An official website of the United States government
Fluids influence fault zone strength and the occurrence of earthquakes, slow slip events, and aseismic slip. We introduce an earthquake sequence model with fault zone fluid transport, accounting for elastic, viscous, and plastic porosity evolution, with permeability having a power‐law dependence on porosity. Fluids, sourced at a constant rate below the seismogenic zone, ascend along the fault. While the modeling is done for a vertical strike‐slip fault with 2D antiplane shear deformation, the general behavior and processes are anticipated to apply also to subduction zones. The model produces large earthquakes in the seismogenic zone, whose recurrence interval is controlled in part by compaction‐driven pressurization and weakening. The model also produces a complex sequence of slow slip events (SSEs) beneath the seismogenic zone. The SSEs are initiated by compaction‐driven pressurization and weakening and stalled by dilatant suctions. Modeled SSE sequences include long‐term events lasting from a few months to years and very rapid short‐term events lasting for only a few days; slip is ∼1–10 cm. Despite ∼1–10 MPa pore pressure changes, porosity and permeability changes are small and hence fluid flux is relatively constant except in the immediate vicinity of slip fronts. This contrasts with alternative fault valving models that feature much larger changes in permeability from the evolution of pore connectivity. Our model demonstrates the important role that compaction and dilatancy have on fluid pressure and fault slip, with possible relevance to slow slip events in subduction zones and elsewhere.
more »
« less
Fault valving and pore pressure evolution in simulations of earthquake sequences and aseismic slip
Abstract Fault-zone fluids control effective normal stress and fault strength. While most earthquake models assume a fixed pore fluid pressure distribution, geologists have documented fault valving behavior, that is, cyclic changes in pressure and unsteady fluid migration along faults. Here we quantify fault valving through 2-D antiplane shear simulations of earthquake sequences on a strike-slip fault with rate-and-state friction, upward Darcy flow along a permeable fault zone, and permeability evolution. Fluid overpressure develops during the interseismic period, when healing/sealing reduces fault permeability, and is released after earthquakes enhance permeability. Coupling between fluid flow, permeability and pressure evolution, and slip produces fluid-driven aseismic slip near the base of the seismogenic zone and earthquake swarms within the seismogenic zone, as ascending fluids pressurize and weaken the fault. This model might explain observations of late interseismic fault unlocking, slow slip and creep transients, swarm seismicity, and rapid pressure/stress transmission in induced seismicity sequences.
more »
« less
- Award ID(s):
- 1947448
- PAR ID:
- 10218464
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Nature Communications
- Volume:
- 11
- Issue:
- 1
- ISSN:
- 2041-1723
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
More Like this
-
-
Abstract Geophysical and geological studies provide evidence for cyclic changes in fault‐zone pore fluid pressure that synchronize with or at least modulate slip events. A hypothesized explanation is fault valving arising from temporal changes in fault zone permeability. In our study, we investigate how the coupled dynamics of rate and state friction, along‐fault fluid flow, and permeability evolution can produce slow slip events. Permeability decreases with time, and increases with slip. Linear stability analysis shows that steady slip with constant fluid flow along the fault zone is unstable to perturbations, even for velocity‐strengthening friction with no state evolution, if the background flow is sufficiently high. We refer to this instability as the “fault valve instability.” The propagation speed of the fluid pressure and slip pulse, which scales with permeability enhancement, can be much higher than expected from linear pressure diffusion. Two‐dimensional simulations with spatially uniform properties show that the fault valve instability develops into slow slip events, in the form of aseismic slip pulses that propagate in the direction of fluid flow. We also perform earthquake sequence simulations on a megathrust fault, taking into account depth‐dependent frictional and hydrological properties. The simulations produce quasi‐periodic slow slip events from the fault valve instability below the seismogenic zone, in both velocity‐weakening and velocity‐strengthening regions, for a wide range of effective normal stresses. A separation of slow slip events from the seismogenic zone, which is observed in some subduction zones, is reproduced when assuming a fluid sink around the mantle wedge corner.more » « less
-
Abstract Megathrust geometric properties exhibit some of the strongest correlations with maximum earthquake magnitude in global surveys of large subduction zone earthquakes, but the mechanisms through which fault geometry influences subduction earthquake cycle dynamics remain unresolved. Here, we develop 39 models of sequences of earthquakes and aseismic slip (SEAS) on variably‐dipping planar and variably‐curved nonplanar megathrusts using the volumetric, high‐order accurate codetandemto account for fault curvature. We vary the dip, downdip curvature and width of the seismogenic zone to examine how slab geometry mechanically influences megathrust seismic cycles, including the size, variability, and interevent timing of earthquakes. Dip and curvature control characteristic slip styles primarily through their influence on seismogenic zone width: wider seismogenic zones allow shallowly‐dipping megathrusts to host larger earthquakes than steeply‐dipping ones. Under elevated pore pressure and less strongly velocity‐weakening friction, all modeled fault geometries host uniform periodic ruptures. In contrast, shallowly‐dipping and sharply‐curved megathrusts host multi‐period supercycles of slow‐to‐fast, small‐to‐large slip events under higher effective stresses and more strongly velocity‐weakening friction. We discuss how subduction zones' maximum earthquake magnitudes may be primarily controlled by the dip and dimensions of the seismogenic zone, while second‐order effects from structurally‐derived mechanical heterogeneity modulate the recurrence frequency and timing of these events. Our results suggest that enhanced co‐ and interseismic strength and stress variability along the megathrust, such as induced near areas of high or heterogeneous fault curvature, limits how frequently large ruptures occur and may explain curved faults' tendency to host more frequent, smaller earthquakes than flat faults.more » « less
-
Injection-induced seismicity and aseismic slip often involve the reactivation of long-dormant faults, which may have extremely low permeability prior to slip. In contrast, most previous models of fluid-driven aseismic slip have assumed linear pressure diffusion in a fault zone of constant permeability and porosity. Slip occurs within a frictional shear crack whose edge can either lag or lead pressure diffusion, depending on the dimensionless stress-injection parameter that quantifies the prestress and injection conditions. Here, we extend this foundational work by accounting for permeability enhancement and dilatancy, assumed to occur instantaneously upon the onset of slip. The fault zone ahead of the crack is assumed to be impermeable, so fluid flow and pressure diffusion are confined to the interior, slipped part of the crack. The confinement of flow increases the pressurization rate and reduction of fault strength, facilitating crack growth even for severely understressed faults. Suctions from dilatancy slow crack growth, preventing propagation beyond the hydraulic diffusion length. Our new two-dimensional and three-dimensional solutions can facilitate the interpretation of induced seismicity data sets. They are especially relevant for faults in initially low permeability formations, such as shale layers serving as caprock seals for geologic carbon storage, or for hydraulic stimulation of geothermal reservoirs. This article is part of the theme issue ‘Induced seismicity in coupled subsurface systems’.more » « less
-
The temporal variation of elastic property of the bulk material surrounding the fault is considered an important contribution to the observed co-seismic velocity reduction and interseismic healing. Paglialunga et al. [2021] found that as fault normal stress increases, co-seismic velocity reduction becomes larger because more cracks reopen with higher stress drops. Larger normal stress can lead to smaller nucleation size and contribute to larger co-seismic slip. By contrast, with larger co-seismic velocity reduction and interseismic healing, more slow slip events can propagate in the seismogenic zone [Thakur and Huang, 2021], because the temporal velocity change related to fault zone damage modulates earthquake nucleation. Hence, fault normal stress and temporal damage zone structure evolution have opposite influences on the spatial distribution and recurrence intervals of earthquakes. We conducted 2-D anti-plane fully-dynamic seismic cycle simulations and explored the effects of fault normal stress on seismic cycle when there is coseismic damage and interseismic healing in the fault damage zone. The normal stress is in a range of 40-70 MPa and the co-seismic rigidity reduction is in a range of 5-8%. We find larger normal stress results in larger co-seismic slip and fewer slow slip events, while more co-seismic velocity reduction and interseismic healing leads to more partial ruptures as well as slow slip events. With the increase of both normal stress and seismic velocity change, more regular earthquakes occur and slow slip events gradually disappear. For the selected parameter space, the influence of seismic velocity change is not as significant as the effect of normal stress. However, fault zone maturity or the initial rigidity of fault damage zones should also affect the competitive relationship between normal stress and seismic velocity change, and we will characterize earthquakes and slow-slip events in immature and mature fault damage zones when both on-fault normal stress and off-fault seismic velocity vary over earthquake cycles.more » « less
- Free Publicly Accessible Full Text
-
Accepted Manuscript
- Journal Article:
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-18598-z
