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1. Projected reversal of the oceanic stable carbon isotope ratio depth gradient with continued anthropogenic carbon emissions

   https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-022-00388-8  

   Kwon, E.Y. (March 2022, Communications earth environment)

   Paleoceanographic records suggest that the present-day vertical gradient in the stable carbon isotopic composition (δ13C) of dissolved inorganic carbon in the ocean was reversed during the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum, an early period of relatively rapid release of carbon into the climate system. Here we present simulations from an observationally constrained ocean model under various greenhouse gas emissions scenarios. We project a decrease in the globally averaged δ13C of dissolved inorganic carbon in the surface ocean of between −1.8 to −6.3 ‰ by 2100. This reduction is driven by oceanic absorption of anthropogenic carbon dioxide, which is depleted in carbon-13. Our findings suggest an elimination or reversal of the natural vertical gradient in the δ13C of dissolved inorganic carbon by 2100 unless anthropogenic carbon emissions are reduced soon. We conclude that the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum is a geologic analogue of future global carbon cycle perturbations under continued rapid anthropogenic carbon emissions. 

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2. Shelf Ecosystems Along the U.S. Atlantic Coastal Plain Prior to and During the Paleocene‐Eocene Thermal Maximum: Insights Into the Stratigraphic Architecture

   https://doi.org/10.1029/2022PA004475  

   Doubrawa, Monika; Stassen, Peter; Robinson, Marci M.; Babila, Tali L.; Zachos, James C.; Speijer, Robert P. (October 2022, Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology)

   Abstract The Paleocene‐Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM) is the most pronounced global warming event of the early Paleogene related to atmospheric CO₂increases. It is characterized by negative δ¹⁸O and δ¹³C excursions recorded in sedimentary archives and a transient disruption of the marine biosphere. Sites from the U.S. Atlantic Coastal Plain show an additional small, but distinct δ¹³C excursion below the onset of the PETM, coined the “pre‐onset excursion” (POE), mimicking the PETM‐forced environmental perturbations. This study focuses on the South Dover Bridge core in Maryland, where the Paleocene‐Eocene transition is stratigraphically constrained by calcareous nannoplankton and stable isotope data, and in which the POE is well‐expressed. The site was situated in a middle neritic marine shelf setting near a major outflow of the paleo‐Potomac River system. We generated high‐resolution benthic foraminiferal assemblage, stable isotope, trace‐metal, grain‐size and clay mineralogy data. The resulting stratigraphic subdivision of this Paleocene‐Eocene transition is placed within a depth transect across the paleoshelf, highlighting that the PETM sequence is relatively expanded. The geochemical records provide detailed insights into the paleoenvironment, developing from a well‐oxygenated water column in latest Paleocene to a PETM‐ecosystem under severe biotic stress‐conditions, with shifts in food supply and temperature, and under dysoxic bottom waters in a more river‐dominated setting. Environmental changes started in the latest Paleocene and culminated atthe onset of the PETM, hinting to an intensifying trigger rather than to an instantaneous event at the Paleocene‐Eocene boundary toppling the global system. 

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3. Synchronous Marine and Terrestrial Carbon Cycle Perturbation in the High Arctic During the PETM

   https://doi.org/10.1029/2020PA003942  

   Cui, Ying; Diefendorf, Aaron_F; Kump, Lee_R; Jiang, Shijun; Freeman, Katherine_H (April 2021, Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology)

   Abstract The Paleocene‐Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM; 56 Ma) is considered to be one of the best analogs for future climate change. The carbon isotope composition (δ¹³C) ofn‐alkanes derived from leaf waxes of terrestrial plants and marine algae can provide important insights into the carbon cycle perturbation during the PETM. Here, we present new organic geochemical data and compound‐specific δ¹³C data from sediments recovered from an early Cenozoic basin‐margin succession from Spitsbergen. These samples represent one of the most expanded PETM sites and provide new insights into the high Arctic response to the PETM. Our results reveal a synchronous ∼−6.5‰ carbon isotope excursion (CIE) in short‐chainn‐alkanes (nC₁₉; marine algae/bacteria) with a ∼−5‰ CIE in long‐chainn‐alkanes (nC₂₉andnC₃₁; plant waxes) during the peak of the PETM. Although δ¹³C_n‐alkanesvalues were potentially affected via a modest thermal effect (1‰–2‰), the relative changes in the δ¹³C_n‐alkanesremain robust. A simple carbon cycle modeling suggests peak carbon emission rate could be ∼3 times faster than previously suggested using δ¹³C_TOCrecords. The CIE magnitude of both δ¹³C_n‐C19and δ¹³C_n‐C29can be explained by the elevated influence of¹³C‐depleted respired CO₂in the water column and increased water availability on land, elevatedpCO₂in the atmosphere, and changes in vegetation type during the PETM. The synchronous decline in δ¹³C of both leaf waxes and marine algae/bacteria argues against a significant contribution to the sedimentary organic carbon pool from the weathering delivery of fossiln‐alkanes in the Arctic region. 

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4. Millennial-timescale thermogenic CO2 release preceding the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum

   https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-60939-3  

   Jiang, Shijun; Cui, Ying; Wang, Yasu; De_Palma, Maurizia; Naafs, B_David_A; Jiang, Jingxin; Hu, Xiumian; Wu, Huaichun; Chu, Runjian; Gu, Yangguang; et al (June 2025, Nature Communications)

   Abstract Geologic records support a short-lived carbon release, known as the pre-onset excursion (POE), shortly before the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM; ~ 56 Ma). However, the source and pace of the POE carbon release and its relationship to the PETM remain unresolved. Here we show a high-temporal-resolution stratigraphic record spanning the POE and PETM from the eastern Tethys Ocean that documents the evolution of surface ocean carbon cycle, redox and eutrophication, confirming the global nature of the POE. Biomarkers extracted from the sedimentary record indicate a smaller environmental perturbation during the POE than that during the PETM in the eastern Tethys Ocean. Earth system modeling constrained by observed δ¹³C and pH data indicates that the POE was driven by a largely thermogenic CO₂source, likely associated with sill intrusions prior to the main eruption phase of the North Atlantic Igneous Province and possibly biogeochemical feedbacks involving the release of biogenic methane. 

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5. Astrochronology of the Paleocene-Eocene thermal maximum on the Atlantic coastal plain

   Mingsong Li, Timothy J (September 2022, Nature communications)

   The chronology of the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM, ~56 Ma) remains disputed, hampering complete understanding of the possible trigger mechanisms of this event. Here we present an astrochronology for the PETM carbon isotope excursion from Howards Tract, Maryland a paleoshelf environment, on the mid-Atlantic Coastal Plain. Statistical evaluation of variations in calcium content and magnetic susceptibility indicates astronomical forcing was involved and the PETM onset lasted about 6 kyr. The astrochronology and Earth system modeling suggest that the PETM onset occurred at an extreme in precession during a maximum in eccentricity, thus favoring high temperatures, indicating that astronomical forcing could have played a role in triggering the event. Ca content data on the paleo-shelf, along with other marine records, support the notion that a carbonate saturation overshoot followed 

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