skip to main content


Title: Estimating location parameters in sample-heterogeneous distributions
Abstract Estimating the mean of a probability distribution using i.i.d. samples is a classical problem in statistics, wherein finite-sample optimal estimators are sought under various distributional assumptions. In this paper, we consider the problem of mean estimation when independent samples are drawn from $d$-dimensional non-identical distributions possessing a common mean. When the distributions are radially symmetric and unimodal, we propose a novel estimator, which is a hybrid of the modal interval, shorth and median estimators and whose performance adapts to the level of heterogeneity in the data. We show that our estimator is near optimal when data are i.i.d. and when the fraction of ‘low-noise’ distributions is as small as $\varOmega \left (\frac{d \log n}{n}\right )$, where $n$ is the number of samples. We also derive minimax lower bounds on the expected error of any estimator that is agnostic to the scales of individual data points. Finally, we extend our theory to linear regression. In both the mean estimation and regression settings, we present computationally feasible versions of our estimators that run in time polynomial in the number of data points.  more » « less
Award ID(s):
1749857 1907786
NSF-PAR ID:
10289004
Author(s) / Creator(s):
; ;
Date Published:
Journal Name:
Information and Inference: A Journal of the IMA
ISSN:
2049-8772
Format(s):
Medium: X
Sponsoring Org:
National Science Foundation
More Like this
  1. In classical statistics, a well known paradigm consists in establishing asymptotic equivalence between an experiment of i.i.d. observations and a Gaussian shift experiment, with the aim of obtaining optimal estimators in the former complicated model from the latter simpler model. In particular, a statistical experiment consisting of n i.i.d. observations from d-dimensional multinomial distributions can be well approximated by an experiment consisting of d − 1 dimensional Gaussian distributions. In a quantum version of the result, it has been shown that a collection of n qudits (d-dimensional quantum states) of full rank can be well approximated by a quantum system containing a classical part, which is a d − 1 dimensional Gaussian distribution, and a quantum part containing an ensemble of d(d − 1)/2 shifted thermal states. In this paper, we obtain a generalization of this result when the qudits are not of full rank. We show that when the rank of the qudits is r, then the limiting experiment consists of an r − 1 dimensional Gaussian distribution and an ensemble of both shifted pure and shifted thermal states. For estimation purposes, we establish an asymptotic minimax result in the limiting Gaussian model. Analogous results are then obtained for estimation of a low rank qudit from an ensemble of identically prepared, independent quantum systems, using the local asymptotic equivalence result. We also consider the problem of estimation of a linear functional of the quantum state. We construct an estimator for the functional, analyze the risk and use quantum local asymptotic equivalence to show that our estimator is also optimal in the minimax sense. 
    more » « less
  2. We consider the problem of estimating the optimal transport map between two probability distributions, P and Q in Rd, on the basis of i.i.d. samples. All existing statistical analyses of this problem require the assumption that the transport map is Lipschitz, a strong requirement that, in particular, excludes any examples where the transport map is discontinuous. As a first step towards developing estimation procedures for discontinuous maps, we consider the important special case where the data distribution Q is a discrete measure supported on a finite number of points in Rd. We study a computationally efficient estimator initially proposed by Pooladian and Niles-Weed (2021), based on entropic optimal transport, and show in the semi-discrete setting that it converges at the minimax-optimal rate n−1/2, independent of dimension. Other standard map estimation techniques both lack finite-sample guarantees in this setting and provably suffer from the curse of dimensionality. We confirm these results in numerical experiments, and provide experiments for other settings, not covered by our theory, which indicate that the entropic estimator is a promising methodology for other discontinuous transport map estimation problems. 
    more » « less
  3. We present a fast, differentially private algorithm for high-dimensional covariance-aware mean estimation with nearly optimal sample complexity. Only exponential-time estimators were previously known to achieve this guarantee. Given n samples from a (sub-)Gaussian distribution with unknown mean μ and covariance Σ, our (ε,δ)-differentially private estimator produces μ~ such that ∥μ−μ~∥Σ≤α as long as n≳dα2+dlog1/δ√αε+dlog1/δε. The Mahalanobis error metric ∥μ−μ^∥Σ measures the distance between μ^ and μ relative to Σ; it characterizes the error of the sample mean. Our algorithm runs in time O~(ndω−1+nd/ε), where ω<2.38 is the matrix multiplication exponent. We adapt an exponential-time approach of Brown, Gaboardi, Smith, Ullman, and Zakynthinou (2021), giving efficient variants of stable mean and covariance estimation subroutines that also improve the sample complexity to the nearly optimal bound above. Our stable covariance estimator can be turned to private covariance estimation for unrestricted subgaussian distributions. With n≳d3/2 samples, our estimate is accurate in spectral norm. This is the first such algorithm using n=o(d2) samples, answering an open question posed by Alabi et al. (2022). With n≳d2 samples, our estimate is accurate in Frobenius norm. This leads to a fast, nearly optimal algorithm for private learning of unrestricted Gaussian distributions in TV distance. Duchi, Haque, and Kuditipudi (2023) obtained similar results independently and concurrently. 
    more » « less
  4. We present a fast, differentially private algorithm for high-dimensional covariance-aware mean estimation with nearly optimal sample complexity. Only exponential-time estimators were previously known to achieve this guarantee. Given n samples from a (sub-)Gaussian distribution with unknown mean μ and covariance Σ, our (ϵ,δ)-differentially private estimator produces μ~ such that ∥μ−μ~∥Σ≤α as long as n≳dα2+dlog1/δ√αϵ+dlog1/δϵ. The Mahalanobis error metric ∥μ−μ^∥Σ measures the distance between μ^ and μ relative to Σ; it characterizes the error of the sample mean. Our algorithm runs in time O~(ndω−1+nd/\eps), where ω<2.38 is the matrix multiplication exponent.We adapt an exponential-time approach of Brown, Gaboardi, Smith, Ullman, and Zakynthinou (2021), giving efficient variants of stable mean and covariance estimation subroutines that also improve the sample complexity to the nearly optimal bound above.Our stable covariance estimator can be turned to private covariance estimation for unrestricted subgaussian distributions. With n≳d3/2 samples, our estimate is accurate in spectral norm. This is the first such algorithm using n=o(d2) samples, answering an open question posed by Alabi et al. (2022). With n≳d2 samples, our estimate is accurate in Frobenius norm. This leads to a fast, nearly optimal algorithm for private learning of unrestricted Gaussian distributions in TV distance.Duchi, Haque, and Kuditipudi (2023) obtained similar results independently and concurrently. 
    more » « less
  5. Abstract We explore why many recently proposed robust estimation problems are efficiently solvable, even though the underlying optimization problems are non-convex. We study the loss landscape of these robust estimation problems, and identify the existence of ’generalized quasi-gradients’. Whenever these quasi-gradients exist, a large family of no-regret algorithms are guaranteed to approximate the global minimum; this includes the commonly used filtering algorithm. For robust mean estimation of distributions under bounded covariance, we show that any first-order stationary point of the associated optimization problem is an approximate global minimum if and only if the corruption level $\epsilon < 1/3$. Consequently, any optimization algorithm that approaches a stationary point yields an efficient robust estimator with breakdown point $1/3$. With carefully designed initialization and step size, we improve this to $1/2$, which is optimal. For other tasks, including linear regression and joint mean and covariance estimation, the loss landscape is more rugged: there are stationary points arbitrarily far from the global minimum. Nevertheless, we show that generalized quasi-gradients exist and construct efficient algorithms. These algorithms are simpler than previous ones in the literature, and for linear regression we improve the estimation error from $O(\sqrt{\epsilon })$ to the optimal rate of $O(\epsilon )$ for small $\epsilon $ assuming certified hypercontractivity. For mean estimation with near-identity covariance, we show that a simple gradient descent algorithm achieves breakdown point $1/3$ and iteration complexity $\tilde{O}(d/\epsilon ^2)$. 
    more » « less