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Abstract Trench‐parallel translation of the Central American Forearc (CAFA) is the result of strain partitioning along the Cocos and Caribbean (CA) convergent margin. Unlike the tectonics of northwestern Costa Rica and El Salvador, CAFA‐CA relative motion in Nicaragua is not accommodated on margin‐parallel fault systems. Rather, the northwest‐trending dextral shear is accommodated on margin‐normal sinistral strike‐slip faults that approximate the motion of a margin‐parallel fault (i.e., bookshelf faulting). We compare a new Global Positioning System interseismic horizontal velocity field to analytical and numerical models to show that the bookshelf faulting model can produce the observed velocity field and provide insight into the kinematics and configuration of the margin‐normal fault system. We find that a fault system with 20 km‐long parallel to sub‐parallel margin‐normal sinistral faults, spaced ∼5 km apart, locked from the surface to 5 km depth, and with interseismic slip deficits of 4 mm yr−1, can replicate the observed velocity field. These findings have implications for the region's seismic hazard where shallow moderate‐magnitude earthquakes will have reoccurrence intervals of ∼50 years. These findings are also important for volcanic hazard estimation and unrest forecasting because the margin‐normal faults are in the volcanic arc and magma‐tectonic interactions have been documented along the CAFA.more » « less
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Cascading Hazards in a Migrating Forearc‐Arc System: Earthquake and Eruption Triggering in NicaraguaAbstract Strain partitioning in oblique convergent margins results in margin‐parallel shear in the overriding plate. Margin‐parallel shear is often accommodated by margin‐parallel strike‐slip faults proximal to active volcanic arcs. Along the Nicaraguan segment of the Central American Forearc (CAFA) in the Cocos‐Caribbean plate convergent margin, there are no well‐expressed right‐lateral faults that accommodate CA‐CAFA relative motion. Instead, historical earthquakes and mapped fault orientations indicate that the ∼12 mm/yr of dextral motion is accommodated on arc‐normal, left‐lateral faults (i.e., bookshelf faults). We investigate three upper‐plate earthquakes; the 10 April 2014 (Mw6.1), 15 September 2016 (Mw5.7), and 28 September 2016 (Mw5.5), using Global Position System co‐seismic displacements and relocated earthquake aftershocks. Our analyses of the three earthquakes indicate that the 10 April 2014 earthquake ruptured an unmapped margin‐parallel right‐lateral fault in Lago Xolotlán (Managua) and the September 2016 earthquakes ruptured arc‐normal, left‐lateral and oblique‐slip faults. These earthquakes represent a triggered sequence whereby the 10 April 2014 earthquake promoted failure of the faults that ruptured in September 2016 by imparting a static Coulomb stress change (ΔCFS) of 0.02–0.07 MPa. Likewise, the 15 September 2016, earthquake additionally promoted failure (ΔCFS of 0.08–0.1 MPa) on sub‐parallel faults that ruptured in two subsequent earthquakes. We also present an instance of magma‐tectonic interaction whereby the 10 April 2014 earthquake dilated (10s of μStrain) the shallow magmatic system of Momotombo Volcano, which led to magma injection, ascent, and eruption on 1 December 2015, after ∼100 years of quiescence.more » « less
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Abstract Volcanic summit craters are typically noted to form by roof collapse into a depressurized magma chamber or by explosive excavation. Recent examples of effusive activity (e.g., Kilauea Volcano, Hawai'i) allowed specifically for quantification of the collapse process. However, small spatiotemporal morphologic change related to background mass wasting and low‐level explosive activity has not been well quantified in volcanic craters. Telica volcano, Nicaragua, is a persistently restless basaltic‐andesite stratovolcano. Telica's persistent restlessness is caused by a long‐lived magmatic‐hydrothermal system with high‐temperature crater fumaroles and low‐frequency seismicity, punctuated by subdecadal, low‐explosivity (VEI 1–2) phreatic eruptions. We use photographic observations (1994 to 2017) and structure‐from‐motion point cloud construction and differencing (2011 to 2017) to analyze changes at Telica in the context of summit crater formation and eruptive precursors. Crater wall retreat (up to 40 m) spatially correlates with long‐lived high‐temperature fumaroles in the crater walls, whereas eruptions eject material (>5 m) from the crater floor through vent formation and/or clearing. These processes sustain a morphology similar to that of pit craters but without a shallow depressurized magma chamber. Our observations indicate system‐wide sealing prior to eruption by viscous magma in the conduit and eruption of a dome in 2017 and hydrothermal mineralization, not from vent covering talus; though, vent covering talus can redirect the shallow conduit. This study shows promise for photogrammetric techniques in correlating morphologic change with summit crater formation and volcanic activity and the power of long‐term visual observations in understanding active volcanic processes.more » « less
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We combine Global Positioning System and Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) data to characterize the interseismic behavior (i.e., locked or creeping), and strain partitioning for the faults along the Caribbean‐South American transform plate boundary. Interseismic strain is distributed mainly on three faults, the San Sebastian, El Pilar, and Central Range faults, but partitioning occurs across multiple faults in the west (San Sebastian and La Victoria faults) and east (Sub‐Tobago Terrane, Central Range, and South Coast faults). In northern Venezuela, slip is partitioned on the San Sebastian (16.4 ± 1.7 mm/yr) and La Victoria (4.3 ± 0.9 mm/yr) faults. In north‐eastern Venezuela, the El Pilar fault accommodates slip at a rate of 18.6 ± 1.8 mm/yr. In Trinidad and Tobago, slip is partitioned between the Sub‐Tobago Terrane (3.0 ± 0.1 mm/yr), Central Range (14.5 ± 2.0 mm/yr), and South Coast (3.0 ± 0.1 mm/yr) faults. The La Victoria, San Sebastian, the western El Pilar segment, and Sub‐Tobago Terrane faults are locked to depths of 16.2 ± 4.0 km, 7.7 ± 5.2 km, 6.7 ± 2.8 km, and 8.0 ± 0.2 km, respectively. The eastern segment of the El Pilar, the Central Range, and the South Coast faults all creep. Our new InSAR results indicate that the entire Central Range Fault is creeping. The locked western segment of this transform plate boundary is capable of producing a Mw8 earthquake, which is a significant finding regarding seismic hazard and risk.more » « less
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