Abstract Comparisons of atmospheric retrievals can reveal powerful insights on the strengths and limitations of our data and modeling tools. In this paper, we examine a sample of five L dwarfs of similar effective temperature (Teff) or spectral type to compare their pressure–temperature (P-T) profiles. Additionally, we explore the impact of an object’s metallicity and the signal-to-noise ratio (S/N) of the observations on the parameters we can retrieve. We present the first atmospheric retrievals: 2MASS J15261405+2043414, 2MASS J05395200−0059019, 2MASS J15394189−0520428, and GD 165B increasing the small but growing number of L dwarfs retrieved. When compared to the atmospheric retrievals of SDSS J141624.08+134826.7, a low-metallicity d/sdL7 primary in a wide L+T binary, we find that similarTeffsources have similar P-T profiles with metallicity differences impacting the relative offset between their P-T profiles in the photosphere. We also find that for near-infrared spectra, when the S/N is ≳80 we are in a regime where model uncertainties dominate over data measurement uncertainties. As such, S/N does not play a role in the retrieval’s ability to distinguish between a cloud-free and cloudless model, but may impact the confidence of the retrieved parameters. Lastly, we also discuss how to break cloud model degeneracies and the impact of extraneous gases in a retrieval model. 
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                            Understanding the Effects of Systematics in Exoplanetary Atmospheric Retrievals
                        
                    
    
            Abstract Retrieval of exoplanetary atmospheric properties from their transmission spectra commonly assumes that the errors in the data are Gaussian and independent. However, non-Gaussian noise can occur due to instrumental or stellar systematics and the merging of discrete data sets. We investigate the effect of correlated noise and constrain the potential biases incurred in the retrieved posteriors. We simulate multiple noise instances of synthetic data and perform retrievals to obtain statistics of the goodness of retrieval for varying noise models. We find that correlated noise allows for overfitting the spectrum, thereby yielding a better goodness of fit on average but degrading the overall accuracy of retrievals. In particular, correlated noise can manifest as an apparent non-Rayleigh slope in the optical range, leading to an incorrect estimate of cloud/haze parameters. We also find that higher precision causes correlated results to be further off from the input values in terms of estimated errors. Finally, we show that while correlated noise cannot be reliably distinguished with Hubble Space Telescope observations, inferring its presence and strength may be possible with James Webb Space Telescope observations. As such, we emphasize that caution must be taken in analyzing retrieved posteriors and that estimated parameter uncertainties are best understood as lower limits. 
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                            - Award ID(s):
- 1931736
- PAR ID:
- 10332188
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- The Astronomical Journal
- Volume:
- 162
- Issue:
- 6
- ISSN:
- 0004-6256
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 237
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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