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Abstract Despite an increasing reliance on fully-automated algorithmic decision-making in our day-to-day lives, humans still make consequential decisions. While the existing literature focuses on the bias and fairness of algorithmic recommendations, an overlooked question is whether they improve human decisions. We develop a general statistical methodology for experimentally evaluating the causal impacts of algorithmic recommendations on human decisions. We also examine whether algorithmic recommendations improve the fairness of human decisions and derive the optimal decision rules under various settings. We apply the proposed methodology to the first-ever randomized controlled trial that evaluates the pretrial Public Safety Assessment in the United States criminal justice system. Our analysis of the preliminary data shows that providing the PSA to the judge has little overall impact on the judge’s decisions and subsequent arrestee behaviour.more » « less
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Ben-Michael, Eli; Imai, Kosuke; Jiang, Zhichao (, Journal of the American Statistical Association)
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Imai, Kosuke; Jiang, Zhichao (, Statistical Science)
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Imai, Kosuke; Jiang, Zhichao; Greiner, D James; Halen, Ryan; Shin, Sooahn; Shin, Sooahn (, Harvard Dataverse)aihuman is an R package which provides statistical methods for analyzing experimental evaluation of the causal impacts of algorithmic recommendations on human decisions developed by Imai, Jiang, Greiner, Halen, and Shin (2023) . The data used for this paper, and made available here, are interim, based on only half of the observations in the study and (for those observations) only half of the study follow-up period. We use them only to illustrate methods, not to draw substantive conclusions.more » « less
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