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Abstract Mid-depth North Pacific waters are rich in nutrients and respired carbon accumulated over centuries. The rates and pathways with which these waters exchange with the surface ocean are uncertain, with divergent paradigms of the Pacific overturning: one envisions bottom waters upwelling to 1.5 km depth; the other confines overturning beneath a mid-depth Pacific shadow zone (PSZ) shielded from mean advection. Here global inverse modelling reveals a PSZ where mean ages exceed 1400 years with overturning beneath. The PSZ is supplied primarily by Antarctic and North-Atlantic ventilated waters diffusing from below and from the south. Half of PSZ waters re-surface in the Southern Ocean, a quarter in the subarctic Pacific. The abyssal North Pacific, despite strong overturning, has mean re-surfacing times also exceeding 1400 years because of diffusion into the overlying PSZ. These results imply that diffusive transports – distinct from overturning transports – are a leading control on Pacific nutrient and carbon storage. 

The Southern Hemisphere westerly winds influence deep ocean circulation and carbon storage. While the westerlies are hypothesized to play a key role in regulating atmospheric CO₂over glacial‐interglacial cycles, past changes in their position and strength remain poorly constrained. Here, we use a compilation of planktic foraminiferal δ¹⁸O from across the Southern Ocean and emergent relationships within an ensemble of climate models to reconstruct changes in the Southern Hemisphere surface westerlies over the last deglaciation. We infer a 4.8° (2.9–7.1°, 95% confidence interval) equatorward shift and about a 25% weakening of the westerlies during the Last Glacial Maximum (20 ka) relative to the mid‐Holocene (6.5 ka). Climate models from the Palaeoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project substantially underestimate this inferred equatorward wind shift. According to our reconstruction, the poleward shift in the westerlies over deglaciation closely mirrors the rise in atmospheric CO₂(R² = 0.98). Experiments with a 0.25° resolution ocean‐sea‐ice‐carbon model suggest that shifting the westerlies equatorward reduces the overturning rate of the ocean below 2 km depth, leading to a suppression of CO₂outgassing from the polar Southern Ocean. Our results support a role for the westerly winds in driving the deglacial CO₂rise, and suggest outgassing of natural CO₂from the Southern Ocean is likely to increase as the westerlies shift poleward due to anthropogenic warming.

 

Diapycnal mixing shapes the distribution of climatically important tracers, such as heat and carbon, as these are carried by dense water masses in the ocean interior. Here, we analyze a suite of observation‐based estimates of diapycnal mixing to assess its role within the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). The rate of water mass transformation in the Atlantic Ocean's interior shows that there is a robust buoyancy increase in the North Atlantic Deep Water (NADW, neutral densityγⁿ ≃ 27.6–28.15), with a diapycnal circulation of 0.5–8 Sv between 48°N and 32°S in the Atlantic Ocean. Moreover, tracers within the southward‐flowing NADW may undergo a substantial diapycnal transfer, equivalent to a vertical displacement of hundreds of meters in the vertical. This result, confirmed with a zonally averaged numerical model of the AMOC, indicates that mixing can alter where tracers upwell in the Southern Ocean, ultimately affecting their global pathways and ventilation timescales. These results point to the need for a realistic mixing representation in climate models in order to understand and credibly project the ongoing climate change.