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Abstract Solar eruptions, including flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs), have a significant impact on Earth. Some flares are associated with CMEs, and some flares are not. The association between flares and CMEs is not always obvious. In this study, we propose a new deep learning method, specifically a hybrid neural network (HNN) that combines a vision transformer with long short-term memory, to predict associations between flares and CMEs. HNN finds spatio-temporal patterns in the time series of line-of-sight magnetograms of solar active regions collected by the Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager on board the Solar Dynamics Observatory and uses the patterns to predict whether a flare projected to occur within the next 24 hr will be eruptive (i.e., CME-associated) or confined (i.e., not CME-associated). Our experimental results demonstrate the good performance of the HNN method. Furthermore, the results show that magnetic flux cancellation in polarity inversion line regions may well play a role in triggering flare-associated CMEs, a finding consistent with the literature. 

Abstract We present FlareDB, a database that provides comprehensive magnetic field information, ultraviolet/extreme ultraviolet (UV/EUV) emissions, and white light continuum images for solar active regions (ARs) associated with 151 significant flares from May 2010 to May 2025. The data, sourced from the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) via the Joint Science Operations Center (JSOC), were processed with SunPy and stored in standardized JSOC FITS format. FlareDB includes all M5.0 and larger flares within 50° of the solar disk center. Key features include (1) Atmospheric Imaging Assembly (AIA) AR patches in Helioprojective Cartesian(HPC) and Lambert Cylindrical Equal-Area (CEA) projections, aligned with corresponding HMI magnetogram patches; (2) quick-look movies with uniform value ranges that ensure consistent visualization, maintain data uniformity, and enhance readiness for machine learning studies; (3) a supplementary web interface that allows the entire dataset of a flare to be downloaded for large flare analysis. One of FlareDB’s primary objectives is to support scientists in predicting and understanding the onset of solar eruptions, including flares and coronal mass ejections. The data set is machine-learning ready for this purpose. 

Abstract The F10.7 and F30 solar indices are the solar radio fluxes measured at wavelengths of 10.7 and 30 cm, respectively, which are key indicators of solar activity. F10.7 is valuable for explaining the impact of solar ultraviolet (UV) radiation on the upper atmosphere of Earth, while F30 is more sensitive and could improve the reaction of thermospheric density to solar stimulation. In this study, we present a new deep learning model, named the Solar Index Network, or SINet for short, to predict daily values of the F10.7 and F30 solar indices. The SINet model is designed to make medium‐term predictions of the index values (1–60 days in advance). The observed data used for SINet training were taken from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration as well as Toyokawa and Nobeyama facilities. Our experimental results show that SINet performs better than five closely related statistical and deep learning methods for the prediction of F10.7. Furthermore, to our knowledge, this is the first time deep learning has been used to predict the F30 solar index. 

Abstract Solar extreme-ultraviolet (EUV) irradiance plays a crucial role in heating the Earth’s ionosphere, thermosphere, and mesosphere, affecting atmospheric dynamics over varying time scales. Although significant effort has been spent studying short-term EUV variations from solar transient events, there is little work to explore the long-term evolution of the EUV flux over multiple solar cycles. Continuous EUV flux measurements have only been available since 1995, leaving significant gaps in earlier data. In this study, we propose a Bayesian deep learning model, named SEMNet, to fill the gaps. We validate our approach by applying SEMNet to construct Solar and Heliospheric Observatory/Solar EUV Monitor EUV flux measurements in the period between 1998 and 2014 using CaIIK images from the Precision Solar Photometric Telescope. We then extend SEMNet through transfer learning to reconstruct solar EUV irradiance in the period between 1950 and 1960 using CaIIK images from the Kodaikanal Solar Observatory. Experimental results show that SEMNet provides reliable predictions along with uncertainty bounds, demonstrating the feasibility of CaIIK images as a robust proxy for long-term EUV fluxes. These findings contribute to a better understanding of solar influences on Earth’s climate over extended periods.