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Reconstructing past climate from moraine records is complicated by the influence of non-climatic factors, particularly topography, on glacier extent. Such topographic controls have been widely identified in the literature, but a systematic quantitative assessment of their effects on glacier extent is lacking. Here, we investigate the relative influence of topographic and climatic factors on tropical glacier length variability in the Sierra Nevada del Cocuy, Colombia using a coupled ice-flow–energy-balance glacier model. Employing a parameter sweep over 450 topographic scenarios and 40 climatic scenarios for a total of 18,000 unique topo-climatic scenarios, we identify a critical transition in glacier length around 5 °C to 6 °C below modern temperature where variability in inter-valley glacier length shifts from headwall elevation-controlled to valley slope-controlled. We show through a relative weights analysis that, for this particular topo-climatic parameter space, climate accounts for 84% of the modeled variability in glacier length, while topography contributes 16%. Among climatic variables, temperature plays a more dominant role than precipitation, and headwall elevation influences glacier length most of any topographic variable. After accounting for all possible combinations of parameter subsets, we find that a sizable portion of topo-climatic scenarios (22%) yields glacier lengths dominated by topographic factors rather than climatic factors. These findings highlight the complex interplay between climate and topography, demonstrating that topography, though typically secondary to climate, has a notable impact on glacier length in this particular glacier regime. As such, this study provides a framework for quantifying the relative contributions of climate and topography to glacier evolution, critical for interpreting past glacier extents and predicting future changes. 

The reconstruction of former mountain glaciers from geomorphic mapping and cosmogenic-nuclide surface exposure dating provides a unique opportunity to infer patterns of past terrestrial climate variability. Tropical mountain glaciers are particularly valuable as there are comparatively few terrestrial climate proxies at equatorial latitudes relative to higher latitudes. As the single largest climate zone on Earth, the tropics play an outsized role in mediating global climate via the ocean-atmosphere transfer of latent heat and water vapor. Nonetheless, there remains a persistent gap in our understanding of how the tropics influenced – or were influenced by – the high-magnitude climate shifts of the Late Pleistocene, and whether this high-energy region simply responded to extratropical forcing or was itself a driver of global climatic change. To help address this knowledge gap, we analyzed geologic evidence for past glacial fluctuations in three adjacent valleys in the Sierra Nevada del Cocuy, the highest subrange of the Eastern Cordillera in the Colombian Andes, to provide a terrestrial record of atmospheric temperature during the latter part of Termination 1. Coupled with geomorphic mapping and paleo-snowline reconstructions, our beryllium-10 glacial chronology indicates that glaciers in the humid inner tropics underwent pronounced growth and gradual decay during the Antarctic Cold Reversal (14.5–12.8 ka) and Younger Dryas (12.8–11.7 ka) periods, respectively, following a trend that, according to directly dated moraine records from throughout both polar hemispheres, appears to have been global. While the specific mechanism(s) behind this large-scale behavior remains to be corroborated, we revisit the hypothesis that ocean atmosphere heat transfer and water vapor flux are key drivers of abrupt Lateglacial temperature fluctuations. Subsequent to the Lateglacial, deglaciation of the Sierra Nevada del Cocuy accelerated during the Early Holocene, a pattern also observed in other tropical glacier records. More recently, the magnitude of snowline rise and glacier retreat over the last two centuries supports the view that modern tropospheric warming is anomalously strong at least relative to the last ~16,000 years.