skip to main content


Title: The generative capacity of probabilistic protein sequence models
Abstract

Potts models and variational autoencoders (VAEs) have recently gained popularity as generative protein sequence models (GPSMs) to explore fitness landscapes and predict mutation effects. Despite encouraging results, current model evaluation metrics leave unclear whether GPSMs faithfully reproduce the complex multi-residue mutational patterns observed in natural sequences due to epistasis. Here, we develop a set of sequence statistics to assess the “generative capacity” of three current GPSMs: the pairwise Potts Hamiltonian, the VAE, and the site-independent model. We show that the Potts model’s generative capacity is largest, as the higher-order mutational statistics generated by the model agree with those observed for natural sequences, while the VAE’s lies between the Potts and site-independent models. Importantly, our work provides a new framework for evaluating and interpreting GPSM accuracy which emphasizes the role of higher-order covariation and epistasis, with broader implications for probabilistic sequence models in general.

 
more » « less
Award ID(s):
1934848
NSF-PAR ID:
10308268
Author(s) / Creator(s):
; ; ; ; ; ;
Publisher / Repository:
Nature Publishing Group
Date Published:
Journal Name:
Nature Communications
Volume:
12
Issue:
1
ISSN:
2041-1723
Format(s):
Medium: X
Sponsoring Org:
National Science Foundation
More Like this
  1. Ribozymes are RNA molecules that catalyze biochemical reactions. Self-cleaving ribozymes are a common naturally occurring class of ribozymes that catalyze site-specific cleavage of their own phosphodiester backbone. In addition to their natural functions, self-cleaving ribozymes have been used to engineer control of gene expression because they can be designed to alter RNA processing and stability. However, the rational design of ribozyme activity remains challenging, and many ribozyme-based systems are engineered or improved by random mutagenesis and selection ( in vitro evolution). Improving a ribozyme-based system often requires several mutations to achieve the desired function, but extensive pairwise and higher-order epistasis prevent a simple prediction of the effect of multiple mutations that is needed for rational design. Recently, high-throughput sequencing-based approaches have produced data sets on the effects of numerous mutations in different ribozymes (RNA fitness landscapes). Here we used such high-throughput experimental data from variants of the CPEB3 self-cleaving ribozyme to train a predictive model through machine learning approaches. We trained models using either a random forest or long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network approach. We found that models trained on a comprehensive set of pairwise mutant data could predict active sequences at higher mutational distances, but the correlation between predicted and experimentally observed self-cleavage activity decreased with increasing mutational distance. Adding sequences with increasingly higher numbers of mutations to the training data improved the correlation at increasing mutational distances. Systematically reducing the size of the training data set suggests that a wide distribution of ribozyme activity may be the key to accurate predictions. Because the model predictions are based only on sequence and activity data, the results demonstrate that this machine learning approach allows readily obtainable experimental data to be used for RNA design efforts even for RNA molecules with unknown structures. The accurate prediction of RNA functions will enable a more comprehensive understanding of RNA fitness landscapes for studying evolution and for guiding RNA-based engineering efforts. 
    more » « less
  2. Gallicchio, Emilio (Ed.)
    The rapid evolution of HIV is constrained by interactions between mutations which affect viral fitness. In this work, we explore the role of epistasis in determining the mutational fitness landscape of HIV for multiple drug target proteins, including Protease, Reverse Transcriptase, and Integrase. Epistatic interactions between residues modulate the mutation patterns involved in drug resistance, with unambiguous signatures of epistasis best seen in the comparison of the Potts model predicted and experimental HIV sequence “prevalences” expressed as higher-order marginals (beyond triplets) of the sequence probability distribution. In contrast, experimental measures of fitness such as viral replicative capacities generally probe fitness effects of point mutations in a single background, providing weak evidence for epistasis in viral systems. The detectable effects of epistasis are obscured by higher evolutionary conservation at sites. While double mutant cycles in principle, provide one of the best ways to probe epistatic interactions experimentally without reference to a particular background, we show that the analysis is complicated by the small dynamic range of measurements. Overall, we show that global pairwise interaction Potts models are necessary for predicting the mutational landscape of viral proteins. 
    more » « less
  3. Abstract

    Variational autoencoders are unsupervised learning models with generative capabilities, when applied to protein data, they classify sequences by phylogeny and generate de novo sequences which preserve statistical properties of protein composition. While previous studies focus on clustering and generative features, here, we evaluate the underlying latent manifold in which sequence information is embedded. To investigate properties of the latent manifold, we utilize direct coupling analysis and a Potts Hamiltonian model to construct a latent generative landscape. We showcase how this landscape captures phylogenetic groupings, functional and fitness properties of several systems including Globins,β-lactamases, ion channels, and transcription factors. We provide support on how the landscape helps us understand the effects of sequence variability observed in experimental data and provides insights on directed and natural protein evolution. We propose that combining generative properties and functional predictive power of variational autoencoders and coevolutionary analysis could be beneficial in applications for protein engineering and design.

     
    more » « less
  4. Abstract

    Machine learning has been increasingly used for protein engineering. However, because the general sequence contexts they capture are not specific to the protein being engineered, the accuracy of existing machine learning algorithms is rather limited. Here, we report ECNet (evolutionary context-integrated neural network), a deep-learning algorithm that exploits evolutionary contexts to predict functional fitness for protein engineering. This algorithm integrates local evolutionary context from homologous sequences that explicitly model residue-residue epistasis for the protein of interest with the global evolutionary context that encodes rich semantic and structural features from the enormous protein sequence universe. As such, it enables accurate mapping from sequence to function and provides generalization from low-order mutants to higher-order mutants. We show that ECNet predicts the sequence-function relationship more accurately as compared to existing machine learning algorithms by using ~50 deep mutational scanning and random mutagenesis datasets. Moreover, we used ECNet to guide the engineering of TEM-1 β-lactamase and identified variants with improved ampicillin resistance with high success rates.

     
    more » « less
  5. Abstract

    With lowering costs of sequencing and genetic profiling techniques, genetic drivers can now be detected readily in tumors but current prognostic models for Natural‐killer/T cell lymphoma (NKTCL) have yet to fully leverage on them for prognosticating patients. Here, we used next‐generation sequencing to sequence 260 NKTCL tumors, and trained a genomic prognostic model (GPM) with the genomic mutations and survival data from this retrospective cohort of patients using LASSO Cox regression. The GPM is defined by the mutational status of 13 prognostic genes and is weakly correlated with the risk‐features in International Prognostic Index (IPI), Prognostic Index for Natural‐Killer cell lymphoma (PINK), and PINK‐Epstein–Barr virus (PINK‐E). Cox‐proportional hazard multivariate regression also showed that the new GPM is independent and significant for both progression‐free survival (PFS, HR: 3.73, 95% CI 2.07–6.73;p < .001) and overall survival (OS, HR: 5.23, 95% CI 2.57–10.65;p = .001) with known risk‐features of these indices. When we assign an additional risk‐score to samples, which are mutant for the GPM, the Harrell's C‐indices of GPM‐augmented IPI, PINK, and PINK‐E improved significantly (p < .001, χ2test) for both PFS and OS. Thus, we report on how genomic mutational information could steer toward better prognostication of NKTCL patients.

     
    more » « less