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Personalized recommender systems play a crucial role in modern society, especially in e-commerce, news, and ads areas. Correctly evaluating and comparing candidate recommendation models is as essential as constructing ones. The common offline evaluation strategy is holding out some user-interacted items from training data and evaluating the performance of recommendation models based on how many items they can retrieve. Specifically, for any hold-out item or so-called target item for a user, the recommendation models try to predict the probability that the user would interact with the item and rank it among overall items, which is calledglobal evaluation. Intuitively, a good recommendation model would assign high probabilities to such hold-out/target items. Based on the specific ranks, some metrics likeRecall@KandNDCG@Kcan be calculated to further quantify the quality of the recommender model. Instead of ranking the target items among all items, Koren first proposed to rank them among a smallsampled set of items, then quantified the performance of the models, which is calledsampling evaluation. Ever since then, there has been a large amount of work adopting sampling evaluation due to its efficiency and frugality. In recent work, Rendle and Krichene argued that the sampling evaluation is “inconsistent” with respect to a global evaluation in terms of offline top-Kmetrics. In this work, we first investigate the “inconsistent” phenomenon by taking a glance at the connections between sampling evaluation and global evaluation. We reveal the approximately linear relationship between sampling with respect to its global counterpart in terms of the top-KRecall metric. Second, we propose a new statistical perspective of the sampling evaluation—to estimate the global rank distribution of the entire population. After the estimated rank distribution is obtained, the approximation of the global metric can be further derived. Third, we extend the work of Krichene and Rendle, directly optimizing the error with ground truth, providing not only a comprehensive empirical study but also a rigorous theoretical understanding of the proposed metric estimators. To address the “blind spot” issue, where accurately estimating metrics for small top-Kvalues in sampling evaluation is challenging, we propose a novel adaptive sampling method that generalizes the expectation-maximization algorithm to this setting. Last but not least, we also study the user sampling evaluation effect. This series of works outlines a clear roadmap for sampling evaluation and establishes a foundational theoretical framework. Extensive empirical studies validate the reliability of the sampling methods presented.more » « less
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