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Abstract Supraglacial lakes have been observed to drain within hours of each other, leading to the hypothesis that stress transmission following one drainage may be sufficient to induce hydro‐fracture‐driven drainages of other nearby lakes. However, available observations characterizing drainage‐induced stress perturbations have been insufficient to evaluate this hypothesis. Here, we use ice‐sheet surface‐displacement observations from a dense global positioning system array deployed in the Greenland Ice Sheet ablation zone to investigate elastic stress transmission between three neighboring supraglacial lake basins. We find that drainage of a central lake can place neighboring basins in either tensional or compressional stress relative to their hydro‐fracture scarp orientations, either promoting or inhibiting hydro‐fracture initiation beneath those lakes. For two lakes located within our array that drain close in time, we identify tensional surface stresses caused by ice‐sheet uplift due to basal‐cavity opening as the physical explanation for these lakes' temporally clustered hydro‐fracture‐driven drainages and frequent triggering behavior. However, lake‐drainage‐induced stresses in the up‐flowline direction remain low beyond the margins of the drained lakes. This short stress‐coupling length scale is consistent with idealized lake‐drainage scenarios for a range of lake volumes and ice‐sheet thicknesses. Thus, on elastic timescales, our observations and idealized‐model results support a stress‐transmission hypothesis for inducing hydro‐fracture‐driven drainage of lakes located within the region of basal cavity opening produced by the initial drainage, but refute this hypothesis for distal lakes. 

Abstract The flow speed of the Greenland Ice Sheet changes dramatically in inland regions when surface meltwater drains to the bed. But ice-sheet discharge to the ocean is dominated by fast-flowing outlet glaciers, where the effect of increasing surface melt on annual discharge is unknown. Observations of a supraglacial lake drainage at Helheim Glacier, and a consequent velocity pulse propagating down-glacier, provide a natural experiment for assessing the impact of changes in injected meltwater, and allow us to interrogate the subglacial hydrological system. We find a highly efficient subglacial drainage system, such that summertime lake drainage has little net effect on ice discharge. Our results question the validity of common remote-sensing approaches for inferring subglacial conditions, knowledge of which is needed for improved projections of sea-level rise.