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1. A paleo-perspective on West Antarctic Ice Sheet retreat

   https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-22450-3  

   Bart, Philip J.; Kratochvil, Matthew (October 2022, Scientific Reports)

   Abstract Geological records of ice sheet collapse can provide perspective on the ongoing retreat of grounded and floating ice. An abrupt retreat of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) that occurred during the early deglaciation is well recorded on the eastern Ross Sea continental shelf. There, an ice shelf breakup at 12.3 ± 0.6 cal. (calibrated) kyr BP caused accelerated ice-mass loss from the Bindschadler Ice Stream (BIS). The accelerated mass loss led to a significant negative mass balance that re-organized WAIS flow across the central and eastern Ross Sea. By ~ 11.5 ± 0.3 cal kyr BP, dynamic thinning of grounded ice triggered a retreat that opened a ~ 200-km grounding-line embayment on the Whales Deep Basin (WDB) middle continental shelf. Here, we reconstruct the pattern, duration and rate of retreat from a backstepping succession of small-scale grounding-zone ridges that formed on the embayment’s eastern flank. We used two end-member paleo-sediment fluxes, i.e., accumulation rates, to convert the cumulative sediment volumes of the ridge field to elapsed time for measured distances of grounding-line retreat. The end-members fluxes correspond to deposition rates for buttressed and unbuttressed ice stream flow. Both scenarios require sustained rapid retreat that exceeded several centuries. Grounding-line retreat is estimated to have averaged between ~ 100 ± 32 and ~ 700 ± 79 ma⁻¹. The evidence favors the latter scenario because iceberg furrows that cross cut the ridges in deep water require weakly buttressed flow as the embayment opened. In comparison with the modern grounding-zone dynamics, this paleo-perspective provides confidence in model projections that a large-scale sustained contraction of grounded ice is underway in several Pacific-Ocean sectors of the WAIS. 

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2. ‘Stable’ and ‘unstable’ are not useful descriptions of marine ice sheets in the Earth's climate system

   https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2023.40  

   Sergienko, Olga; Haseloff, Marianne (June 2023, Journal of Glaciology)

   Investigations of the time-dependent behavior of marine ice sheets and their sensitivity to basal conditions require numerical models because existing theoretical analyses focus only on steady-state configurations primarily with a power-law basal shear stress. Numerical results indicate that the choice of the sliding law strongly affects ice-sheet dynamic behavior. Although observed or simulated grounding-line retreat is typically interpreted as an indication of marine ice sheet instability introduced by Weertman (1974), this (in)stability is a characteristic of the ice sheet's steady states – not time-variant behavior. To bridge the gap between theoretical and numerical results, we develop a framework to investigate grounding line dynamics with generalized basal and lateral stresses (i.e. the functional dependencies are not specified). Motivated by observations of internal variability of the Southern Ocean conditions we explore the grounding-line response to stochastic variability. We find that adding stochastic variability to submarine melt rates that produced stable steady-state configurations leads to intermittently advancing and retreating grounding lines. They can also retreat in an unstoppable manner on time-scales significantly longer than the stochastic correlation time-scales. These results suggest that at any given time of their evolution, the transient behavior of marine ice sheets cannot be described in terms of ‘stable’ or ‘unstable’. 

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3. Two-way coupling between ice flow and channelized subglacial drainage enhances modeled marine-ice-sheet retreat

   https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-5301-2024  

   Lu, George; Kingslake, Jonathan (November 2024, The Cryosphere)

   Abstract. Ice-sheet models used to predict sea-level rise often neglect subglacial hydrology. However, theory and observations suggest that ice flow and subglacial water flow are bidirectionally coupled: ice geometry affects hydraulic potential, hydraulic potential modulates basal shear stress via the basal water pressure, and ice flow advects the subglacial drainage system. This coupling could impact rates of ice mass change but remains poorly understood. We develop a coupled ice–subglacial-hydrology model to investigate the effects of coupling on the long-term evolution of marine-terminating ice sheets. We combine a one-dimensional channelized subglacial hydrology model with a depth-integrated marine-ice-sheet model, incorporating each component of the coupling listed above, yielding a set of differential equations that we solve using a finite-difference, implicit time-stepping approach. We conduct a series of experiments with this model, using either bidirectional or unidirectional coupling. These experiments generate profiles of channel cross-sectional area, channel flow rate, channel effective pressure, ice thickness, and ice velocity. We discuss how the profiles shape one another, resulting in the effective pressure reaching a local maximum in a region near the grounding line. We also describe the impact of bidirectional coupling on the transient retreat of ice sheets through a comparison of our coupled model with ice-flow models that have imposed static basal conditions. We find that including coupled subglacial hydrology leads to grounding-line retreat that is virtually absent when static basal conditions are assumed. This work highlights the role time-evolving subglacial drainage may have in ice-sheet change and informs efforts to include it in ice-sheet models. This work also supplies a physical basis for a commonly used parameterization which assumes that the subglacial water pressure is set by the bed's depth beneath the sea surface. 

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4. Heterogeneous melting near the Thwaites Glacier grounding line

   https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-05691-0  

   Schmidt, B. E.; Washam, P.; Davis, P. E.; Nicholls, K. W.; Holland, D. M.; Lawrence, J. D.; Riverman, K. L.; Smith, J. A.; Spears, A.; Dichek, D. J.; et al (February 2023, Nature)

   Abstract Thwaites Glacier represents 15% of the ice discharge from the West Antarctic Ice Sheet and influences a wider catchment 1–3 . Because it is grounded below sea level 4,5 , Thwaites Glacier is thought to be susceptible to runaway retreat triggered at the grounding line (GL) at which the glacier reaches the ocean 6,7 . Recent ice-flow acceleration 2,8 and retreat of the ice front 8–10 and GL 11,12 indicate that ice loss will continue. The relative impacts of mechanisms underlying recent retreat are however uncertain. Here we show sustained GL retreat from at least 2011 to 2020 and resolve mechanisms of ice-shelf melt at the submetre scale. Our conclusions are based on observations of the Thwaites Eastern Ice Shelf (TEIS) from an underwater vehicle, extending from the GL to 3 km oceanward and from the ice–ocean interface to the sea floor. These observations show a rough ice base above a sea floor sloping upward towards the GL and an ocean cavity in which the warmest water exceeds 2 °C above freezing. Data closest to the ice base show that enhanced melting occurs along sloped surfaces that initiate near the GL and evolve into steep-sided terraces. This pronounced melting along steep ice faces, including in crevasses, produces stratification that suppresses melt along flat interfaces. These data imply that slope-dependent melting sculpts the ice base and acts as an important response to ocean warming. 

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5. Did Holocene climate changes drive West Antarctic grounding line retreat and readvance?

   https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-4655-2021  

   Neuhaus, Sarah U.; Tulaczyk, Slawek M.; Stansell, Nathan D.; Coenen, Jason J.; Scherer, Reed P.; Mikucki, Jill A.; Powell, Ross D. (January 2021, The Cryosphere)

   Abstract. Knowledge of past ice sheet configurations is useful for informing projections of future ice sheet dynamics and for calibrating ice sheet models. The topology of grounding line retreat in the Ross Sea sector of Antarctica has been much debated, but it has generally been assumed that the modern ice sheet is as small as it has been for more than 100 000 years (Conway et al., 1999; Lee et al., 2017; Lowry et al., 2019; McKay et al., 2016; Scherer et al., 1998). Recent findings suggest that the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) grounding line retreated beyond its current location earlier in the Holocene and subsequently readvanced to reach its modern position (Bradley et al., 2015; Kingslake et al., 2018). Here, we further constrain the post-LGM (Last Glacial Maximum) grounding line retreat and readvance in the Ross Sea sector using a two-phase model of radiocarbon input and decay in subglacial sediments from six sub-ice sampling locations. In addition, we reinterpret high basal temperature gradients, measured previously at three sites in this region (Engelhardt, 2004), which we explain as resulting from recent ice shelf re-grounding accompanying grounding line readvance. Atone location – Whillans Subglacial Lake (SLW) – for which a sedimentporewater chemistry profile is known, we estimate the grounding linereadvance by simulating ionic diffusion. Collectively, our analyses indicate that the grounding line retreated over SLW 4300-2500+1500 years ago, and over sites on Whillans Ice Stream (WIS), Kamb Ice Stream (KIS), and Bindschadler Ice Stream (BIS) 4700-2300+1500, 1800-700+2700, and 1700-600+2800 years ago, respectively. The grounding line only recently readvanced back over those sites 1100-100+200, 1500-200+500, 1000-300+200, and 800±100 years ago for SLW, WIS, KIS, and BIS, respectively. The timing of grounding line retreat coincided with a warm period in the mid-Holocene to late Holocene. Conversely, grounding line readvance is coincident with cooling climate in the last 1000–2000 years. Our estimates for the timing of grounding line retreat and readvance are also consistent with relatively low carbon-to-nitrogen ratios measured in our subglacial sediment samples (suggesting a marine source of organic matter) and with the lack of grounding zone wedges in front of modern grounding lines. Based on these results, we propose that the Siple Coast grounding line motions in the mid-Holocene to late Holocene were primarily driven by relatively modest changes in regional climate, rather than by ice sheet dynamics and glacioisostatic rebound, as hypothesized previously (Kingslake et al., 2018). 

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