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  1. In this thesis we propose novel estimation techniques for localization and planning problems, which are key challenges in long-term autonomy. We take inspiration in our methods from non-parametric estimation and use tools such as kernel density estimation, non-linear least-squares optimization, binary masking, and random sampling. We show that these methods, by avoiding explicit parametric models, outperform existing methods that use them. Despite the seeming differences between localization and planning, we demonstrate in this thesis that the problems share core structural similarities. When real or simulation-sampled measurements are expensive, noisy, or high variance, non-parametric estimation techniques give higher-quality results in less time. We first address two localization problems. In order to permit localization with a set of ad hoc-placed radios, we propose an ultra-wideband (UWB) graph realization system to localize the radios. Our system achieves high accuracy and robustness by using kernel density estimation for measurement probability densities, by explicitly modeling antenna delays, and by optimizing this combination with a non-linear least squares formulation. Next, in order to then support robotic navigation, we present a flexible system for simultaneous localization and mapping (SLAM) that combines elements from both traditional dense metric SLAM and topological SLAM, using a binary "masking function" to focus attention. This masking function controls which lidar scans are available for loop closures. We provide several masking functions based on approximate topological class detectors. We then examine planning problems in the final chapter and in the appendix. In order to plan with uncertainty around multiple dynamic agents, we describe Monte-Carlo Policy-Tree Decision Making (MCPTDM), a framework for efficiently computing policies in partially-observable, stochastic, continuous problems. MCPTDM composes a sequence of simpler closed-loop policies and uses marginal action costs and particle repetition to improve cost estimates and sample efficiency by reducing variance. Finally, in the appendix we explore Learned Similarity Monte-Carlo Planning (LSMCP), where we seek to enhance the sample efficiency of partially observable Monte Carlo tree search-based planning by taking advantage of similarities in the final outcomes of similar states and actions. We train a multilayer perceptron to learn a similarity function which we then use to enhance value estimates in the planning. Collectively, we show in this thesis that non-parametric methods promote long-term autonomy by reducing error and increasing robustness across multiple domains. 
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  2. null (Ed.)
    Factor graph chains– the special case of a factor graph in which there are no potentials connecting non-adjacent nodes– arise naturally in many robotics problems. Importantly, they are often part of an inner loop in trajectory optimization and estimation problems, and so applications can be very sensitive to the performance of a solver. Of course, it is well-known that factor graph chains have an O(N) solution, but an actual solution is often left as “an exercise to the reader”... with the inevitable consequence that few (if any) efficient solutions are readily available. In this paper, we carefully derive the solution while keeping track of the specific block structure that arises, we work through a number of practical implementation challenges, and we highlight additional optimizations that are not at first apparent. An easy-to-use and self-contained solver is provided in C, which outperforms the AprilSAM general-purpose sparse matrix factorization library by a factor of 7.3x even without specialized block operations. The name AXLE reflects the names of the key matrices involved (the approach here solves the linear problem AX = E by factoring A as LLT ), while also reflecting its key application in kino-dynamic trajectory estimation of vehicles with axles. 
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  3. Robots working collaboratively can share observations with others to improve team performance, but communication bandwidth is limited. Recognizing this, an agent must decide which observations to communicate to best serve the team. Accurately estimating the value of a single communication is expensive; finding an optimal combination of observations to put in the message is intractable. In this paper, we present OCBC, an algorithm for Optimizing Communication under Bandwidth Constraints. OCBC uses forward simulation to evaluate communications and applies a bandit-based combinatorial optimization algorithm to select what to include in a message. We evaluate OCBC’s performance in a simulated multi-robot navigation task. We show that OCBC achieves better task performance than a state-of-the-art method while communicating up to an order of magnitude less. 
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