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  1. Although the literature provides valuable insight into tornado vulnerability and resilience, there are still research gaps in assessing tornadoes’ impact on communities and transportation infrastructure, especially in the wake of the rapidly changing frequency and strength of tornadoes due to climate change. In this study, we first investigated the relationship between tornado exposure and demographic-, socioeconomic-, and transportation-related factors in our study area, the state of Kentucky. Tornado exposures for each U.S. census block group (CBG) were calculated by utilizing spatial analysis methods such as kernel density estimation and zonal statistics. Tornadoes between 1950 and 2022 were utilized to calculate tornado density values as a surrogate variable for tornado exposure. Since tornado density varies over space, a multiscale geographically weighted regression model was employed to consider spatial heterogeneity over the study region rather than using global regression such as ordinary least squares (OLS). The findings indicated that tornado density varied over the study area. The southwest portion of Kentucky and Jefferson County, which has low residential density, showed high levels of tornado exposure. In addition, relationships between the selected factors and tornado exposure also changed over space. For example, transportation costs as a percentage of income for the regional typical household was found to be strongly associated with tornado exposure in southwest Kentucky, whereas areas close to Jefferson County indicated an opposite association. The second part of this study involves the quantification of the tornado impact on roadways by using two different methods, and results were mapped. Although in both methods the same regions were found to be impacted, the second method highlighted the central CBGs rather than the peripheries. Information gathered by such an investigation can assist authorities in identifying vulnerable regions from both transportation network and community perspectives. From tornado debris handling to community preparedness, this type of work has the potential to inform sustainability-focused plans and policies in the state of Kentucky.

     
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available February 1, 2025
  2. Free, publicly-accessible full text available February 1, 2025
  3. Energy insecurity poses a global challenge with far-reaching social equity and health implications. This paper provides a comprehensive perspective on the relationship between energy insecurity and health outcomes in developed countries. Existing research has identified associations between energy insecurity and various physical and mental health outcomes. Moreover, climate change can exacerbate the adverse health consequences of energy insecurity, disproportionately affecting vulnerable populations. Based on a review of existing literature, this paper identifies several knowledge gaps, proposes future research directions, and discusses data challenges faced by researchers in measuring energy insecurity and assessing the health impacts of existing programs that tackle energy insecurity. Furthermore, the paper highlights the importance of fostering collaboration among different governmental agencies and other sectors to enhance energy insecurity program management and data collection for program evaluation.

     
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available August 25, 2024
  4. Hurricane-induced storm surge and flooding often lead to the closures of evacuation routes, which can be disruptive for the victims trying to leave the impacted region. This problem becomes even more challenging when we consider the impact of sea level rise that happens due to global warming and other climate-related factors. As such, hurricane-induced storm surge elevations would increase nonlinearly when sea level rise lifts, flooding access to highways and bridge entrances, thereby reducing accessibility for affected census block groups to evacuate to hurricane shelters during hurricane landfall. This happened with the Category 5 Hurricane Michael which swept the east coast of Northwest Florida with long-lasting damage and impact on local communities and infrastructure. In this paper, we propose an integrated methodology that utilizes both sea level rise (SLR) scenario-informed storm surge simulations and floating catchment area models built in Geographical Information Systems (GIS). First, we set up sea level rise scenarios of 0, 0.5, 1, and 1.5 m with a focus on Hurricane Michael’s impact that led to the development of storm surge models. Second, these storm surge simulation outputs are fed into ArcGIS and floating catchment area-based scenarios are created to study the accessibility of shelters. Findings indicate that rural areas lost accessibility faster than urban areas due to a variety of factors including shelter distributions, and roadway closures as spatial accessibility to shelters for offshore populations was rapidly diminishing. We also observed that as inundation level increases, urban census block groups that are closer to the shelters get extremely high accessibility scores through FCA calculations compared to the other block groups. Results of this study could guide and help revise existing strategies for designing emergency response plans and update resilience action policies.

     
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available July 1, 2024
  5. Free, publicly-accessible full text available July 1, 2024
  6. Free, publicly-accessible full text available July 1, 2024
  7. Storm surge and evacuation traffic under the observed track of Hurricane Michael (2018) showed clear accessibility and evacuation challenges for Panama City, Florida although the city was not hit directly. Since a possible Hurricane Michael track within National Hurricane Center (NHC)'s forecasted hurricane cone was Panama City, this paper tries to answer the following questions: What if Hurricane Michael hit Panama City directly? How would the special needs populations and their accessibility to Special Needs Shelters (SpNS) be impacted, and what could have been done to alleviate this impact? A previously validated storm surge model was used to predict storm surge inundations under this different hurricane track. Based on the impact of these coastal inundations, a GIS-based optimization methodology was developed to evaluate the accessibility and siting of special needs shelters. Results indicate that if Hurricane Michael had shifted to Panama City in 2018, most of the coastal region of Panama City would have been inundated, compelling residents to evacuate. The possible landfall of Michael in this simulation would also lead to a maximum storm surge of 5 to 6 m on the coast, which is above FEMA's 100-year flood elevation. In addition, the only evacuation route out of Panama City area, when the bridges with their access roads were flooded, was US 231. This would have been life-threatening since there is only one SpNS in the north of the city accessible by this roadway. The proposed analysis studies the accessibility of this SpNS shelter and provides a reasonable approach for SpNS shelter siting or repurposing regular shelters for this purpose based on the hypothesized travel time most likely to be experienced on roadway networks based on the impact of Hurricane Michael. Emergency plans can be updated by the results of this optimization model, which can locate additional sites or shelter locations while minimizing the travel costs and integrating the impact of storm surge modeling and transportation accessibility analysis. 
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