skip to main content

Title: Evaluating the impact of parameterized turbulent mixing and boundary layer structure on hurricane intensification
This talk presents results from the authors’ recent work on evaluating the role of turbulence and boundary-layer parameterizations on hurricane intensification. We show that observation-based modification of these physical parameterizations significantly improved the HWRF intensity forecast. Turbulent mixing in both the vertical and horizontal directions are found to be crucial for hurricane spin-up dynamics in 3D numerical simulations and HWRF forecasts. Vertical turbulent mixing regulates the inflow strength and the location of boundary-layer convergence that in turns regulates the distribution of deep convection and the intensification of the whole hurricane vortex. Convergence of angular momentum in the boundary layer that is a key component of the hurricane spin-up theory is also found to be regulated by vertical turbulent mixing in connection to the boundary layer inflow. Horizontal turbulent mixing, on the other hand, mainly influences the eddy momentum flux inside the radius of the maximum wind speed in the angular momentum budget. The effect of horizontal turbulent mixing on the convergence of angular momentum is on smoothing the radial gradient of the angular momentum when the horizontal mixing length is large. In a sheared storm, both the vertical and horizontal turbulent mixing affect vortex and shear interaction in terms of more » the evolution of vortex tilt and boundary-layer recovery processes. « less
Authors:
; ; ;
Award ID(s):
1822128
Publication Date:
NSF-PAR ID:
10089104
Journal Name:
23 Symposium on Boundary Layers and Turbulence
Sponsoring Org:
National Science Foundation
More Like this
  1. Abstract. The fundamental mechanism underlying tropical cyclone (TC) intensification may be understood from the conservation of absolute angular momentum, where the primary circulation of a TC is driven by the torque acting on air parcels resulting from asymmetric eddy processes, including turbulence. While turbulence is commonly regarded as a flow feature pertaining to the planetary boundary layer (PBL), intense turbulent mixing generated by cloud processes also exists above the PBL in the eyewall and rainbands. Unlike the eddy forcing within the PBL that is negative definite, the sign of eyewall/rainband eddy forcing above the PBL is indefinite and thus provides a possible mechanism to spin up a TC vortex. In this study, we show that the Hurricane Weather Research & forecasting (HWRF) model, one of the operational models used for TC prediction, is unable to generate appropriate sub-grid-scale (SGS) eddy forcing above the PBL due to lack of consideration of intense turbulent mixing generated by the eyewall and rainband clouds. Incorporating an in-cloud turbulent mixing parameterization in the PBL scheme notably improves HWRF's skills on predicting rapid changes in intensity for several past major hurricanes. While the analyses show that the SGS eddy forcing above the PBL is only aboutmore »one-fifth of the model-resolved eddy forcing, the simulated TC vortex inner-core structure and the associated model-resolved eddy forcing exhibit a substantial dependence on the parameterized SGS eddy processes. The results highlight the importance of eyewall/rainband SGS eddy forcing to numerical prediction of TC intensification, including rapid intensification at the current resolution of operational models.

    « less
  2. Abstract. While turbulence is commonly regarded as a flow featurepertaining to the planetary boundary layer (PBL), intense turbulent mixinggenerated by cloud processes also exists above the PBL in the eyewall andrainbands of a tropical cyclone (TC). The in-cloud turbulence above the PBLis intimately involved in the development of convective elements in theeyewall and rainbands and consists of a part of asymmetric eddy forcing forthe evolution of the primary and secondary circulations of a TC. In thisstudy, we show that the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF)model, one of the operational models used for TC prediction, is unable togenerate appropriate sub-grid-scale (SGS) eddy forcing above the PBL due toa lack of consideration of intense turbulent mixing generated by the eyewalland rainband clouds. Incorporating an in-cloud turbulent-mixingparameterization in the vertical turbulent-mixing scheme notably improvesthe HWRF model's skills in predicting rapid changes in intensity for several pastmajor hurricanes. While the analyses show that the SGS eddy forcing abovethe PBL is only about one-fifth of the model-resolved eddy forcing, thesimulated TC vortex inner-core structure, secondary overturning circulation,and the model-resolved eddy forcing exhibit a substantial dependence on theparameterized SGS eddy processes. The results highlight the importance ofeyewall and rainband SGS eddy forcing to numerical predictionmore »of TCintensification, including rapid intensification at the current resolutionof operational models.« less
  3. Abstract

    An idealized, three‐dimensional, 1 km horizontal grid spacing numerical simulation of a rapidly intensifying tropical cyclone is used to extend basic knowledge on the role of mean and eddy momentum transfer on the dynamics of the intensification process. Examination of terms in the tangential and radial velocity tendency equations provides an improved quantitative understanding of the dynamics of the spin‐up process within the inner‐core boundary layer and eyewall regions of the system‐scale vortex. Unbalanced and non‐axisymmetric processes are prominent features of the rapid spin‐up process. In particular, the wind asymmetries, associated in part with the asymmetric deep convection, make a substantive contribution (30%) to the maximum wind speed inside the radius of this maximum. The analysis provides a novel explanation for inflow jets sandwiching the upper‐tropospheric outflow layer which are frequently found in numerical model simulations. In addition, it provides an opportunity to assess the applicability of generalized Ekman balance during rapid vortex spin‐up. The maximum tangential wind occurs within and near the top of the frictional inflow layer and as much as 10 km inside the maximum gradient wind. Spin‐up in the friction layer is accompanied by supergradient winds that exceed the gradient wind by up to 20%. Overall, themore »results affirm prior work pointing to significant limitations of a purely axisymmetric balance description, for example, gradient balance/Ekman balance, when applied to a rapidly intensifying tropical cyclone.

    « less
  4. In a tropical cyclone (TC), turbulence not only exists in the planetary boundary layer (PBL) but also can be generated above the PBL by the cloud processes in the eyewall and rainbands. It is found that the Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS), a new multi-scale operational model for TC prediction, fails to capture the intense turbulent mixing in eyewall and rainband clouds due to a poor estimation of static stability in clouds. The problem is fixed by including the effects of multi-phase water in the stability calculation. Simulations of 21 TCs and tropical storms in the North Atlantic basin of 2016–2019 hurricane seasons totaling 118 forecast cycles show that the stability correction substantially improves HAFS's skill in predicting storm track and intensity. Analyses of HAFS's simulations of Hurricane Michael (2018) show that the positive tendency of vortex's tangential wind resulting from the radially inward transport of absolute vorticity dominates the eddy correlation tendencies induced by the model-resolved asymmetric eddies and serves as a main mechanism for the rapid intensification of Michael. The sub-grid scale (SGS) turbulent transport above the PBL in the eyewall plays a pivotal role in initiating a positive feedback among the eyewall convection, mean secondary overturningmore »circulation, vortex acceleration via the inward transport of absolute vorticity, surface evaporation, and radial convergence of moisture in the PBL. Without the SGS transport above the PBL, the model-resolved vertical transport alone may not be sufficient in initiating the positive feedback underlying the rapid intensification of TCs.« less
  5. Abstract

    Roll vortices are a series of large-scale turbulent eddies that nearly align with the mean wind direction and prevail in the hurricane boundary layer. In this study, the one-way nested WRF-LES model simulation results from Li et al. (J Atmos Sci 78(6):1847–1867,https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-20-0270.1, 2021) are used to examine the structure and generation mechanism of roll vortices and associated coherent turbulence in the hurricane boundary layer during the landfall of Hurricane Harvey from 00 UTC 25 to 18 UTC 27 August 2017. Results indicate that roll vortices prevail in the hurricane boundary layer. The intense roll vortices and associated large turbulent eddies above them (at a height of ~ 200 to 3000 m) accumulate within a hurricane radius of 20–40 km. Their intensity is proportional to hurricane intensity during the simulation period. Before and during hurricane landfall, strong inflow convergence leads to horizontal advection of roll vortices throughout the entire hurricane boundary layer. Combined with the strong wind shear, the strongest roll vortices and associated large turbulent eddies are generated near the eyewall with suitable thermodynamic (Richardson number at around − 0.2 to 0.2) and dynamic conditions (strong negative inflow wind shear). After landfall, the decayed inflow weakens the inflow convergence and quickly reducesmore »the strong roll vortices and associated large turbulent eddies. Diagnosis of vertical turbulent kinetic energy indicates that atmospheric pressure perturbation, caused by horizontal convergence, transfers the horizontal component of turbulence to the vertical component with a mean wavelength of about 1 km. The buoyancy term is weak and negative, and the large turbulent eddies are suppressed.

    « less