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Abstract Westward-propagating Caribbean Current eddies modify the volume-integrated potential vorticity (PV) balance in the western Caribbean Sea, influencing the circulation of the Panamá–Colombia Gyre (PCG) and coastal currents hundreds of kilometers to the south of the eddies’ mean trajectory. Using 22 years of output from the Hybrid Coordinate Ocean Model, we apply a volume-integrated eddy phase-averaged 1.5-layer PV balance, showing that PV fluxes into the PCG region are balanced by frictional PV dissipation represented by linear drag along the coastline. Coastal currents in the PCG region vary by a factor of 2 in phase with the passage of a Caribbean Current eddy over the 116-day average eddy period. Flow separation at the Isthmus of Panamá results in a vortex shed from the Darien Gulf, which slows the coastal currents in the gyre region from their maximum during eddy events. An annual ensemble average PV balance in the gyre region shows that the mean PV influx to this region is higher from August to October. Correspondingly, the range of coastal currents in the gyre region over an eddy event is modestly influenced by the PV influx magnitude. Eddy-influenced reversals in the coastal current can occur between November and July at Bocas del Toro and year-round at Colón. Such coastal current reversals are important for the alongshore transport of larvae, freshwater, and chemical tracers. 

Land use and land cover (LULC) can significantly alter river water, which can in turn have important impacts on downstream coastal ecosystems by delivering nutrients that promote marine eutrophication and hypoxia. Well-documented in temperate systems, less is known about the way land cover relates to water quality in low-lying coastal zones in the tropics. Here we evaluate the catchment LULC and the physical and chemical characteristics of six rivers that contribute flow into a seasonally hypoxic tropical bay in Bocas del Toro, Panama. From July 2019 to March 2020, we routinely surveyed eight physical and chemical characteristics (temperature, specific conductivity, salinity, pH, dissolved oxygen (DO), nitrate and nitrite, ammonium, and phosphate). Our goals were to determine how these physical and chemical characteristics of the rivers reflect the LULC, to compare the water quality of the focal rivers to rivers across Panama, and to discuss the potential impacts of river discharge in the Bay. Overall, we found that the six focal rivers have significantly different river water characteristics that can be linked to catchment LULC and that water quality of rivers 10 s of kilometers apart could differ drastically. Two focal catchments dominated by pristine peat swamp vegetation in San San Pond Sak, showed characteristics typical of blackwater rivers, with low pH, dissolved oxygen, and nutrients. The remaining four catchments were largely mountainous with >50% forest cover. In these rivers, variation in nutrient concentrations were associated with percent urbanization. Comparisons across Panamanian rivers covered in a national survey to our focal rivers shows that saltwater intrusions and low DO of coastal swamp rivers may result in their classification by a standardized water quality index as having slightly contaminated water quality, despite this being their natural state. Examination of deforestation over the last 20 years, show that changes were <10% in the focal catchments, were larger in the small mountainous catchments and suggest that in the past 20 years the physical and chemical characteristics of river water that contributes to Almirante Bay may have shifted slightly in response to these moderate land use changes. (See supplementary information for Spanish-language abstract).