Abstract In this article, we introduce a functional structural equation model for estimating directional relations from multivariate functional data. We decouple the estimation into two major steps: directional order determination and selection through sparse functional regression. We first propose a score function at the linear operator level, and show that its minimization can recover the true directional order when the relation between each function and its parental functions is nonlinear. We then develop a sparse functional additive regression, where both the response and the multivariate predictors are functions and the regression relation is additive and nonlinear. We also propose strategies to speed up the computation and scale up our method. In theory, we establish the consistencies of order determination, sparse functional additive regression, and directed acyclic graph estimation, while allowing both the dimension of the Karhunen–Loéve expansion coefficients and the number of random functions to diverge with the sample size. We illustrate the efficacy of our method through simulations, and an application to brain effective connectivity analysis.
more »
« less
Multivariate Functional Kernel Machine Regression and Sparse Functional Feature Selection
Motivated by mobile devices that record data at a high frequency, we propose a new methodological framework for analyzing a semi-parametric regression model that allow us to study a nonlinear relationship between a scalar response and multiple functional predictors in the presence of scalar covariates. Utilizing functional principal component analysis (FPCA) and the least-squares kernel machine method (LSKM), we are able to substantially extend the framework of semi-parametric regression models of scalar responses on scalar predictors by allowing multiple functional predictors to enter the nonlinear model. Regularization is established for feature selection in the setting of reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces. Our method performs simultaneously model fitting and variable selection on functional features. For the implementation, we propose an effective algorithm to solve related optimization problems in that iterations take place between both linear mixed-effects models and a variable selection method (e.g., sparse group lasso). We show algorithmic convergence results and theoretical guarantees for the proposed methodology. We illustrate its performance through simulation experiments and an analysis of accelerometer data.
more »
« less
- Award ID(s):
- 2113564
- PAR ID:
- 10328749
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Entropy
- Volume:
- 24
- Issue:
- 2
- ISSN:
- 1099-4300
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 203
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
More Like this
-
-
Functional data contains two components: shape (or amplitude) and phase. This paper focuses on a branch of functional data analysis (FDA), namely Shape-Based FDA, that isolates and focuses on shapes of functions. Specifically, this paper focuses on Scalar-on-Shape (ScoSh) regression models that incorporate the shapes of predictor functions and discard their phases. This aspect sets ScoSh models apart from the traditional Scalar-on-Function (ScoF) regression models that incorporate full predictor functions. ScoSh is motivated by object data analysis, {\it, e.g.}, for neuro-anatomical objects, where object morphologies are relevant and their parameterizations are arbitrary. ScoSh also differs from methods that arbitrarily pre-register data and uses it in subsequent analysis. In contrast, ScoSh models perform registration during regression, using the (non-parametric) Fisher-Rao inner product and nonlinear index functions to capture complex predictor-response relationships. This formulation results in novel concepts of {\it regression phase} and {\it regression mean} of functions. Regression phases are time-warpings of predictor functions that optimize prediction errors, and regression means are optimal regression coefficients. We demonstrate practical applications of the ScoSh model using extensive simulated and real-data examples, including predicting COVID outcomes when daily rate curves are predictors.more » « less
-
This article seeks to investigate the impact of aging on functional connectivity across different cognitive control scenarios, particularly emphasizing the identification of brain regions significantly associated with early aging. By conceptualizing functional connectivity within each cognitive control scenario as a graph, with brain regions as nodes, the statistical challenge revolves around devising a regression framework to predict a binary scalar outcome (aging or normal) using multiple graph predictors. Popular regression methods utilizing multiplex graph predictors often face limitations in effectively harnessing information within and across graph layers, leading to potentially less accurate inference and predictive accuracy, especially for smaller sample sizes. To address this challenge, we propose the Bayesian Multiplex Graph Classifier (BMGC). Accounting for multiplex graph topology, our method models edge coefficients at each graph layer using bilinear interactions between the latent effects associated with the two nodes connected by the edge. This approach also employs a variable selection framework on node-specific latent effects from all graph layers to identify influential nodes linked to observed outcomes. Crucially, the proposed framework is computationally efficient and quantifies the uncertainty in node identification, coefficient estimation, and binary outcome prediction. BMGC outperforms alternative methods in terms of the aforementioned metrics in simulation studies. An additional BMGC validation was completed using an fMRI study of brain networks in adults. The proposed BMGC technique identified that sensory motor brain network obeys certain lateral symmetries, whereas the default mode network exhibits significant brain asymmetries associated with early aging.more » « less
-
ABSTRACT In this paper, we propose Varying Effects Regression with Graph Estimation (VERGE), a novel Bayesian method for feature selection in regression. Our model has key aspects that allow it to leverage the complex structure of data sets arising from genomics or imaging studies. We distinguish between the predictors, which are the features utilized in the outcome prediction model, and the subject-level covariates, which modulate the effects of the predictors on the outcome. We construct a varying coefficients modeling framework where we infer a network among the predictor variables and utilize this network information to encourage the selection of related predictors. We employ variable selection spike-and-slab priors that enable the selection of both network-linked predictor variables and covariates that modify the predictor effects. We demonstrate through simulation studies that our method outperforms existing alternative methods in terms of both feature selection and predictive accuracy. We illustrate VERGE with an application to characterizing the influence of gut microbiome features on obesity, where we identify a set of microbial taxa and their ecological dependence relations. We allow subject-level covariates, including sex and dietary intake variables to modify the coefficients of the microbiome predictors, providing additional insight into the interplay between these factors.more » « less
-
Many causal and policy effects of interest are defined by linear functionals of high-dimensional or non-parametric regression functions. Root-n consistent and asymptotically normal estimation of the object of interest requires debiasing to reduce the effects of regularization and/or model selection on the object of interest. Debiasing is typically achieved by adding a correction term to the plug-in estimator of the functional, which leads to properties such as semi-parametric efficiency, double robustness, and Neyman orthogonality. We implement an automatic debiasing procedure based on automatically learning the Riesz representation of the linear functional using Neural Nets and Random Forests. Our method only relies on black-box evaluation oracle access to the linear functional and does not require knowledge of its analytic form. We propose a multitasking Neural Net debiasing method with stochastic gradient descent minimization of a combined Riesz representer and regression loss, while sharing representation layers for the two functions. We also propose a Random Forest method which learns a locally linear representation of the Riesz function. Even though our method applies to arbitrary functionals, we experimentally find that it performs well compared to the state of art neural net based algorithm of Shi et al. (2019) for the case of the average treatment effect functional. We also evaluate our method on the problem of estimating average marginal effects with continuous treatments, using semi-synthetic data of gasoline price changes on gasoline demand. Code available at github.com/victor5as/RieszLearning.more » « less
An official website of the United States government

