An official website of the United States government
With approximately 800 million people globally living within 100 km of a volcano, it is essential that we build a reliable observation system capable of delivering early warnings to potentially impacted nearby populations. Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) and satellite Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) document comprehensive ground motions or ruptures near, and at, the Earth’s surface and may be used to detect and analyze natural hazard phenomena. These datasets may also be combined to improve the accuracy of deformation results. Here, we prepare a differential interferometric SAR (DInSAR) time series and integrate it with GNSS data to create a fused dataset with enhanced accuracy of 3D ground motions over Hawaii island from November 2015 to April 2021. We present a comparison of the raw datasets against the fused time series and give a detailed account of observed ground deformation leading to the May 2018 and December 2020 volcanic eruptions. Our results provide important new estimates of the spatial and temporal dynamics of the 2018 Kilauea volcanic eruption. The methodology presented here can be easily repeated over any region of interest where an SAR scene overlaps with GNSS data. The results will contribute to diverse geophysical studies, including but not limited to the classification of precursory movements leading to major eruptions and the advancement of early warning systems.
more »
« less
Improved Real-Time Natural Hazard Monitoring Using Automated DInSAR Time Series
As part of the collaborative GeoSciFramework project, we are establising a monitoring system for the Yellowstone volcanic area that integrates multiple geodetic and seismic data sets into an advanced cyber-infrastructure framework that will enable real-time streaming data analytics and machine learning and allow us to better characterize associated long- and short-term hazards. The goal is to continuously ingest both remote sensing (GNSS, DInSAR) and ground-based (seismic, thermal and gas observations, strainmeter, tiltmeter and gravity measurements) data and query and analyse them in near-real time. In this study, we focus on DInSAR data processing and the effects from using various atmospheric corrections and real-time orbits on the automated processing and results. We find that the atmospheric correction provided by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) is currently the most optimal for automated DInSAR processing and that the use of real-time orbits is sufficient for the early-warning application in question. We show analysis of atmospheric corrections and using real-time orbits in a test case over the Kilauea volcanic area in Hawaii. Finally, using these findings, we present results of displacement time series in the Yellowstone area between May 2018 and October 2019, which are in good agreement with GNSS data where available. These results will contribute to a baseline model that will be the basis of a future early-warning system that will be continuously updated with new DInSAR data acquisitions.
more »
« less
- Award ID(s):
- 1835566
- PAR ID:
- 10301256
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Remote Sensing
- Volume:
- 13
- Issue:
- 5
- ISSN:
- 2072-4292
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 867
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
More Like this
-
-
SUMMARY InSAR displacement time-series are emerging as a valuable product to study a number of Earth processes. One challenge to current time-series processing methods, however, is that when large earthquakes occur, they can leave sharp coseismic steps in the time-series. These discontinuities can cause current atmospheric correction and noise smoothing algorithms to break down, as these algorithms commonly assume that deformation is steady through time. Here, we aim to remedy this by exploring two methods for correcting earthquake offsets in InSAR time-series: a simple difference offset estimate (SDOE) process and a multiparameter offset estimate (MPOE) parametric time-series inversion technique. We apply these methods to a 2-yr time-series of Sentinel-1 interferograms spanning the 2019 Ridgecrest, CA earthquake sequence. Descending track results indicate that the SDOE method precisely corrects for only 20 per cent of the coseismic offsets at 62 study locations included in our scene and only partially corrects or sometimes overcorrects for the rest of our study sites. On the other hand, the MPOE estimate method successfully corrects the coseismic offset for the majority of sites in our analysis. This MPOE method allows us to produce InSAR time-series and data-derived estimates of deformation during each phase of the earthquake cycle. In order to better isolate and estimate the signal of post-seismic lithospheric deformation in the InSAR time-series, we apply a GNSS-based correction to our interferograms. This correction ties the interferograms to median-filtered weekly GNSS displacements and removes additional atmospheric artefacts. We present InSAR-based estimates of post-seismic deformation for the area around the Ridgecrest rupture, as well as a 2-yr coseismic-corrected, GNSS-corrected InSAR time-series data set. This GNSS-corrected InSAR time-series will enable future modelling of post-seismic processes such as afterslip in the near field of the rupture, poroelastic deformation at intermediate distances and viscoelastic deformation at longer timescales in the far field.more » « less
-
Colombia and Ecuador sit at one of the most diverse tectonic regimes in the world, located at the intersection of five tectonic plates (Bird, 2003) encompassing many geophysical hazard regimes, multiple subduction zones, and broad diffuse areas of significant deformation. Notably, the subduction of the Nazca plate under South America has produced at least seven large (Mw 7) and damaging earthquakes since 1900—the largest being the 1906 Mw 8.8 event. Both Colombia and Ecuador have made significant investments in Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) networks to study tectonic and volcanic deformation. Earthquake early warning (EEW) systems like the U.S.-operated ShakeAlert system (Murray et al., 2018, 2023) utilize real-time Global Navigation Satellite System (RT-GNSS) to rapidly characterize the largest, most damaging earthquakes in situations where seismic networks alone saturate (Melgar et al., 2015, 2016; Allen and Melgar, 2019; Ruhl et al., 2019). Both Colombia and Ecuador have large vulnerable populations proximal to the coast that may sustain significant damage in these large subduction events (Pulido et al., 2020) and yet farther enough away that an RT-GNSS EEW system could offer significant warning times to these populations and associated infrastructure. We examine the status of the Servicio Geológico Colombiano Geodesia: Red de Estudios de Deformación GNSS network in Colombia and the Escuela Politécnica Nacional GNSS network in Ecuador, their spatial distribution, and the current status of their data streams to determine what augmentations are required to support the real-time detection and modeling of large destructive earthquakes in and near Colombia and Ecuador.more » « less
-
Artificial intelligence applications within the geosciences are becoming increasingly common, yet there are still many challenges involved in adapting established techniques to geoscience data sets. Applications in the realm of volcanic hazards assessment show great promise for addressing such challenges. Here, we describe a Jupyter Notebook we developed that ingests real-time Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) data streams from the EarthCube CHORDS (Cloud-Hosted Real-time Data Services for the geosciences) portal TZVOLCANO, applies unsupervised learning algorithms to perform automated data quality control (“noise reduction”), and explores autonomous detection of unusual volcanic activity using a neural network. The TZVOLCANO CHORDS portal streams real-time GNSS positioning data in 1[Formula: see text]s intervals from the TZVOLCANO network, which monitors the active volcano Ol Doinyo Lengai in Tanzania, through UNAVCO’s real-time GNSS data services. UNAVCO’s real-time data services provide near-real-time positions processed by the Trimble Pivot system. The positioning data (latitude, longitude and height) are imported into the Jupyter Notebook presented in this paper in user-defined time spans. The positioning data are then collected in sets by the Jupyter Notebook and processed to extract a useful calculated variable in preparation for the machine learning algorithms, of which we choose the vector magnitude for further processing. Unsupervised K-means and Gaussian Mixture machine learning algorithms are then utilized to locate and remove data points (“filter”) that are likely caused by noise and unrelated to volcanic signals. We find that both the K-means and Gaussian Mixture machine learning algorithms perform well at identifying regions of high noise within tested GNSS data sets. The filtered data are then used to train an artificial intelligence neural network that predicts volcanic deformation. Our Jupyter Notebook has promise to be used for detecting potentially hazardous volcanic activity in the form of rapid vertical or horizontal displacement of the Earth’s surface.more » « less
-
Abstract Earthquake early warning (EEW) systems aim to forecast the shaking intensity rapidly after an earthquake occurs and send warnings to affected areas before the onset of strong shaking. The system relies on rapid and accurate estimation of earthquake source parameters. However, it is known that source estimation for large ruptures in real‐time is challenging, and it often leads to magnitude underestimation. In a previous study, we showed that machine learning, HR‐GNSS, and realistic rupture synthetics can be used to reliably predict earthquake magnitude. This model, called Machine‐Learning Assessed Rapid Geodetic Earthquake model (M‐LARGE), can rapidly forecast large earthquake magnitudes with an accuracy of 99%. Here, we expand M‐LARGE to predict centroid location and fault size, enabling the construction of the fault rupture extent for forecasting shaking intensity using existing ground motion models. We test our model in the Chilean Subduction Zone with thousands of simulated and five real large earthquakes. The result achieves an average warning time of 40.5 s for shaking intensity MMI4+, surpassing the 34 s obtained by a similar GNSS EEW model. Our approach addresses a critical gap in existing EEW systems for large earthquakes by demonstrating real‐time fault tracking feasibility without saturation issues. This capability leads to timely and accurate ground motion forecasts and can support other methods, enhancing the overall effectiveness of EEW systems. Additionally, the ability to predict source parameters for real Chilean earthquakes implies that synthetic data, governed by our understanding of earthquake scaling, is consistent with the actual rupture processes.more » « less
- Free Publicly Accessible Full Text
-
Accepted Manuscript1.0
- Journal Article:
- https://doi.org/10.3390/rs13050867
