystems on the Alaska North Slope, considering three Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios using climate data from three climate models from 2016 to 2100. Employing a hyper-resolution of 5 m × 5 m within 40,000 m²domains accounted for the Arctic tundra’s high spatial heterogeneity; three sites were near Utqiaġvik (US-Beo, US-Bes, and US-Brw), with one each in Atqasuk (US-Atq) and Ivotuk (US-Ivo). Simulated CH₄emissions substantially increased by a factor of 5.3 to 7.5 under the SSP5–8.5 scenario compared to the SSP1–2.6 and SSP2–4.5 scenarios. The projected CH₄emissions exhibited a stronger response to rising temperature under the SSP5–8.5 scenario than under the SSP1–2.6 and SSP2–4.5 scenarios, primarily due to strong temperature dependence and the enhanced precipitation-induced expansion of anoxic conditions that promoted methanogenesis. The CH₄transport via ebullition and plant-mediated transport is projected to increase under all three SSP scenarios, and ebullition dominated CH₄transport by 2100 across five sites. Projected CH₄emissions varied in temperature sensitivity, with a Q₁₀range of 2.7 to 60.9 under SSP1–2.6, 3.8 to 17.6 under SSP2–4.5, and 5.7 to 17.2 under SSP5–8.5. Compared with the other three sites, US-Atq and US-Ivo were estimated to have greater increases in CH₄emissions due to warmer temperatures and higher precipitation. The fact that warmer sites and warmer climate scenarios had higher CH₄emissions suggests an intensified positive Arctic–CH₄feedback in the 21st century. Microbial physiology and substrate availability dominated the enhanced CH₄production. The simulated intensified positive feedback underscores the urgent need for a more mechanistic understanding of CH₄dynamics and the development of strategies to mitigate CH₄across the Arctic. 

Abstract The changing thermal state of permafrost is an important indicator of climate change in northern high latitude ecosystems. The seasonally thawed soil active layer thickness (ALT) overlying permafrost may be deepening as a consequence of enhanced polar warming and widespread permafrost thaw in northern permafrost regions (NPRs). The associated increase in ALT may have cascading effects on ecological and hydrological processes that impact climate feedback. However, past NPR studies have only provided a limited understanding of the spatially continuous patterns and trends of ALT due to a lack of long-term high spatial resolution ALT data across the NPR. Using a suite of observational biophysical variables and machine learning (ML) techniques trained with availablein situALT network measurements (n= 2966 site-years), we produced annual estimates of ALT at 1 km resolution over the NPR from 2003 to 2020. Our ML-derived ALT dataset showed high accuracy (R²= 0.97) and low bias when compared within situALT observations. We found the ALT distribution to be most strongly affected by local soil properties, followed by topographic elevation and land surface temperatures. Pair-wise site-level evaluation between our data-driven ALT with Circumpolar Active Layer Monitoring data indicated that about 80% of sites had a deepening ALT trend from 2003 to 2020. Based on our long-term gridded ALT data, about 65% of the NPR showed a deepening ALT trend, while the entire NPR showed a mean deepening trend of 0.11 ± 0.35 cm yr⁻¹[25%–75% quantile: (−0.035, 0.204) cm yr⁻¹]. The estimated ALT trends were also sensitive to fire disturbance. Our new gridded ALT product provides an observationally constrained, updated understanding of the progression of thawing and the thermal state of permafrost in the NPR, as well as the underlying environmental drivers of these trends. 

Climate change is affecting the Arctic at an unprecedented rate, potentially releasing substantial amounts of greenhouse gases (CO2 (carbon dioxide) and CH4 (Methane)) from tundra ecosystems. Measuring greenhouse gas emissions in the Arctic, particularly outside of the summer period, is very challenging due to extreme weather conditions. This research project provided the first annual balance of both CH4 and CO2 fluxes in a total of five sites spanning a 300Km transect across the North Slope of Alaska (three sites in Barrow, one site in Aquasuk, and one site in Ivotuk). The results from the continuous year-round CH4 fluxes across these sites showed how cumulative emissions for the cold season accounted on average for 50% of the annual budget (Zona et al., 2016), a notably higher contribution than previously modelled, and also higher than observed in boreal Alaska. The analysis of the cold period CH4 fluxes suggested that the presence of an unfrozen soil layer in the fall and early winter was a major control on cold season CH4 emissions (Zona et al., 2016). We also cross-compared all instruments measuring ecosystem scale CO2 and CH4 fluxes operating at our sites, which allowed us to make recommendation of the best performing instruments under these extreme weather conditions. The best performing instruments were closed path analyzers and intermittently heated sonic anemometers which had the highest final data cover. A continuously heated anemometer increased data coverage relative to non-heated anemometers, but resulted in an overestimation of the fluxes (Goodrich et al., 2016). We developed an intermittent heating strategy that was only activated when the data quality was low, and appeared to be the preferable method to prevent icing while avoiding biases to the measurements. Closed and open-path analyzers showed good agreement, but data coverage was much greater when using closed-path analyzers, especially during winter (Goodrich et al., 2016). Given the importance of vegetation on greenhouse gas emissions, we also investigated the role of different vegetation types under a broad range of environmental conditions on the CH4 emissions. We found that vegetation type can be a very useful tool to describe the spatial variability in CH4 emissions over the landscape (McEwing et al., 2015), and that just two vegetation types were able to explain about 50% of the variability in CH4 fluxes across ecosystems even hundreds of kilometers apart (Davidson et al., 2016a). To upscale these plot scale fluxes we completed high resolution vegetation maps in each of our tower sites (Davidson et al., 2016b), which are the finest resolution maps currently available from these sites, and also contributed to larger scale mapping effort (Walker et al., 2016). The soil microbial analysis from soil cores collected across our sites showed an association between overall microbial diversity and latitude, with a higher diversity found in the northerly site and lower diversity in the southerly site, contrary to current knowledge (Wagner et al., accepted). We also measured CH4 and CO2 concentrations in the soil, which showed to be orders of magnitude higher than in the atmosphere (Arndt et al., 2016). Our results contributed to model development (Xu et al., 2016; Kobayashi et al., 2016; Liljedahl et al., 2016; Luus et al., 2017), and to a wide variety of other projects as shown by the hundreds of download of our data from Ameriflux. Overall, this grant resulted in the publication of 25 peer reviewed journal articles, including in high impact factor journals such as PNAS (Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America), and Nature Climate Change, in addition to five more in review and in preparation, and supported the research of seven PhD students, two master students, and ten undergraduate students. 

Abstract. The warming of the Arctic is affecting the carbon cycle of tundraecosystems. Most research on carbon fluxes from Arctic tundra ecosystems hasfocused on abiotic environmental controls (e.g., temperature, rainfall, orradiation). However, Arctic tundra vegetation, and therefore the carbonbalance of these ecosystems, can be substantially impacted by herbivory. Inthis study we tested how vegetation consumption by brown lemmings (Lemmus trimucronatus) canimpact carbon exchange of a wet-sedge tundra ecosystem near Utqiaġvik,Alaska during the summer and the recovery of vegetation during the followingsummer. We placed brown lemmings in individual enclosure plots and testedthe impact of lemmings' herbivory on carbon dioxide (CO2) fluxes, methane(CH4) fluxes, and the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI)immediately after lemming removal and during the following growing season.During the first summer of the experiment, lemmings' herbivory reduced plantbiomass (as shown by the decrease in the NDVI) and decreased net CO2uptake while not significantly impacting CH4 emissions. CH4emissions were likely not significantly affected due to CH4 beingproduced deeper in the soil and escaping from the stem bases of the vascularplants. The summer following the lemming treatments, NDVI and net CO2fluxes returned to magnitudes similar to those observed before the start ofthe experiment, suggesting a complete recovery of the vegetation and atransitory nature of the impact of lemming herbivory. Overall, lemmingherbivory has short-term but substantial effects on carbon sequestration byvegetation and might contribute to the considerable interannual variabilityin CO2 fluxes from tundra ecosystems.