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This study explores the factors that enable cities to navigate renewable energy (RE) transitions despite limited state support, using a qualitative case study of 13 Florida cities committed to 100 % RE goals. Adapting the Transition Management framework to the U.S. federalist context, we find that local actors overcome state regime barriers through polycentric governance. Local governments leverage their policymaking autonomy and dedicated sustainability offices to institutionalize RE efforts and implement local policy changes to support RE. Nonprofits not only act as advocates and information providers, but also serve as consultants to shape local policies and lead regional collaboration to secure external funding for RE, filling the gap left by the absence of state support. Additionally, local governments, utilities and nonprofits utilize diverse financing mechanisms for RE projects and choose RE and complementary technologies based on local financial and technical capacities. Energy justice principles are embedded in local programs and policymaking processes to promote distributional and procedural justice, and some of these efforts are driven by federal policies or non-state actors. These findings offer valuable insights into sustainable and equitable RE transitions, demonstrating the potential for local action to drive substantial progress, even in the absence of state-level support.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available March 1, 2026
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Southeastern United States frequently experience tornadoes, necessitating rapid response and recovery efforts by state and federal agencies. Accurate information about the extent and severity of tornado-induced damage, especially debris volume and locations, is crucial for these efforts. This study, therefore, focuses on post-tornado debris assessment in Leon County, Florida, which was hit by two EF-2 and an EF-1 tornadoes in May 2024. Using satellite imagery from the Planetscope satellite and Geographic Information Systems (GIS), a macro-level evaluation of tornado debris impact was conducted, particularly on roadways and impacted communities. The proposed approach includes an evaluation of the overall post-tornado debris impact across the entire county and its population, and a detailed analysis of debris impact on roadways and its effect on accessibility. Spectral indices from satellite images, specifically the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), were utilized to derive assessment parameters. By comparing NDVI values from pre- and post-tornado images, we analyzed changes in vegetation and debris accumulation along roadway segments leading to possible roadway closures. This integrated method provides critical insights for enhancing disaster response and recovery operations in tornado-prone regions. Findings indicate that high volumes of vegetative debris were present in the south-central parts of the county, which is occupied by the highest population of county residents. The roadway segments in this region also recorded highest debris volumes, which is a critical information for agencies that need to know highly impacted locations. Comparing the results to ground truth damage data, the accuracy recorded was 74%.more » « less
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Individual evacuation decision making has been studied for multiple decades mainly using theory-based approaches, such as random utility theory. This study aims to bridge the research gap that no studies have adopted data-driven approaches in modeling the compliance of hurricane evacuees with government-issued evacuation orders using survey data. To achieve this, we conducted a survey in two coastal metropolitan regions of Florida (Jacksonville and Tampa) during the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season. After preprocessing survey data, we employed three supervised learning algorithms with different complexities, namely, multinomial logistic regression, random forest, and support vector classifier, to predict evacuation decisions under various hypothetical hurricane threats. We found that the evacuation decision is mainly determined by people’s perception of hurricane risk regardless of whether the government issued an order; COVID-19 risk is not a major factor in evacuation decisions but influences the destination type choice if an evacuation decision is made. Additionally, past and future evacuation destination types were found to be highly correlated. After comparing the algorithms for predicting evacuation decisions, we found that random forest can achieve satisfactory classification performance, especially for certain categories or when some categories are merged. Finally, we presented a conceptual optimization model to incorporate the data-driven modeling approach for evacuation behavior into a government-led evacuation planning framework to improve the compliance rate.more » « less
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Given the growing attention on citizen involvement in local sustainability, this study explores how citizens evaluate government sustainability performance stemming from exploitation (established policies) and exploration strategies (pioneering initiatives). Our survey experiment finds that positive sustainability performance resulting from exploitation achieves more favourable citizen evaluations compared to exploration. Negative sustainability performance does not moderate the associations between sustainability strategies and public assessments. Furthermore, Republicans, individuals with low climate beliefs, Hispanics, and low-income citizens prefer exploitation over exploration. As an early attempt to examine citizen preferences for organizational strategies, this study extends performance management research by linking organizational strategies with performance.more » « less
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Although the literature provides valuable insight into tornado vulnerability and resilience, there are still research gaps in assessing tornadoes’ impact on communities and transportation infrastructure, especially in the wake of the rapidly changing frequency and strength of tornadoes due to climate change. In this study, we first investigated the relationship between tornado exposure and demographic-, socioeconomic-, and transportation-related factors in our study area, the state of Kentucky. Tornado exposures for each U.S. census block group (CBG) were calculated by utilizing spatial analysis methods such as kernel density estimation and zonal statistics. Tornadoes between 1950 and 2022 were utilized to calculate tornado density values as a surrogate variable for tornado exposure. Since tornado density varies over space, a multiscale geographically weighted regression model was employed to consider spatial heterogeneity over the study region rather than using global regression such as ordinary least squares (OLS). The findings indicated that tornado density varied over the study area. The southwest portion of Kentucky and Jefferson County, which has low residential density, showed high levels of tornado exposure. In addition, relationships between the selected factors and tornado exposure also changed over space. For example, transportation costs as a percentage of income for the regional typical household was found to be strongly associated with tornado exposure in southwest Kentucky, whereas areas close to Jefferson County indicated an opposite association. The second part of this study involves the quantification of the tornado impact on roadways by using two different methods, and results were mapped. Although in both methods the same regions were found to be impacted, the second method highlighted the central CBGs rather than the peripheries. Information gathered by such an investigation can assist authorities in identifying vulnerable regions from both transportation network and community perspectives. From tornado debris handling to community preparedness, this type of work has the potential to inform sustainability-focused plans and policies in the state of Kentucky.more » « less
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Energy insecurity poses a global challenge with far-reaching social equity and health implications. This paper provides a comprehensive perspective on the relationship between energy insecurity and health outcomes in developed countries. Existing research has identified associations between energy insecurity and various physical and mental health outcomes. Moreover, climate change can exacerbate the adverse health consequences of energy insecurity, disproportionately affecting vulnerable populations. Based on a review of existing literature, this paper identifies several knowledge gaps, proposes future research directions, and discusses data challenges faced by researchers in measuring energy insecurity and assessing the health impacts of existing programs that tackle energy insecurity. Furthermore, the paper highlights the importance of fostering collaboration among different governmental agencies and other sectors to enhance energy insecurity program management and data collection for program evaluation.more » « less
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Hurricane-induced storm surge and flooding often lead to the closures of evacuation routes, which can be disruptive for the victims trying to leave the impacted region. This problem becomes even more challenging when we consider the impact of sea level rise that happens due to global warming and other climate-related factors. As such, hurricane-induced storm surge elevations would increase nonlinearly when sea level rise lifts, flooding access to highways and bridge entrances, thereby reducing accessibility for affected census block groups to evacuate to hurricane shelters during hurricane landfall. This happened with the Category 5 Hurricane Michael which swept the east coast of Northwest Florida with long-lasting damage and impact on local communities and infrastructure. In this paper, we propose an integrated methodology that utilizes both sea level rise (SLR) scenario-informed storm surge simulations and floating catchment area models built in Geographical Information Systems (GIS). First, we set up sea level rise scenarios of 0, 0.5, 1, and 1.5 m with a focus on Hurricane Michael’s impact that led to the development of storm surge models. Second, these storm surge simulation outputs are fed into ArcGIS and floating catchment area-based scenarios are created to study the accessibility of shelters. Findings indicate that rural areas lost accessibility faster than urban areas due to a variety of factors including shelter distributions, and roadway closures as spatial accessibility to shelters for offshore populations was rapidly diminishing. We also observed that as inundation level increases, urban census block groups that are closer to the shelters get extremely high accessibility scores through FCA calculations compared to the other block groups. Results of this study could guide and help revise existing strategies for designing emergency response plans and update resilience action policies.more » « less
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