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1. Modeling long-term fire impact on ecosystem characteristics and surface energy using a process-based vegetation–fire model SSiB4/TRIFFID-Fire v1.0

   https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-6029-2020  

   Huang, Huilin; Xue, Yongkang; Li, Fang; Liu, Ye (January 2020, Geoscientific Model Development)

   null (Ed.)

   Abstract. Fire is one of the primary disturbances to the distribution and ecologicalproperties of the world's major biomes and can influence the surface fluxesand climate through vegetation–climate interactions. This study incorporatesa fire model of intermediate complexity to a biophysical model with dynamicvegetation, SSiB4/TRIFFID (The Simplified Simple Biosphere Model coupledwith the Top-down Representation of Interactive Foliage and Flora IncludingDynamics Model). This new model, SSiB4/TRIFFID-Fire, updating fire impact onthe terrestrial carbon cycle every 10 d, is then used to simulate theburned area during 1948–2014. The simulated global burned area in 2000–2014is 471.9 Mha yr−1, close to the estimate of 478.1 Mha yr−1 inGlobal Fire Emission Database v4s (GFED4s), with a spatial correlation of0.8. The SSiB4/TRIFFID-Fire reproduces temporal variations of the burnedarea at monthly to interannual scales. Specifically, it captures theobserved decline trend in northern African savanna fire and accuratelysimulates the fire seasonality in most major fire regions. The simulatedfire carbon emission is 2.19 Pg yr−1, slightly higher than the GFED4s(2.07 Pg yr−1). The SSiB4/TRIFFID-Fire is applied to assess the long-term fire impact onecosystem characteristics and surface energy budget by comparing model runswith and without fire (FIRE-ON minus FIRE-OFF). The FIRE-ON simulationreduces tree cover over 4.5 % of the global land surface, accompanied bya decrease in leaf area index and vegetation height by 0.10 m2 m−2and 1.24 m, respectively. The surface albedo and sensible heat are reducedthroughout the year, while latent heat flux decreases in the fire season butincreases in the rainy season. Fire results in an increase in surfacetemperature over most fire regions. 

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2. Siberian taiga and tundra fire regimes from 2001–2020

   https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac3f07  

   Talucci, Anna C.; Loranty, Michael M.; Alexander, Heather D. (January 2022, Environmental Research Letters)

   Abstract Circum-boreal and -tundra systems are crucial carbon pools that are experiencing amplified warming and are at risk of increasing wildfire activity. Changes in wildfire activity have broad implications for vegetation dynamics, underlying permafrost soils, and ultimately, carbon cycling. However, understanding wildfire effects on biophysical processes across eastern Siberian taiga and tundra remains challenging because of the lack of an easily accessible annual fire perimeter database and underestimation of area burned by MODIS satellite imagery. To better understand wildfire dynamics over the last 20 years in this region, we mapped area burned, generated a fire perimeter database, and characterized fire regimes across eight ecozones spanning 7.8 million km²of eastern Siberian taiga and tundra from ∼61–72.5° N and 100° E–176° W using long-term satellite data from Landsat, processed via Google Earth Engine. We generated composite images for the annual growing season (May–September), which allowed mitigation of missing data from snow-cover, cloud-cover, and the Landsat 7 scan line error. We used annual composites to calculate the difference Normalized Burn Ratio (dNBR) for each year. The annual dNBR images were converted to binary burned or unburned imagery that was used to vectorize fire perimeters. We mapped 22 091 fires burning 152 million hectares (Mha) over 20 years. Although 2003 was the largest fire year on record, 2020 was an exceptional fire year for four of the northeastern ecozones resulting in substantial increases in fire activity above the Arctic Circle. Increases in fire extent, severity, and frequency with continued climate warming will impact vegetation and permafrost dynamics with increased likelihood of irreversible permafrost thaw that leads to increased carbon release and/or conversion of forest to shrublands. 

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3. Simulating dynamic fire regime and vegetation change in a warming Siberia

   https://doi.org/10.1186/s42408-023-00188-1  

   Williams, Neil G.; Lucash, Melissa S.; Ouellette, Marc R.; Brussel, Thomas; Gustafson, Eric J.; Weiss, Shelby A.; Sturtevant, Brian R.; Schepaschenko, Dmitry G.; Shvidenko, Anatoly Z. (May 2023, Fire Ecology)

   Abstract BackgroundClimate change is expected to increase fire activity across the circumboreal zone, including central Siberia. However, few studies have quantitatively assessed potential changes in fire regime characteristics, or considered possible spatial variation in the magnitude of change. Moreover, while simulations indicate that changes in climate are likely to drive major shifts in Siberian vegetation, knowledge of future forest dynamics under the joint influence of changes in climate and fire regimes remains largely theoretical. We used the forest landscape model, LANDIS-II, with PnET-Succession and the BFOLDS fire extension to simulate changes in vegetation and fire regime characteristics under four alternative climate scenarios in three 10,000-km²study landscapes distributed across a large latitudinal gradient in lowland central Siberia. We evaluated vegetation change using the fire life history strategies adopted by forest tree species: fire resisters, fire avoiders, and fire endurers. ResultsAnnual burned area, the number of fires per year, fire size, and fire intensity all increased under climate change. The relative increase in fire activity was greatest in the northernmost study landscape, leading to a reduction in the difference in fire rotation period between study landscapes. Although the number of fires per year increased progressively with the magnitude of climate change, mean fire size peaked under mild or moderate climate warming in each of our study landscapes, suggesting that fuel limitations and past fire perimeters will feed back to reduce individual fire extent under extreme warming, relative to less extreme warming scenarios. In the Southern and Mid-taiga landscapes, we observed a major shift from fire resister-dominated forests to forests dominated by broadleaved deciduous fire endurers (BetulaandPopulusgenera) under moderate and extreme climate warming scenarios, likely associated with the substantial increase in fire activity. These changes were accompanied by a major decrease in average cohort age and total vegetation biomass across the simulation landscapes. ConclusionsOur results imply that climate change will greatly increase fire activity and reduce spatial heterogeneity in fire regime characteristics across central Siberia. Potential ecological consequences include a widespread shift toward forests dominated by broadleaved deciduous species that employ a fire endurer strategy to persist in an increasingly fire-prone environment. 

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4. Climate teleconnections synchronize Picea glauca masting and fire disturbance: Evidence for a fire‐related form of environmental prediction

   https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2745.13308  

   Ascoli, Davide; Hacket‐Pain, Andrew; LaMontagne, Jalene_M; Cardil, Adrián; Conedera, Marco; Maringer, Janet; Motta, Renzo; Pearse, Ian_S; Vacchiano, Giorgio; Bellingham, ed., Peter (November 2019, Journal of Ecology)

   Abstract Synchronous pulses of seed masting and natural disturbance have positive feedbacks on the reproduction of masting species in disturbance‐prone ecosystems. We test the hypotheses that disturbances and proximate causes of masting are correlated, and that their large‐scale synchrony is driven by similar climate teleconnection patterns at both inter‐annual and decadal time scales.Hypotheses were tested on white spruce (Picea glauca), a masting species which surprisingly persists in fire‐prone boreal forests while lacking clear fire adaptations. We built masting, drought and fire indices at regional (Alaska, Yukon, Alberta, Quebec) and sub‐continental scales (western North America) spanning the second half of the 20th century. Superposed Epoch Analysis tested the temporal associations between masting events, drought and burnt area at the regional scale. At the sub‐continental scale, Superposed Epoch Analysis tested whether El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and its coupled effects with the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) in the positive phase (AMO+/ENSO+) synchronize drought, burnt area and masting. We additionally tested the consistency of our synchronization hypotheses on a decadal temporal scale to verify whether long‐term oscillations in AMO+/ENSO+ are coherent to decadal variation in drought, burnt area and masting.Analyses demonstrated synchronicity between drought, fire and masting. In all regions the year before a mast event was drier and more fire‐prone than usual. During AMO+/ENSO+ events sub‐continental indices of drought and burnt area experienced significant departures from mean values. The same was observed for large‐scale masting in the subsequent year, confirming 1‐year lag between fire and masting. Sub‐continental indices of burnt area and masting showed in‐phase decadal fluctuations led by the AMO+/ENSO+. Results support the ‘Environmental prediction hypothesis’ for mast seeding.Synthesis. We provide evidence of large‐scale synchronicity between seed masting inPicea glaucaand fire regimes in boreal forests of western North America at both inter‐annual and decadal time scales. We conclude that seed production in white spruce predicts changes in disturbance regimes by sharing the same large‐scale climate drivers with drought and fire. This gives new insides in a mechanism providing a fire‐sensitive species with higher than expected adaptability to changes in climate. 

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5. Urban Fire Severity and Vegetation Dynamics in Southern California

   https://doi.org/10.3390/rs13010019  

   Mathews, Lauren E.; Kinoshita, Alicia M. (January 2021, Remote Sensing)

   null (Ed.)

   A combination of satellite image indices and in-field observations was used to investigate the impact of fuel conditions, fire behavior, and vegetation regrowth patterns, altered by invasive riparian vegetation. Satellite image metrics, differenced normalized burn severity (dNBR) and differenced normalized difference vegetation index (dNDVI), were approximated for non-native, riparian, or upland vegetation for traditional timeframes (0-, 1-, and 3-years) after eleven urban fires across a spectrum of invasive vegetation cover. Larger burn severity and loss of green canopy (NDVI) was detected for riparian areas compared to the uplands. The presence of invasive vegetation affected the distribution of burn severity and canopy loss detected within each fire. Fires with native vegetation cover had a higher severity and resulted in larger immediate loss of canopy than fires with substantial amounts of non-native vegetation. The lower burn severity observed 1–3 years after the fires with non-native vegetation suggests a rapid regrowth of non-native grasses, resulting in a smaller measured canopy loss relative to native vegetation immediately after fire. This observed fire pattern favors the life cycle and perpetuation of many opportunistic grasses within urban riparian areas. This research builds upon our current knowledge of wildfire recovery processes and highlights the unique challenges of remotely assessing vegetation biophysical status within urban Mediterranean riverine systems. 

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