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  1. Abstract Data obtained during the NSF-funded Experiment of Sea Breeze Convection, Aerosols, Precipitation, and Environment (ESCAPE) field campaign and conventional observations are used to evaluate the physical mechanisms responsible for convection initiation (CI) over coastal Texas during the 2 June 2022 intensive observational period. Failed CI attempts first occurred about 1300 UTC (8 am local time, LT) along a decaying land breeze located parallel to and offshore of the Texas coastline. Subsequent successful CI, which occurred around 1430 UTC (9:30 am LT), required the assistance of gravity waves that formed as an upstream MCS cold pool perturbed the stable lower troposphere. Upon the interaction between the leading radar-detected gravity wave and the offshore remnants of the land breeze, convective cells developed along the length of the offshore boundary. Outflow from this line of cells moved inland and initiated new convective cells resulting in widespread convection over the coastal zone that continued past 2000 UTC (3:00 pm LT). Results from this work illustrate the complex chain of mechanisms that can lead to CI over coastal regions, and emphasizes the challenges encountered by forecasters in predicting coastal CI. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available March 31, 2027
  2. Abstract Convection initiation (CI) remains a formidable forecasting challenge, particularly along the coast. Examining Houston, Texas, radar observations of isolated cells’ CI spatiotemporal patterns for Junes from 2017 to 2022 revealed three patterns: cells forming exclusively over land (LAND), over coastal waters (GULF), or domainwide, initiating first over land (DW-L) or the water (DW-G). CI and dissipation times varied by regime. LAND events tended to typify the diurnal cycle, whereas GULF events tended to initiate overnight; both had durations < 10 h. In contrast, DW events began overnight and lasted until evening, with durations often exceeding 10–15 h. Synoptic-scale composites for each regime revealed only minimal forcing for ascent, suggesting the local environment’s importance for CI. Composite vertical profiles for CI locations revealed surface-based CAPE > 1500 J kg−1and CIN > −40 J kg−1for each regime. LAND had the hottest and driest lowest 1 km AGL, but was moistest between 1 and 2 km, suggesting LAND parcels originating below 1 km may be susceptible to entrainment and require moister midlevels for successful CI. We also found conditional instability below 1 km AGL for all regimes but a stable layer for GULF and neutral layers for LAND and DW-G between 1 and 2 km. This indicates saturation of air parcels within this layer is insufficient for CI, and mechanical lifting (e.g., sea breeze) would be necessary for CI. Indeed, all regimes featured potential instability throughout the lowest 4 km. However, only the LAND regime had a coastal density gradient conducive to sea-breeze formation; this indicates other lifting mechanisms may be important in the other regimes. Significance StatementForecasting the timing and location of storm formation is a major challenge, particularly in coastal areas. We endeavor to understand storm formation patterns in the Houston, Texas, area, with the main goal of better understanding how precursor atmospheric conditions may favor or disfavor such storm formation. We find four spatial patterns of storm formation: only over the land, only over coastal gulf waters, or over both land and gulf (but starting over land or the gulf). Average large-scale and local conditions were similar for each regime, with only subtle differences in their low-level temperature and humidity profiles. Results suggest that small-scale features like sea breezes thus are required for initiation, but only the LAND regime has sea-breeze-favorable conditions. 
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  3. Abstract Convective clouds play an important role in the Earth’s climate system and are a known source of extreme weather. Gaps in our understanding of convective vertical motions, microphysics, and precipitation across a full range of aerosol and meteorological regimes continue to limit our ability to predict the occurrence and intensity of these cloud systems. Towards improving predictability, the National Science Foundation (NSF) sponsored a large field experiment entitled “Experiment of Sea Breeze Convection, Aerosols, Precipitation, and Environment (ESCAPE).” ESCAPE took place between 30 May - 30 Sept. 2022 in the vicinity of Houston, TX because this area frequently experiences isolated deep convection that interacts with the region's mesoscale circulations and its range of aerosol conditions. ESCAPE focused on collecting observations of isolated deep convection through innovative sampling, and on developing novel analysis techniques. This included the deployment of two research aircraft, the National Research Council of Canada Convair-580 and the Stratton Park Engineering Company Learjet, which combined conducted 24 research flights from 30 May to 17 June. On the ground, three mobile X-band radars, and one mobile Doppler lidar truck equipped with soundings, were deployed from 30 May to 28 June. From 1 August to 30 Sept. 2022, a dual-polarization C-band radar was deployed and operated using a novel, multi-sensor agile adaptive sampling strategy to track the entire lifecycle of isolated convective clouds. Analysis of the ESCAPE observations has already yielded preliminary findings on how aerosols and environmental conditions impact the convective life cycle. 
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  4. Abstract A multi-agency succession of field campaigns was conducted in southeastern Texas during July 2021 through October 2022 to study the complex interactions of aerosols, clouds and air pollution in the coastal urban environment. As part of the Tracking Aerosol Convection interactions Experiment (TRACER), the TRACER- Air Quality (TAQ) campaign the Experiment of Sea Breeze Convection, Aerosols, Precipitation and Environment (ESCAPE) and the Convective Cloud Urban Boundary Layer Experiment (CUBE), a combination of ground-based supersites and mobile laboratories, shipborne measurements and aircraft-based instrumentation were deployed. These diverse platforms collected high-resolution data to characterize the aerosol microphysics and chemistry, cloud and precipitation micro- and macro-physical properties, environmental thermodynamics and air quality-relevant constituents that are being used in follow-on analysis and modeling activities. We present the overall deployment setups, a summary of the campaign conditions and a sampling of early research results related to: (a) aerosol precursors in the urban environment, (b) influences of local meteorology on air pollution, (c) detailed observations of the sea breeze circulation, (d) retrieved supersaturation in convective updrafts, (e) characterizing the convective updraft lifecycle, (f) variability in lightning characteristics of convective storms and (g) urban influences on surface energy fluxes. The work concludes with discussion of future research activities highlighted by the TRACER model-intercomparison project to explore the representation of aerosol-convective interactions in high-resolution simulations. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available August 4, 2026