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1. Oceanographic Variability in the Rapidly Warming Coastal Mid-Atlantic (USA) over the last 200 years: Insights from Shell-Based Geochemistry and Growth Histories

   Sun, H. ; Wanamaker, A. ; Thatcher, D. ; Whitney, N. ; Jarosinski, L. ; Stewart, J. ; Williams, B. ; LaVigne, M. ( December 2022 , American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting)

   Warming in recent decades in the North Atlantic Ocean has been heterogeneous, with locations along the northwestern Atlantic experiencing some of the largest and fastest warming in the last 100 years. This region is important for fisheries but has limited spatial and temporal hydrographic instrumental series extending beyond the past decades, especially along the coastal United States portion of the northwestern Atlantic, thus impacting our understanding of past climatic variability. To provide a longer temporal context for these changes, we constructed a continuous master shell growth chronology spanning the last two centuries and provided geochemical records from the Mid-Atlantic region using the long-lived marine bivalve Arctica islandica. Shells were collected on the outer shelf region off Ocean City, Maryland, in ~ 60 m water depth. This region is sensitive to large-scale North Atlantic Ocean dynamics, including the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and Gulf Stream eddies. Based on growth histories and shell oxygen isotopes, we provide evidence of hydrographic variability beyond the relatively short instrumental period and evaluate the likely causes for these changes. These data allow us to better characterize recent and past oceanographic changes in the Mid-Atlantic region, synthesize the new results with previously developed paleo-records in the northwestern Atlantic, and provide guidance for the management of fisheries in this region. 

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2. Documenting Environmental and Oceanic Variability in the Down East Coastal Region of the Gulf of Maine using the long-lived bivalve Arctica islandica

   Walton, A. ; Griffin, S.M. ; Wanamaker, A.D. ; Jarosinski, L. ( April 2022 , PAGES Open Science Meeting)

   The Gulf of Maine (GoM) is currently undergoing rapid environmental and ecological changes and this system is projected to become increasingly stressed in the coming decades. Thus understanding past spatial and temporal conditions of this region is key to understanding how future environmental changes and extreme events may impact fisheries and ecosystem dynamics in the GoM. Changes in the physical and chemical variations in the shells of mollusks can be used as a powerful proxy for studying past climates and environments. In this study, we used the growth and geochemistry signatures in the long-lived marine bivalve Arctica islandica collected from the Down East coastal region in the Gulf of Maine (Jonesport, ME) to evaluate past climatic and hydrographic variability in the northwestern North Atlantic Ocean. The recent collection of shells extends a previously developed master shell growth chronology by 11 years and now spans from 1954 to 2020 CE. Based on visual crossdating techniques, shell growth variability is highly coherent among the population indicating that environmental conditions are driving growth. Variability in annually resolved shell growth increments and stable oxygen isotope values are largely related to sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and water mass properties of the Eastern Maine Coastal Current. This master shell growth chronology and annually-resolved isotope series will fill data gaps prior to instrumental records and allow us to better understand the spatial oceanographic variability in the GoM. 

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3. Combining shell-based isotope records with numerical model simulations to investigate the time of emergence of widespread warming of the western North Atlantic shelf

   Whitney, N.M. ; Wanamaker, A.D. ; Ummenhofer, C.C. ; Johnson, B. ; Cresswell-Clay, N. ; and Kreutz, K.J. ( October 2021 , American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, December 13-17, 2021, New Orleans, LA)

   Abstract The Gulf of Maine and surrounding western North Atlantic shelf are some of the fastest warming regions of the worlds oceans. The lack of long-term observational records from this area inhibits the ability to assess the timing and initial causes of this warming and consequently accurately predict future changes to this ecologically and economically important region. Here we present oxygen, nitrogen, and radiocarbon isotope data measured in Arctica islandica shells collected in the western North Atlantic to better understand the past temperature and ocean circulation variability of the region over the last 300 years. We combine these results with output from the Community Earth System Model Last Millennium Ensemble simulations to assess the temporal and spatial context of these isotope records. We find that the isotope records capture the end and reversal of a millennium-scale cooling trend in the Gulf of Maine. Last Millennium Ensemble single-forcing simulations indicate that this cooling trend appears to be largely driven by volcanic forcing. The nitrogen and radiocarbon records indicate that ocean circulation is in part driving the reconstructed hydrographic changes, pointing to a potential role of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in regulating Gulf of Maine temperatures as suggested by the Last Millennium Ensemble simulations. Both isotope and model results suggest that the Gulf of Maine began to warm in the late 19th century, ultimately driven by increased greenhouse gas forcing. Plain-language Summary The Gulf of Maine, located off of the Eastern Coast of the United States, has experienced significant temperature increases recently. Because the instrumental record only began in 1905, we do not have a good idea of when this warming began and what may have initially caused the warming. Here, we analyze the chemistry of clam shells, which have grown in the Gulf of Maine for hundreds of years, to infer past changes in ocean temperatures and water properties. We combine these results with output from a climate model to reveal that the temperatures reconstructed from the clams shells agree well with the model during the period of overlap. Both the chemical records and the model suggest the Gulf of Maine started warming in the late 1800s as a result of increased atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations. Before this warming began, the Gulf of Maine region appears to have been cooling. The model suggests that this cooling trend is likely due to the influence of volcanic eruptions. The chemical records from the clam shells also suggest that part of this cooling is likely related to changing ocean circulation patterns. 

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4. Development of the boron isotope pH proxy in Arctica islandica shells

   Wanamaker, A. ; Thatcher, D. ; Stewart, J. ; Williams, B. ; Franklin, H. ; Guay, K. ; Jellison, B. ; Whitney, N. ; McMahon, T. ; Jarosinski, L. ; et al ( May 2023 , International Sclerochronology Conference)

   Coastal systems can exhibit large variability in pH compared to open marine conditions, thus the impacts of ocean acidification (OA) on their resident calcifying organisms are potentially magnified. Further, our understanding of the natural baseline and variability of pH is spatially and temporally limited in coastal settings. In the few coastal locations that have been monitoring seawater pH, records are generally limited to <10 years and are thus unable to provide the full range of centennial to decadal natural variability. This is the case for the Gulf of Maine (northwestern Atlantic), a highly productive region of strategic importance to U.S. fisheries, that is facing multiple environmental stressors including rapid warming and threats from OA. Paleoceanographic proxy records are therefore much needed in this region to reconstruct past pH conditions beyond instrumental records. A clear candidate for this is the boron isotope (d11B) pH proxy provided the d11B sensitivity to pH in long-lived shallow water marine carbonates can be established. To this end, we grew juvenile and adult Arctica islandica (ocean quahog) in flowing seawater tanks for 20.5 weeks in controlled pH (7.4, 7.6, 7.8 or 8.0 (ambient) ± 0.02) and temperature (6, 9 or 12 ± 0.56 °C) conditions at Bowdoin College’s Schiller Coastal Studies Center, Harpswell, Maine (USA). The clams were stained twice with calcein and supplemented with food (Shellfish Diet) throughout the experiment to ensure suitable growth. New shell growth (average 67% increase in maximum shell height and 522% increase in buoyant weight across all treatments), constrained by calcein markings, were sampled for boron isotope analysis (d11B) to determine if shell d11B varied as a function of pH similar to many other calcifying organisms. The results of the culture experiment will yield whether or not Arctica islandica preserves seawater pH information in their shells. If so, the transfer function relating shell d11B to pH will be used to hindcast pH in the central coastal region of the Gulf of Maine during recent centuries. Alternatively, if the shell d11B signal is independent of ambient seawater pH, this may reveal the capacity of Arctica islandica to regulate internal calcifying fluid chemistry and their resilience to OA. 

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5. Evidence of coherent warming in the northwest Atlantic Ocean from Arctica islandica oxygen isotope records

   Thatcher, D. ; Whitney, N. ; Walton, A. ; Sun, H. ; Jarosinski, L. ; Wanamaker, A. ; LaVigne, M. ; Williams, B. ; Stewart, J. ( May 2023 , International Sclerochronology Conference)

   Parts of the northwest Atlantic Ocean, including the Gulf of Maine, along the northeastern coast of the United States, are warming at a rate as much as four times faster than the global ocean, according to instrumental and satellite records. In addition to the longer-term temperature increases, the frequency and severity of marine heat waves have been increasing. Combined, the ecological impacts are numerous and concerning, yet our understanding of past climate in this region is incomplete due to sparse and short-duration instrumental records. Here we present annually resolved oxygen isotope records from the marine bivalve, Arctica islandica, from five locations ranging from Jonesport and Seguin Island in the Gulf of Maine to Long Island, New York, Cape May, New Jersey, and Ocean City, Maryland in the Mid-Atlantic Bight, a span of over 870 km along the Atlantic coast. Several of the isotope records span the last 100 years or more and all records show coherent, substantial warming since at least 1980 CE. The level of warming indicated in the shell oxygen isotopes is comparable to the 0.5 °C per decade (1980-2020 CE) warming also shown in the instrumental record of sea surface temperature from Boothbay Harbor along the central coast in the Gulf of Maine. These five spatially distant isotope records span different oceanographic conditions and dynamics, including water mass sources, yet they all indicate a substantial warming in recent decades, likely related to increased anthropogenic warming. Beyond reconstructing seawater temperature prior to instrumental records, a major goal of this work is to disentangle the global warming signal from these records to better understand the underlying ocean dynamics also influencing these records. 

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