Abstract We study list price competition when firms can individually target consumer discounts (at a cost) afterwards, and we address recent privacy regulation (like the GDPR) allowing consumers to choose whether to opt-in to targeting. Targeted consumers receive poaching and retention discount offers. Equilibrium discount offers are in mixed strategies, but only two firms vie for each contested consumer and final profits on them are Bertrand-like. When targeting is unrestricted, firm list pricing resembles monopoly. For plausible demand conditions and if targeting costs are not too low, firms and consumers are worse off with unrestricted targeting than banning it. However, targeting induces higher (lower) list prices if demand is convex (concave), and either side of the market can benefit if list prices shift enough in its favour. Given the choice, consumers opt in only when expected discounts exceed privacy costs. Under empirically plausible conditions, opt-in choice makes all consumers better off.
more »
« less
Oligopolistic Price Leadership and Mergers: The United States Beer Industry
We study a repeated game of price leadership in which a firm proposes supermarkups over Bertrand prices to a coalition of rivals. Supermarkups and marginal costs are recoverable from data on prices and quantities using the model’s structure. In an application to the beer industry, we find that price leadership increases profit relative to Bertrand competition by 17 percent in fiscal years 2006 and 2007, and by 22 percent in 2010 and 2011, with the change mostly due to consolidation. We simulate two mergers, which relax binding incentive compatibility constraints and increase supermarkups. These coordinated effects arise even with efficiencies that offset price increases under Bertrand competition. (JEL G34, K21, L13, L14, L41, L66)
more »
« less
- PAR ID:
- 10311199
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- American Economic Review
- Volume:
- 111
- Issue:
- 10
- ISSN:
- 0002-8282
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
More Like this
-
-
null (Ed.)Motivated by their increasing prevalence, we study outcomes when competing sellers use machine learning algorithms to run real-time dynamic price experiments. These algorithms are often misspecified, ignoring the effect of factors outside their control, for example, competitors’ prices. We show that the long-run prices depend on the informational value (or signal-to-noise ratio) of price experiments: if low, the long-run prices are consistent with the static Nash equilibrium of the corresponding full information setting. However, if high, the long-run prices are supra-competitive—the full information joint monopoly outcome is possible. We show that this occurs via a novel channel: competitors’ algorithms’ prices end up running correlated experiments. Therefore, sellers’ misspecified models overestimate the own price sensitivity, resulting in higher prices. We discuss the implications on competition policy.more » « less
-
Energy storage can generate significant revenue by taking advantage of fluctuations in real-time energy market prices. In this paper, we investigate the real-time price arbitrage potential of aerodynamic energy storage in wind farms. This under-explored source of energy storage can be realized by deferring energy extraction by turbines toward the front of a farm for later extraction by downstream turbines. In large wind farms, this kinetic energy can be stored for minutes to tens of minutes, depending on the inter-turbine travel distance and the incoming wind speed. This storage mechanism requires minimal capital costs for implementation and potentially could provide additional revenue to wind farm operators. We demonstrate that the potential for revenue generation depends on the energy arbitrage (storage) efficiency and the wind travel time between turbines. We then characterize how price volatility and arbitrage efficiency affect real-time energy market revenue potential. Simulation results show that when price volatility is low, which is the historic norm, noticeably increased revenue is only achieved with high arbitrage efficiencies. However, as price volatility increases, which is expected in the future as the composition of the power system evolves, revenues increase by several percent.more » « less
-
null (Ed.)Internet users have suffered collateral damage in tussles over paid peering between large ISPs and large content providers. The issue will arise again when the FCC considers a new net neutrality order. In this paper, we model the effect of paid peering fees on broadband prices and consumer surplus. We first consider the effect of paid peering on broadband prices. ISPs assert that paid peering revenue is offset by lower broadband prices, and that ISP profits remain unchanged. Content providers assert that paid peering fees do not result in lower broadband prices, but simply increase ISP profits. We adopt a two-sided market model in which an ISP maximizes profit by setting broadband prices and a paid peering price. To separately evaluate the effect on consumers who utilize video streaming and on consumers who don’t, we model two broadband plans: a basic plan for consumers whose utility principally derives from email and web browsing, and a premium plan for consumers with significant incremental utility from video streaming. Our result shows that the claims of the ISPs and of the content providers are both incorrect. Paid peering fees reduce the premium plan price; however, the ISP passes on to its customers only a portion of the revenue from paid peering. We find that ISP profit increases but video streaming profit decreases as an ISP moves from settlement-free peering to paid peering price. We next consider the effect of paid peering on consumer surplus. ISPs assert that paid peering increases consumer surplus because it eliminates an inherent subsidy of consumers with high video streaming use by consumers without. Content providers assert that paid peering decreases consumer surplus because paid peering fees are passed onto consumers through higher video streaming prices and because there is no corresponding reduction in broadband prices. We simulate a regulated market in which a regulatory agency determines the maximum paid peering fee (if any) to maximize consumer surplus, an ISP sets its broadband prices to maximize profit, and a content provider sets its video streaming price. Simulation parameters are chosen to reflect typical broadband prices, video streaming prices, ISP rate of return, and content provider rate of return. We find that consumer surplus is a uni-modal function of the paid peering fee. The paid peering fee that maximizes consumer surplus depends on elasticities of demand for broadband and for video streaming. However, consumer surplus is maximized when paid peering fees are significantly lower than those that maximize ISP profit. However, it does not follow that settlement-free peering is always the policy that maximizes consumer surplus. The direct peering price depends critically on the incremental ISP cost per video streaming subscriber; at different costs, it can be negative, zero, or positive.more » « less
-
Debates over paid peering and usage fees have expanded from the United States to Europe and South Korea. ISPs argue that content providers should pay fees based on the amount of downstream traffic they generate. In contrast, content providers contend that customers already pay ISPs for delivering the content they request, and therefore that peering agreements should be settlement-free. The issue has arisen in debates in the United States, Europe, and South Korea over net neutrality, universal service, and infrastructure funding. Regulatory entities are considering whether to regulate peering prices and/or impose usage fees. A key part of the debate concerns whether the market determines the socially beneficial peering price, and if not, how much of a difference there is between the socially beneficial peering price and the market-determined peering price. Our objective here is to understand the range from a cost-based peering price to a profit-maximizing peering price. First, we determine an ISP’s cost for directly peering with a content provider, by analyzing the incremental cost for transporting the content provider’s traffic when it directly peers with the ISP versus when it sends its traffic through a transit provider. We find that this cost-based peering price is positive if there is little localization of content, but it is zero (i.e., settlement-free peering) if there is sufficient localization of content. We also find that the required amount of localization varies with the number of interconnection points. Next, we determine the peering price that maximizes an ISP’s profit using a two-sided market model in which a profit-maximizing ISP determines broadband prices and the peering price, and in which content providers determine their service prices based on the peering price. We find that the profit-maximizing peering price decreases with content localization. These prices establish a range if the peering price is unregulated, from the cost-based peering price (at the low end) to the profit-maximizing peering price (at the high end). Regulatory oversight of peering prices may be warranted when there is a substantial difference between cost-based and profit-maximizing prices.more » « less
An official website of the United States government

