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This paper introduces a new identification‐ and singularity‐robust conditional quasi‐likelihood ratio (SR‐CQLR) test and a new identification‐ and singularity‐robust Anderson and Rubin (1949) (SR‐AR) test for linear and nonlinear moment condition models. Both tests are very fast to compute. The paper shows that the tests have correct asymptotic size and are asymptotically similar (in a uniform sense) under very weak conditions. For example, in i.i.d. scenarios, all that is required is that the moment functions and their derivatives have 2 + γ bounded moments for some γ > 0. No conditions are placed on the expected Jacobian of the moment functions, on the eigenvalues of the variance matrix of the moment functions, or on the eigenvalues of the expected outer product of the (vectorized) orthogonalized sample Jacobian of the moment functions. The SR‐CQLR test is shown to be asymptotically efficient in a GMM sense under strong and semi‐strong identification (for all k ≥ p , where k and p are the numbers of moment conditions and parameters, respectively). The SR‐CQLR test reduces asymptotically to Moreira's CLR test when p = 1 in the homoskedastic linear IV model. The same is true for p ≥ 2 in most, but not all, identification scenarios. We also introduce versions of the SR‐CQLR and SR‐AR tests for subvector hypotheses and show that they have correct asymptotic size under the assumption that the parameters not under test are strongly identified. The subvector SR‐CQLR test is shown to be asymptotically efficient in a GMM sense under strong and semi‐strong identification.
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ASYMPTOTIC SIZE OF KLEIBERGEN’S LM AND CONDITIONAL LR TESTS FOR MOMENT CONDITION MODELS
An influential paper by Kleibergen (2005, Econometrica 73, 1103–1123) introduces Lagrange multiplier (LM) and conditional likelihood ratio-like (CLR) tests for nonlinear moment condition models. These procedures aim to have good size performance even when the parameters are unidentified or poorly identified. However, the asymptotic size and similarity (in a uniform sense) of these procedures have not been determined in the literature. This paper does so. This paper shows that the LM test has correct asymptotic size and is asymptotically similar for a suitably chosen parameter space of null distributions. It shows that the CLR tests also have these properties when the dimension p of the unknown parameter θ equals 1. When p ≥ 2, however, the asymptotic size properties are found to depend on how the conditioning statistic, upon which the CLR tests depend, is weighted. Two weighting methods have been suggested in the literature. The paper shows that the CLR tests are guaranteed to have correct asymptotic size when p ≥ 2 when the weighting is based on an estimator of the variance of the sample moments, i.e., moment-variance weighting, combined with the Robin and Smith (2000, Econometric Theory 16, 151–175) rank statistic. The paper also determines a formula for the asymptotic size of the CLR test when the weighting is based on an estimator of the variance of the sample Jacobian. However, the results of the paper do not guarantee correct asymptotic size when p ≥ 2 with the Jacobian-variance weighting, combined with the Robin and Smith (2000, Econometric Theory 16, 151–175) rank statistic, because two key sample quantities are not necessarily asymptotically independent under some identification scenarios. Analogous results for confidence sets are provided. Even for the special case of a linear instrumental variable regression model with two or more right-hand side endogenous variables, the results of the paper are new to the literature.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1656313
- PAR ID:
- 10064079
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Econometric Theory
- Volume:
- 33
- Issue:
- 05
- ISSN:
- 0266-4666
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 1046 to 1080
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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- Free Publicly Accessible Full Text
-
Accepted Manuscript1.0
- Journal Article:
- https://doi.org/10.1017/S0266466616000347
