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The climate model hierarchy encompasses models of varying complexity along different axes, ranging from idealized models that elegantly describe isolated mechanisms to fully coupled Earth system models that aspire to provide useable climate projections. Based on the second Model Hierarchies Workshop, which took place in 2022, we present perspectives on how this field has evolved since the first Model Hierarchies Workshop in 2016. In this period, we have witnessed a dramatic increase in the use of (a) machine learning in climate modeling and (b) climate models to estimate risks and influence decision making under climate change. Here, we discuss the implications of these growing areas of research and how we expect them to become integrated into the model hierarchies framework.

Competing theories exist for the generation mechanism of auroral medium‐frequency burst (MFB). In an effort to constrain MFB source heights, this study analyzes 33 events in which MFB and auroral 2f_ceroar co‐occurred at Sondrestrom, Greenland. Using measurements from an array of receiving antennas, direction‐of‐arrival calculations indicate that in a given co‐occurrence, the elevation angle of MFB typically is higher than that of roar. Ray tracing is used to determine source heights of the MFB signals. Density profiles are obtained from the International Reference Ionosphere (IRI) and shifted in magnitude until each event's roar signals originate at heights where the frequency‐matching condition for 2f_ceroar generation is satisfied. This shifting method is validated using density measurements from the Sondrestrom incoherent scatter radar (ISR) facility for the two events with available ISR data. After shifting, ray tracing demonstrates that in 25 of the 33 events, burst originates at a height of about 200 km, lower than the typical altitude of peak electron density. However, ISR measurements show that the density profile is enhanced at low altitudes while MFB is observed, peaking in theEregion rather than theFregion. This finding implies that the MFB sources at 200 km are on the topside of the density peak, in a region of downward pointing density gradient, in qualitative agreement with the mechanism of MFB generation by Langmuir waves in the topside ionosphere. These results also suggest a new method of estimating density in the polar cap using roar signals to calibrate IRI profiles.

Global tropical cyclone (TC) frequency is investigated in a 50‐km‐resolution aquaplanet model forced by zonally symmetric sea surface temperature (SST). TC frequency per unit area is found to be proportional to the Coriolis parameter at the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ), as defined by the latitude of maximum precipitation. As the latitude of maximum SST is shifted northward from the equator, the precipitation maximum moves northward and TC frequency increases. When the SST maximum is shifted northward past 25°N, the precipitation maximum remains between 15°N and 20°N, and TC frequency per unit area is approximately constant. When applied to observed precipitation and SST data, the same scaling captures a substantial fraction of observed TCs. Results suggest that future changes in TC activity will be modulated by changes in the large‐scale circulation, and in particular that the ITCZ location is an important determinant of the number of TCs.