Low-fidelity engineering wake models are often combined with linear superposition laws to predict wake velocities across wind farms under steady atmospheric conditions. While convenient for wind farm planning and long-term performance evaluation, such models are unable to capture the time-varying nature of the waked velocity field, as they are agnostic to the complex aerodynamic interactions among wind turbines and the effects of atmospheric boundary layer turbulence. To account for such effects while remaining amenable to conventional system-theoretic tools for flow estimation and control, we propose a new class of data-enhanced physics-based models for the dynamics of wind farm flow fluctuations. Our approach relies on the predictive capability of the stochastically forced linearized Navier–Stokes equations around static base flow profiles provided by conventional engineering wake models. We identify the stochastic forcing into the linearized dynamics via convex optimization to ensure statistical consistency with higher-fidelity models or experimental measurements while preserving model parsimony. We demonstrate the utility of our approach in completing the statistical signature of wake turbulence in accordance with large-eddy simulations of turbulent flow over a cascade of yawed wind turbines. Our numerical experiments provide insight into the significance of spatially distributed field measurements in recovering the statistical signature of wind farm turbulence and training stochastic linear models for short-term wind forecasting.
A Wake Modeling Paradigm for Wind Farm Design and Control
Wake models play an integral role in wind farm layout optimization and operations where associated design and control decisions are only as good as the underlying wake model upon which they are based. However, the desired model fidelity must be counterbalanced by the need for simplicity and computational efficiency. As a result, efficient engineering models that accurately capture the relevant physics—such as wake expansion and wake interactions for design problems and wake advection and turbulent fluctuations for control problems—are needed to advance the field of wind farm optimization. In this paper, we discuss a computationally-efficient continuous-time one-dimensional dynamic wake model that includes several features derived from fundamental physics, making it less ad-hoc than prevailing approaches. We first apply the steady-state solution of the model to predict the wake expansion coefficients commonly used in design problems. We demonstrate that more realistic results can be attained by linking the wake expansion rate to a top-down model of the atmospheric boundary layer, using a super-Gaussian wake profile that smoothly transitions between a top-hat and Gaussian distribution as well as linearly-superposing wake interactions. We then apply the dynamic model to predict trajectories of wind farm power output during start-up and highlight the improved accuracy of non-linear advection over linear advection. Finally, we apply the dynamic model to the control-oriented application of predicting power output of an irregularly-arranged farm during continuous operation. In this application, model fidelity is improved through state and parameter estimation accounting for spanwise inflow inhomogeneities and turbulent fluctuations. The proposed approach thus provides a modeling paradigm with the flexibility to enable designers to trade-off between accuracy and computational speed for a wide range of wind farm design and control applications.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1635430
- NSF-PAR ID:
- 10204203
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Energies
- Volume:
- 12
- Issue:
- 15
- ISSN:
- 1996-1073
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 2956
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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null (Ed.)Abstract. Engineering wake models provide the invaluable advantage to predict wind turbine wakes, power capture, and, in turn, annual energy production for an entire wind farm with very low computational costs compared to higher-fidelity numerical tools. However, wake and power predictions obtained with engineering wake models can be insufficiently accurate for wind farm optimization problems due to the ad hoc tuning of the model parameters, which are typically strongly dependent on the characteristics of the site and power plant under investigation. In this paper, lidar measurements collected for individual turbine wakes evolving over a flat terrain are leveraged to perform optimal tuning of the parameters of four widely used engineering wake models. The average wake velocity fields, used as a reference for the optimization problem, are obtained through a cluster analysis of lidar measurements performed under a broad range of turbine operative conditions, namely rotor thrust coefficients, and incoming wind characteristics, namely turbulence intensity at hub height. The sensitivity analysis of the optimally tuned model parameters and the respective physical interpretation are presented. The performance of the optimally tuned engineering wake models is discussed, while the results suggest that the optimally tuned Bastankhah and Ainslie wake models provide very good predictions of wind turbine wakes. Specifically, the Bastankhah wake model should be tuned only for the far-wake region, namely where the wake velocity field can be well approximated with a Gaussian profile in the radial direction. In contrast, the Ainslie model provides the advantage of using as input an arbitrary near-wake velocity profile, which can be obtained through other wake models, higher-fidelity tools, or experimental data. The good prediction capabilities of the Ainslie model indicate that the mixing-length model is a simple yet efficient turbulence closure to capture effects of incoming wind and wake-generated turbulence on the wake downstream evolution and predictions of turbine power yield.more » « less
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Power tracking is an emerging application for wind farm control designs that allows farms to participate in a wider range of grid services, such as secondary frequency regulation. Control designs that enable large wind farms to follow a time-varying power trajectory are complicated by aerodynamic interactions that make it impossible to decouple upstream wind turbine control actions from downstream power production. This coupling is particularly important in applications where the reference trajectory is changing faster than, or at a similar rate as, the propagation of turbine wakes through the farm. In this work we overcome these difficulties by using a dynamic wake model that accounts for wake expansion, advection, and multi-wake interactions within a model-based receding horizon controller for coordinated control of a large multi-turbine wind farm. An ensemble Kalman filter is employed for state estimation and error correction at the turbine level. We implement the controller in high-fidelity numerical simulations of a wind farm with 84 turbines and then test the controlled farm's ability to track a power reference signal. The results demonstrate the ability of the control algorithm to track two types of power reference signals used by a US independent system operator.more » « less
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This paper is an extended version of our paper presented at the 2016 TORQUE conference (Shapiro et al., 2016). We investigate the use of wind farms to provide secondary frequency regulation for a power grid using a model-based receding horizon control framework. In order to enable real-time implementation, the control actions are computed based on a time-varying one-dimensional wake model. This model describes wake advection and wake interactions, both of which play an important role in wind farm power production. In order to test the control strategy, it is implemented in a large-eddy simulation (LES) model of an 84-turbine wind farm using the actuator disk turbine representation. Rotor-averaged velocity measurements at each turbine are used to provide feedback for error correction. The importance of including the dynamics of wake advection in the underlying wake model is tested by comparing the performance of this dynamic-model control approach to a comparable static-model control approach that relies on a modified Jensen model. We compare the performance of both control approaches using two types of regulation signals,more » « less
RegA
andRegD
, which are used by PJM, an independent system operator in the eastern United States. The poor performance of the static-model control relative to the dynamic-model control demonstrates that modeling the dynamics of wake advection is key to providing the proposed type of model-based coordinated control of large wind farms. We further explore the performance of the dynamic-model control via composite performance scores used by PJM to qualify plants for regulation services or markets. Our results demonstrate that the dynamic-model-controlled wind farm consistently performs well, passing the qualification threshold for all fast-acting RegD signals. For the RegA signal, which changes over slower timescales, the dynamic-model control leads to average performance that surpasses the qualification threshold, but further work is needed to enable this controlled wind farm to achieve qualifying performance for all regulation signals. -
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Abstract This paper presents a graph‐based dynamic yaw model to predict the dynamic response of the hub‐height velocities and the power of a wind farm to a change in yaw. The model builds on previous work where the turbines define the nodes of the graph and the edges represent the interactions between turbines. Advances associated with the dynamic yaw model include a novel analytical description of the deformation of wind turbine wakes under yaw to represent the velocity deficits and a more accurate representation of the interturbine travel time of wakes. The accuracy of the model is improved by coupling it with time‐ and space‐dependent estimates of the wind farm inflow based on real‐time data from the wind farm. The model is validated both statically and dynamically using large‐eddy simulations. An application of the model is presented that incorporates the model into an optimal control loop to control the farm power output.
- Free Publicly Accessible Full Text
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Accepted Manuscript1.0
- Journal Article:
- https://doi.org/10.3390/en12152956
