More Like this

1. Engineering characteristics of ground motions recorded in the 2019 Ridgecrest Earthquake Sequence

   https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1785/0120200036  

   Ahdi, SK ; Mazzoni, S ; Kishida, T ; Wang, P ; Nweke, CC ; Kuehn, NM ; Contreras, V ; Rowshandel, B ; Stewart, JP ; Bozorgnia, Y ( July 2020 , Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America)

   null (Ed.)

   We present a database and analyze ground motions recorded during three events that occurred as part of the July 2019 Ridgecrest earthquake sequence: a moment magnitude (M) 6.5 foreshock on a left‐lateral cross fault in the Salt Wells Valley fault zone, an M 5.5 foreshock in the Paxton Ranch fault zone, and the M 7.1 mainshock, also occurring in the Paxton Ranch fault zone. We collected and uniformly processed 1483 three‐component recordings from an array of 824 sensors spanning 10 seismographic networks. We developed site metadata using available data and multiple models for the time‐averaged shear‐wave velocity in the upper 30 m (⁠VS30⁠) and for basin depth terms. We processed ground motions using Next Generation Attenuation (NGA) procedures and computed intensity measures including spectral acceleration at a number of oscillator periods and inelastic response spectra. We compared elastic and inelastic response spectra to seismic design spectra in building codes to evaluate the damage potential of the ground motions at spatially distributed sites. Residuals of the observed spectral accelerations relative to the NGA‐West2 ground‐motion models (GMMs) show good average agreement between observations and model predictions (event terms between about −0.3 and 0.5 for peak ground acceleration to 5 s). The average attenuation with distance is also well captured by the empirical NGA‐West2 GMMs, although azimuthal variations in attenuation were observed that are not captured by the GMMs. An analysis considering directivity and fault‐slip heterogeneity for the M 7.1 event demonstrates that the dispersion in the near‐source ground‐motion residuals can be reduced. 

   more » « less
2. Ground‐Motion Amplification in Cook Inlet Region, Alaska, from Intermediate‐Depth Earthquakes, Including the 2018 Mw 7.1 Anchorage Earthquake

   https://doi.org/10.1785/0220190179  

   Moschetti, Morgan P. ; Thompson, Eric M. ; Rekoske, John ; Hearne, Michael G. ; Powers, Peter M. ; McNamara, Daniel E. ; Tape, Carl ( November 2019 , Seismological Research Letters)

   null (Ed.)

   Abstract We measure pseudospectral and peak ground motions from 44 intermediate‐depth Mw≥4.9 earthquakes in the Cook Inlet region of southern Alaska, including those from the 2018 Mw 7.1 earthquake near Anchorage, to identify regional amplification features (0.1–5  s period). Ground‐motion residuals are computed with respect to an empirical ground‐motion model for intraslab subduction earthquakes, and we compute bias, between‐, and within‐event terms through a linear mixed‐effects regression. Between‐event residuals are analyzed to assess the relative source characteristics of the Cook Inlet earthquakes and suggest a difference in the scaling of the source with depth, relative to global observations. The within‐event residuals are analyzed to investigate regional amplification, and various spatial patterns manifest, including correlations of amplification with depth of the Cook Inlet basin and varying amplifications east and west of the center of the basin. Three earthquake clusters are analyzed separately and indicate spatial amplification patterns that depend on source location and exhibit variations in the depth scaling of long‐period basin amplification. The observations inform future seismic hazard modeling efforts in the Cook Inlet region. More broadly, they suggest a greater complexity of basin and regional amplification than is currently used in seismic hazard analyses. 

   more » « less
3. Simulation of 0–7.5 Hz physics-based nonlinear ground motions for maximum credible earthquake scenarios at the Long Valley Dam, CA

   https://doi.org/10.1177/87552930231226135  

   Yeh, Te-Yang ; Olsen, Kim Bak ( February 2024 , Earthquake Spectra)

   We have conducted three-dimensional (3D) 0–7.5 Hz physics-based wave propagation simulations to model the seismic response of the Long Valley Dam (LVD), which has formed Lake Crowley in Central California, to estimate peak ground motions and settlement of the dam expected during maximum credible earthquake (MCE) scenarios on the nearby Hilton Creek Fault (HCF). We calibrated the velocity structure, anelastic attenuation model, and the overall elastic properties of the dam via linear simulations of a M_w3.7 event as well as the M_w6.2 Chalfant Valley earthquake of 1986, constrained by observed ground motions on and nearby the LVD. The Statewide California Earthquake Center (SCEC) Community Velocity Model CVM-S4.26.M01 superimposed with a geotechnical layer using [Formula: see text] information tapered from the surface to a 700-m depth was used in the simulations. We found optimal fit of simulated and observed ground motions at the LVD using frequency-independent attenuation of [Formula: see text] ([Formula: see text] in m/s). Using the calibrated model, we simulated 3D nonlinear ground motions at the LVD for M_w6.6 rupture scenarios on the HCF using an Iwan-type, multi-yield-surface technique. We use a two-step method where the computationally expensive nonlinear calculations were carried out in a small domain with the plane wave excitation along the bottom boundary obtained from a full-domain 3D linear finite-fault simulation. Our nonlinear MCE simulation results show that peak ground velocities (PGVs) and peak ground accelerations (PGAs) as high as 72 cm/s and 0.55 g, respectively, can be expected at the crest of the LVD. Compared with linear ground motion simulation results, our results show that Iwan nonlinear damping reduces PGAs on the dam crest by up to a factor of 8 and increasingly depletes the high-frequency content of the waves toward the dam crest. We find horizontal relative displacements of the material inside the dam of up to [Formula: see text] and up to [Formula: see text] of vertical subsidence, equivalent to 1% of the dam height.

    

   more » « less
4. Topographic Response to Simulated Mw 6.5–7.0 Earthquakes on the Seattle Fault

   https://doi.org/10.1785/0120210269  

   Stone, Ian ; Wirth, Erin A. ; Frankel, Arthur D. ( May 2022 , Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America)

   ABSTRACT We explore the response of ground motions to topography during large crustal fault earthquakes by simulating several magnitude 6.5–7.0 rupture scenarios on the Seattle fault, Washington State. Kinematic simulations are run using a 3D spectral element code and a detailed seismic velocity model for the Puget Sound region. This model includes realistic surface topography and a near-surface low-velocity layer; a mesh spacing of ∼30 m at the surface allows modeling of ground motions up to 3 Hz. We simulate 20 earthquake scenarios using different slip distributions and hypocenter locations on a planar fault surface. Results indicate that average ground motions in simulations with and without topography are similar. However, shaking amplification is common at topographic highs, and more than a quarter of all sites experience short-period (≤2 s) ground-motion amplification greater than 25%–35%, compared with models without topography. Comparisons of peak ground velocity at the top and bottom of topographic features demonstrate that amplification is sensitive to period, with the greatest amplifications typically manifesting near a topographic feature’s estimated resonance frequency and along azimuths perpendicular to its primary axis of elongation. However, interevent variability in topographic response can be significant, particularly at shorter periods (<1 s). We do not observe a clear relationship between source centroid-to-site azimuths and the strength of topographic amplification. Overall, our results suggest that although topographic resonance does influence the average ground motions, other processes (e.g., localized focusing and scattering) also play a significant role in determining topographic response. However, the amount of consistent, significant amplification due to topography suggests that topographic effects should likely be considered in some capacity during seismic hazard studies. 

   more » « less
5. Estimating economic losses of midrise reinforced concrete shear wall buildings in sedimentary basins by combining empirical and simulated seismic hazard characterizations

   https://doi.org/10.1002/eqe.3325  

   Kourehpaz, Pouria ; Molina Hutt, Carlos ; Marafi, Nasser A. ; Berman, Jeffrey W. ; Eberhard, Marc O. ( August 2020 , Earthquake Engineering & Structural Dynamics)

   Studies of recorded ground motions and simulations have shown that deep sedimentary basins can greatly increase the intensity of earthquake ground motions within a period range of approximately 1–4 s, but the economic impacts of basin effects are uncertain. This paper estimates key economic indicators of seismic performance, expressed in terms of earthquake‐induced repair costs, using empirical and simulated seismic hazard characterizations that account for the effects of basins. The methodology used is general, but the estimates are made for a series of eight‐ to 24‐story residential reinforced concrete shear wall archetype buildings in Seattle, WA, whose design neglects basin effects. All buildings are designed to comply with code‐minimum requirements (i.e., reference archetypes), as well as a series of design enhancements, which include (a) increasing design forces, (b) decreasing drift limits, and (c) a combination of these strategies. As an additional reference point, a performance‐based design is also assessed. The performance of the archetype buildings is evaluated for the seismic hazard level in Seattle according to the 2018 National Seismic Hazard Model (2018 NSHM), which explicitly considers basin effects. Inclusion of basin effects results in an average threefold increase in annualized losses for all archetypes. Incorporating physics‐based ground motion simulations to represent the large‐magnitude Cascadia subduction interface earthquake contribution to the hazard results in a further increase of 22% relative to the 2018 NSHM. The most effective of the design strategies considered combines a 25% increase in strength with a reduction in drift limits to 1.5%.

    

   more » « less