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Award ID contains: 2202883

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  1. Abstract Variations in speleothem calcium isotope ratios (δ44Ca) are thought to be uniquely controlled by prior carbonate precipitation (PCP) above a drip site and, when calibrated with modern data, show promise as a semi‐quantitative proxy for paleorainfall. However, few monitoring studies have focused on δ44Ca in modern cave systems. We present a multi‐year comparative study of δ44Ca, carbon isotopes (δ13C), and trace elemental ratios from cave drip waters, modern calcite, and host rocks from two cave systems in California—White Moon Cave (WMC) and Lake Shasta Caverns (LSC). Drip water and calcite δ44Ca from both caves indicate PCP‐driven enrichment, and we used a simple Rayleigh fractionation model to quantify PCP variability over the monitoring period. Modern calcite trace element and δ44Ca data positively correlate at WMC, but not at LSC, indicating a shared PCP control on these proxies at WMC but not at LSC. At both WMC and LSC, we observe an inverse relationship between PCP and rainfall amounts, though this relationship is variable across individual drip sites. Our modeled data suggest that WMC experiences ∼20% more PCP than LSC, consistent with the fact that WMC receives less annual rainfall. This work supports speleothem δ44Ca as an independent constraint on PCP that can aid in the interpretation of other hydrologically sensitive proxies and provide quantitative estimates of paleorainfall. Additional, long‐term monitoring studies from a variety of climate settings will be key for understanding δ44Ca variability in cave systems more fully and better constraining the relationship between PCP and rainfall. 
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  2. Free, publicly-accessible full text available May 1, 2026
  3. Atmospheric rivers (ARs) bring concentrated rainfall and flooding to the western United States (US) and are hypothesized to have supported sustained hydroclimatic changes in the past. However, their ephemeral nature makes it challenging to document ARs in climate models and estimate their contribution to hydroclimate changes recorded by time-averaged paleoclimate archives. We present new climate model simulations of Heinrich Stadial 1 (HS1; 16,000 years before the present), an interval characterized by widespread wetness in the western US, that demonstrate increased AR frequency and winter precipitation sourced from the southeastern North Pacific. These changes are amplified with freshwater fluxes into the North Atlantic, indicating that North Atlantic cooling associated with weakened Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a key driver of HS1 climate in this region. As recent observations suggest potential weakening of AMOC, our identified connection between North Atlantic climate and northeast Pacific AR activity has implications for future western US hydroclimate. 
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