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Abstract The terrestrial carbon cycle is a major source of uncertainty in climate projections. Its dominant fluxes, gross primary productivity (GPP), and respiration (in particular soil respiration, R S ), are typically estimated from independent satellite-driven models and upscaled in situ measurements, respectively. We combine carbon-cycle flux estimates and partitioning coefficients to show that historical estimates of global GPP and R S are irreconcilable. When we estimate GPP based on R S measurements and some assumptions about R S :GPP ratios, we found the resulted global GPP values (bootstrap mean $${149}_{-23}^{+29}$$ 149 − 23 + 29 Pg C yr −1 ) are significantly higher than most GPP estimates reported in the literature ( $${113}_{-18}^{+18}$$ 113 − 18 + 18 Pg C yr −1 ). Similarly, historical GPP estimates imply a soil respiration flux (Rs GPP , bootstrap mean of $${68}_{-8}^{+10}$$ 68 − 8 + 10 Pg C yr −1 ) statistically inconsistent with most published R S values ( $${87}_{-8}^{+9}$$ 87 − 8 + 9 Pg C yr −1 ), although recent, higher, GPP estimates are narrowing this gap. Furthermore, global R S :GPP ratios are inconsistent with spatial averages of this ratio calculated from individual sites as well as CMIP6 model results. This discrepancy has implications for our understanding of carbon turnover times and the terrestrial sensitivity to climate change. Future efforts should reconcile the discrepancies associated with calculations for GPP and Rs to improve estimates of the global carbon budget. 

Soil moisture is an important parameter that regulates multiple ecosystem processes and provides important information for environmental management and policy decision-making. Spaceborne sensors provide soil moisture information over large areas, but information is commonly available at coarse resolution with spatial and temporal gaps. Here, we present a modular spatial inference framework to downscale satellite-derived soil moisture using terrain parameters and test the performance of two modeling methods (Kernel-Weighted K-Nearest Neighbor and Random Forest ). We generate monthly and weekly gap-free spatial predictions on soil moisture at 1 km using data from the European Space Agency Climate Change Initiative (ESA-CCI; version 6.1) over two regions in the conterminous United States. RF was the method that performed better in cross-validation when comparing with the reference ESA-CCI data, but KKNN showed a slightly higher agreement with ground-truth information as part of independent validation. We postulate that more heterogeneous landscapes (i.e., high topographic variation) may be more challenging for downscaling and predicting soil moisture; therefore, moisture networks should increase monitoring efforts across these complex landscapes. Future opportunities for development of modular cyberinfrastructure tools for downscaling satellite-derived soil moisture are discussed. 

Soil nitrogen (N) is an important driver of plant productivity and ecosystem functioning; consequently, it is critical to understand its spatial variability from local-to-global scales. Here we provide a quantitative assessment of the three-dimensional spatial distribution of soil N across the conterminous United States (CONUS) using a digital soil mapping (DSM) approach. We used a random forest-regression kriging algorithm to predict soil N concentrations and associated uncertainty across six soil depths (0-5, 5-15, 15-30, 30-60, 60-100, 100-200 cm) at 5 km spatial grids. Across CONUS, there is a strong spatial dependence of soil N, where soil N concentrations decrease but uncertainty increases with soil depth. Soil N was higher in Pacific Northwest, Northeast, and Great Lakes National Ecological Observatory Network (NEON) ecoclimatic domains. Model uncertainty was higher in Atlantic Neotropical, Southern Rockies/Colorado Plateau and Southeast NEON domains. We also compared our soil N predictions with satellite-derived gross primary production (GPP) and forest biomass from the National Biomass and Carbon Dataset. Finally, we used uncertainty information to propose optimized locations for designing future soil surveys and found that the Atlantic Neotropical, Pacific Northwest, Pacific Southwest, and Appalachian/Cumberland Plateau NEON domains may require larger survey efforts. We highlight the need to increase knowledge of biophysical factors regulating soil processes at deeper depths to better characterize the three-dimensional space of soils. Our results provide a national benchmark regarding the spatial variability and uncertainty of soil N and reveal areas in need of a better representation.

This dataset includes all covariates used for modeling soil Nitrogen, the training data, and the modeling output. The output represents raster files at 5km resolution of soil N at different depths and associated model uncertainty.

Main reference:

Smith EM, Guevara M, Tarin T, Pouyat R, Vargas R. Spatial variability and uncertainty of soil nitrogen across the conterminous United States (in review). Ecosphere.

 

To trust findings in computational science, scientists need workflows that trace the data provenance and support results explainability. As workflows become more complex, tracing data provenance and explaining results become harder to achieve. In this paper, we propose a computational environment that automatically creates a workflow execution’s record trail and invisibly attaches it to the workflow’s output, enabling data traceability and results explainability. Our solution transforms existing container technology, includes tools for automatically annotating provenance metadata, and allows effective movement of data and metadata across the workflow execution. We demonstrate the capabilities of our environment with the study of SOMOSPIE, an earth science workflow. Through a suite of machine learning modeling techniques, this workflow predicts soil moisture values from the 27 km resolution satellite data down to higher resolutions necessary for policy making and precision agriculture. By running the workflow in our environment, we can identify the causes of different accuracy measurements for predicted soil moisture values in different resolutions of the input data and link different results to different machine learning methods used during the soil moisture downscaling, all without requiring scientists to know aspects of workflow design and implementation.