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Bortner, Cashous; Garbett, Jennifer; Gross, Elizabeth; Krawzik, Naomi; McClain, Christopher; Young, Derek (, Algebraic Statistics)
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Jiang, Yi; Kurianski, Kristin M; Lee, Jane HyoJin; Ma, Yanping; Cicala, Daniel; Ledder, Glenn (, Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering)We develop a mechanistic model that classifies individuals both in terms of epidemiological status (SIR) and vaccination attitude (Willing or Unwilling/Unable), with the goal of discovering how disease spread is influenced by changing opinions about vaccination. Analysis of the model identifies the existence and stability criteria for both disease-free and endemic disease equilibria. The analytical results, supported by numerical simulations, show that attitude changes induced by disease prevalence can destabilize endemic disease equilibria, resulting in limit cycles.more » « less
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