Reliable environmental context prediction is critical for wearable robots (e.g., prostheses and exoskeletons) to assist terrain-adaptive locomotion. This article proposed a novel vision-based context prediction framework for lower limb prostheses to simultaneously predict human's environmental context for multiple forecast windows. By leveraging the Bayesian neural networks (BNNs), our framework can quantify the uncertainty caused by different factors (e.g., observation noise, and insufficient or biased training) and produce a calibrated predicted probability for online decision-making. We compared two wearable camera locations (a pair of glasses and a lower limb device), independently and conjointly. We utilized the calibrated predicted probability for online decision-making and fusion. We demonstrated how to interpret deep neural networks with uncertainty measures and how to improve the algorithms based on the uncertainty analysis. The inference time of our framework on a portable embedded system was less than 80 ms/frame. The results in this study may lead to novel context recognition strategies in reliable decision-making, efficient sensor fusion, and improved intelligent system design in various applications.
Dangers of Bayesian Model Averaging under Covariate Shift
Approximate Bayesian inference for neural networks is considered a robust alternative to standard training, often providing good performance on out-of-distribution data. However, Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) with high-fidelity approximate inference via full-batch Hamiltonian Monte Carlo achieve poor generalization under covariate shift, even underperforming classical estimation. We explain this surprising result, showing how a Bayesian model average can in fact be problematic under covariate shift, particularly in cases where linear dependencies in the input features cause a lack of posterior contraction. We additionally show why the same issue does not affect many approximate inference procedures, or classical maximum a-posteriori (MAP) training. Finally, we propose novel priors that improve the robustness of BNNs to many sources of covariate shift.
- Award ID(s):
- 1922658
- Publication Date:
- NSF-PAR ID:
- 10341886
- Journal Name:
- Advances in neural information processing systems
- ISSN:
- 1049-5258
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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