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Abstract The Gulf of Maine holds significant ecological and economic value for fisheries and communities in north-eastern North America. However, there is apprehension regarding its vulnerability to the effects of increasing atmospheric CO₂. Substantial recent warming and the inflow of low alkalinity waters into the Gulf of Maine have raised concerns about the impact of ocean acidification on resident marine calcifiers (e.g. oysters, clams, mussels). With limited seawater pH records, the natural variability and drivers of pH in this region remain unclear. To address this, we present coastal water pH proxy records using boron isotope (δ¹¹B) measurements in long-lived, annually banded, crustose coralline algae (1920–2018 CE). These records indicate seawater pH was low (~ 7.9) for much of the last century. Contrary to expectation, we also find that pH has increased (+ 0.2 pH units) over the past 40 years, despite concurrent rising atmospheric CO₂. This increase is attributed to an increased input of high alkalinity waters derived from the Gulf Stream. This delayed onset of ocean acidification is cause for concern. Once ocean circulation-driven buffering effects reach their limit, seawater pH decline may occur swiftly. This would profoundly harm shellfisheries and the broader Gulf of Maine ecosystem. 

Abstract Paleoceanographic proxy archives encode information about the marine environment, which can yield key insights into past climate variability. In particular, marine calcifiers' stable oxygen isotopic composition () tells us about seawater temperature and oxygen isotope composition. Here, we use a proxy system model (PSM) framework to systematically evaluate the drivers of skeletal/shell in three taxa of fast‐growing marine calcifiers (crustose coralline algae, bivalves, and sclerosponges) from disparate locations, including high latitudes and deeper waters. We evaluate the impact of the quality of environmental data, the recording season in which the calcifier might document the environmental variability, and the importance of uncertainties on the PSM. Whereas the overall PSM‐modeled captured the measured well at some locations, local environmental variability derived from a reanalysis product and chronological uncertainties limit the ability to effectively model at other locations. Using the PSM approach we highlight the complexity of interpreting as seawater temperature and oxygen isotope composition in these remote locations. 

Abstract The Gulf of Maine, located in the western North Atlantic, has undergone recent, rapid ocean warming but the lack of long-term, instrumental records hampers the ability to put these significant hydrographic changes into context. Here we present multiple 300-year long geochemical records (oxygen, nitrogen, and previously published radiocarbon isotopes) measured in absolutely-datedArctica islandicashells from the western Gulf of Maine. These records, in combination with climate model simulations, suggest that the Gulf of Maine underwent a long-term cooling over most of the last 1000 years, driven primarily by volcanic forcing and North Atlantic ocean dynamics. This cooling trend was reversed by warming beginning in the late 1800s, likely due to increased atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations and changes in western North Atlantic circulation. The climate model simulations suggest that the warming over the last century was more rapid than almost any other 100-year period in the last 1000 years in the region. 

Modern calcifying marine organisms face numerous environmental stressors, including overfishing, deoxygenation, increasing ocean temperatures, and ocean acidification (OA). Coastal marine settings are predicted to become warmer and more acidic in coming decades, heightening the risks of extreme events such as marine heat waves. Given these threats, it is important to understand the vulnerabilities of marine organisms that construct their shells from calcium carbonate, which are particularly susceptible to warming and decreasing pH levels. To investigate the response of four commercially relevant bivalve species to OA and differing temperatures, juvenileMercenaria mercenaria(hard shell clams), juvenileMya arenaria(soft shell clams), adult and juvenileArctica islandica(ocean quahog), and juvenilePlacopecten magellanicus(Atlantic sea scallops) were grown in varying pH and temperature conditions. Species were exposed to four controlled pH conditions (7.4, 7.6, 7.8, and ambient/8.0) and three controlled temperature conditions (6, 9, and 12°C) for 20.5 weeks and then shell growth and coloration were analyzed. This research marks the first direct comparison of these species’ biological responses to both temperature and OA conditions within the same experiment. The four species exhibited varying responses to temperature and OA conditions. Mortality rates were not significantly associated with pH or temperature conditions for any of the species studied. Growth (measured as change in maximum shell height) was observed to be higher in warmer tanks for all species and was not significantly impacted by pH. Two groups (juvenileM.arenariaand juvenileM.mercenaria) exhibited lightening in the color of their shells at lower pH levels at all temperatures, attributed to a loss of shell periostracum. The variable responses of the studied bivalve species, despite belonging to the same phylogenetic class and geographic region, highlights the need for further study into implications for health and management of bivalves in the face of variable stressors. 

Coastal systems can exhibit large variability in pH compared to open marine conditions, thus the impacts of ocean acidification (OA) on their resident calcifying organisms are potentially magnified. Further, our understanding of the natural baseline and variability of pH is spatially and temporally limited in coastal settings. In the few coastal locations that have been monitoring seawater pH, records are generally limited to <10 years and are thus unable to provide the full range of centennial to decadal natural variability. This is the case for the Gulf of Maine (northwestern Atlantic), a highly productive region of strategic importance to U.S. fisheries, that is facing multiple environmental stressors including rapid warming and threats from OA. Paleoceanographic proxy records are therefore much needed in this region to reconstruct past pH conditions beyond instrumental records. A clear candidate for this is the boron isotope (d11B) pH proxy provided the d11B sensitivity to pH in long-lived shallow water marine carbonates can be established. To this end, we grew juvenile and adult Arctica islandica (ocean quahog) in flowing seawater tanks for 20.5 weeks in controlled pH (7.4, 7.6, 7.8 or 8.0 (ambient) ± 0.02) and temperature (6, 9 or 12 ± 0.56 °C) conditions at Bowdoin College’s Schiller Coastal Studies Center, Harpswell, Maine (USA). The clams were stained twice with calcein and supplemented with food (Shellfish Diet) throughout the experiment to ensure suitable growth. New shell growth (average 67% increase in maximum shell height and 522% increase in buoyant weight across all treatments), constrained by calcein markings, were sampled for boron isotope analysis (d11B) to determine if shell d11B varied as a function of pH similar to many other calcifying organisms. The results of the culture experiment will yield whether or not Arctica islandica preserves seawater pH information in their shells. If so, the transfer function relating shell d11B to pH will be used to hindcast pH in the central coastal region of the Gulf of Maine during recent centuries. Alternatively, if the shell d11B signal is independent of ambient seawater pH, this may reveal the capacity of Arctica islandica to regulate internal calcifying fluid chemistry and their resilience to OA. 

Parts of the northwest Atlantic Ocean, including the Gulf of Maine, along the northeastern coast of the United States, are warming at a rate as much as four times faster than the global ocean, according to instrumental and satellite records. In addition to the longer-term temperature increases, the frequency and severity of marine heat waves have been increasing. Combined, the ecological impacts are numerous and concerning, yet our understanding of past climate in this region is incomplete due to sparse and short-duration instrumental records. Here we present annually resolved oxygen isotope records from the marine bivalve, Arctica islandica, from five locations ranging from Jonesport and Seguin Island in the Gulf of Maine to Long Island, New York, Cape May, New Jersey, and Ocean City, Maryland in the Mid-Atlantic Bight, a span of over 870 km along the Atlantic coast. Several of the isotope records span the last 100 years or more and all records show coherent, substantial warming since at least 1980 CE. The level of warming indicated in the shell oxygen isotopes is comparable to the 0.5 °C per decade (1980-2020 CE) warming also shown in the instrumental record of sea surface temperature from Boothbay Harbor along the central coast in the Gulf of Maine. These five spatially distant isotope records span different oceanographic conditions and dynamics, including water mass sources, yet they all indicate a substantial warming in recent decades, likely related to increased anthropogenic warming. Beyond reconstructing seawater temperature prior to instrumental records, a major goal of this work is to disentangle the global warming signal from these records to better understand the underlying ocean dynamics also influencing these records. 

The Gulf of Maine is a highly productive and economically important region in the northwestern Atlantic that has undergone rapid warming in recent decades and is susceptible to ocean acidification (OA). These stressors may have substantial impacts on local fisheries. Therefore, understanding the combined effects of warming and OA to commercially important shellfish is vital. To test responses to warming and OA, Mercenaria mercenaria (hard clam), Mya arenaria (soft-shell clam), Plactopectin magellanicus (sea scallop), and both juvenile and adult Arctica islandica (ocean quahog) were grown in flowing seawater tanks for 20.5 weeks in controlled pH (7.4, 7.6, 7.8 or 8.0 (ambient) ± 0.02) and temperature (6, 9 or 12 ± 0.56 °C) conditions at Bowdoin College’s Schiller Coastal Studies Center. The specimens’ diet was supplemented with high-quality food (Shellfish Diet) throughout the experiment. Temperature effects were a significant contributor in all shell growth metrics (maximum height, dry weight and buoyant weight) in all species except the height and dry weight of adult A. islandica. Additionally, pH effects were significant in the height of M. mercenaria and in the dry weight of juvenile A. islandica samples. Overall, mortality rates ranged from 1.5% in juvenile A. islandica to 24% in M. mercenaria, with results varying by species and treatment conditions. Additionally, differences in final shell condition were noted among the various treatments indicating that, although most of the organisms survived and grew, the elevated temperature and/or lower pH conditions might not have been ideal for thriving. Considering all results of growth and survival, the four species showed a differential response to the same warming and acidification conditions. As suggested by prior research, the availability of high-quality food may allow certain species to tolerate the future warming and/or OA conditions modeled in this experiment. Experimental results may reveal the species-specific resiliency of economically valuable shellfish to changing ocean conditions as well as guide future planning to safeguard regional ecosystems and fisheries. 

Warming in recent decades in the North Atlantic Ocean has been heterogeneous, with locations along the northwestern Atlantic experiencing some of the largest and fastest warming in the last 100 years. This region is important for fisheries but has limited spatial and temporal hydrographic instrumental series extending beyond the past decades, especially along the coastal United States portion of the northwestern Atlantic, thus impacting our understanding of past climatic variability. To provide a longer temporal context for these changes, we constructed a continuous master shell growth chronology spanning the last two centuries and provided geochemical records from the Mid-Atlantic region using the long-lived marine bivalve Arctica islandica. Shells were collected on the outer shelf region off Ocean City, Maryland, in ~ 60 m water depth. This region is sensitive to large-scale North Atlantic Ocean dynamics, including the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and Gulf Stream eddies. Based on growth histories and shell oxygen isotopes, we provide evidence of hydrographic variability beyond the relatively short instrumental period and evaluate the likely causes for these changes. These data allow us to better characterize recent and past oceanographic changes in the Mid-Atlantic region, synthesize the new results with previously developed paleo-records in the northwestern Atlantic, and provide guidance for the management of fisheries in this region. 

The Gulf of Maine (GoM) is currently undergoing rapid environmental and ecological changes and this system is projected to become increasingly stressed in the coming decades. Thus understanding past spatial and temporal conditions of this region is key to understanding how future environmental changes and extreme events may impact fisheries and ecosystem dynamics in the GoM. Changes in the physical and chemical variations in the shells of mollusks can be used as a powerful proxy for studying past climates and environments. In this study, we used the growth and geochemistry signatures in the long-lived marine bivalve Arctica islandica collected from the Down East coastal region in the Gulf of Maine (Jonesport, ME) to evaluate past climatic and hydrographic variability in the northwestern North Atlantic Ocean. The recent collection of shells extends a previously developed master shell growth chronology by 11 years and now spans from 1954 to 2020 CE. Based on visual crossdating techniques, shell growth variability is highly coherent among the population indicating that environmental conditions are driving growth. Variability in annually resolved shell growth increments and stable oxygen isotope values are largely related to sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and water mass properties of the Eastern Maine Coastal Current. This master shell growth chronology and annually-resolved isotope series will fill data gaps prior to instrumental records and allow us to better understand the spatial oceanographic variability in the GoM. 

Warming in the North Atlantic Ocean has been heterogeneous in recent decades, with locations along the eastern United States seaboard (northwestern Atlantic) seeing some of the largest and fastest warming in the last 100 years. In order to provide a longer temporal context for these changes, we are in the process of developing several master shell growth chronologies and associated geochemical records from theMid-Atlantic coast using the shells of the long-lived marine bivalve Arctica islandica. Based on the shell collection locations (shelf regions offOcean City, Maryland in ~ 61 m water depth and Long Island, New York in ~47 m water depth) and shell geochemistry measurements, we will be able to better ascertain hydrographic spatial and temporal variability of subtropical Atlantic water moving northward through time. These findings will be integrated with similar sclerochronology datasets previously published from the Gulf of Maine region and several others from theMid-Atlantic region that are currently being constructed. Collectively, this network of sclerochronology records will allow us to better characterize changes in the northwestern Atlantic and provide hydrographic insights beyond the relatively short instrumental record and evaluate potential dynamical forcings through time.