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Abstract Identifying which factors lead to coral bleaching resistance is a priority given the global decline of coral reefs with ocean warming. During the second year of back‐to‐back bleaching events in the Florida Keys in 2014 and 2015, we characterized key environmental and biological factors associated with bleaching resilience in the threatened reef‐building coralOrbicella faveolata. Ten reefs (five inshore, five offshore, 179 corals total) were sampled during bleaching (September 2015) and recovery (May 2016). Corals were genotyped with 2bRADand profiled for algal symbiont abundance and type.O. faveolataat the inshore sites, despite higher temperatures, demonstrated significantly higher bleaching resistance and better recovery compared to offshore. The thermotolerantDurusdinium trenchii(formerlySymbiondinium trenchii) was the dominant endosymbiont type region‐wide during initial (78.0% of corals sampled) and final (77.2%) sampling; >90% of the nonbleached corals were dominated byD. trenchii. 2bRADhost genotyping found no genetic structure among reefs, but inshore sites showed a high level of clonality. While none of the measured environmental parameters were correlated with bleaching, 71% of variation in bleaching resistance and 73% of variation in the proportion ofD. trenchiiwas attributable to differences between genets, highlighting the leading role of genetics in shaping natural bleaching patterns. Notably,D. trenchiiwas rarely dominant inO. faveolatafrom the Florida Keys in previous studies, even during bleaching. The region‐wide high abundance ofD. trenchiiwas likely driven by repeated bleaching associated with the two warmest years on record for the Florida Keys (2014 and 2015). On inshore reefs in the Upper Florida Keys,O. faveolatawas most abundant, had the highest bleaching resistance, and contained the most corals dominated byD. trenchii, illustrating a causal link between heat tolerance and ecosystem resilience with global change.
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Species‐specific responses to climate change and community composition determine future calcification rates of Florida Keys reefs
Abstract Anthropogenic climate change compromises reef growth as a result of increasing temperatures and ocean acidification. Scleractinian corals vary in their sensitivity to these variables, suggesting species composition will influence how reef communities respond to future climate change. Because data are lacking for many species, most studies that model future reef growth rely on uniform scleractinian calcification sensitivities to temperature and ocean acidification. To address this knowledge gap, calcification of twelve common and understudied Caribbean coral species was measured for two months under crossed temperatures (27, 30.3 °C) andCO2partial pressures (pCO2) (400, 900, 1300 μatm). Mixed‐effects models of calcification for each species were then used to project community‐level scleractinian calcification using Florida Keys reef composition data andIPCC AR5 ensemble climate model data. Three of the four most abundant species,Orbicella faveolata, Montastraea cavernosa,andPorites astreoides, had negative calcification responses to both elevated temperature andpCO2. In the business‐as‐usualCO2emissions scenario, reefs with high abundances of these species had projected end‐of‐century declines in scleractinian calcification of >50% relative to present‐day rates.Siderastrea siderea, the other most common species, was insensitive to both temperature andpCO2within the levels tested here. Reefs dominated by this species had the most stable end‐of‐century growth. Under more optimistic scenarios of reducedCO2emissions, calcification rates throughout the Florida Keys declined <20% by 2100. Under the most extreme emissions scenario, projected declines were highly variable among reefs, ranging 10–100%. Without considering bleaching, reef growth will likely decline on most reefs, especially where resistant species likeS. sidereaare not already dominant. This study demonstrates how species composition influences reef community responses to climate change and how reducedCO2emissions can limit future declines in reef calcification.
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- Award ID(s):
- 0550588
- PAR ID:
- 10027256
- Publisher / Repository:
- Wiley-Blackwell
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Global Change Biology
- Volume:
- 23
- Issue:
- 3
- ISSN:
- 1354-1013
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- p. 1023-1035
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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