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Recent seismic and geodetic observations indicate that interseismic creep rate varies in both time and space. The spatial extent of creep pinpoints locked asperities, while its temporary accelerations, known as slow-slip events, may trigger earthquakes. Although the conditions promoting fault creep are well-studied, the mechanisms for initiating episodic slow-slip events are enigmatic. Here we investigate surface deformation measured by radar interferometry along the central San Andreas Fault between 2003 and 2010 to constrain the temporal evolution of creep. We show that slow-slip events are ensembles of localized creep bursts that aseismically rupture isolated fault compartments. Using a rate-and-state friction model, we show that effective normal stress is temporally variable on the fault, and support this using seismic observations. We propose that compaction-driven elevated pore fluid pressure in the hydraulically isolated fault zone and subsequent frictional dilation cause the observed slow-slip episodes. We further suggest that the 2004 Mw 6 Parkfield earthquake might have been triggered by a slow-slip event, which increased the Coulomb failure stress by up to 0.45 bar per year. This implies that while creeping segments are suggested to act as seismic rupture barriers, slow-slip events on these zones might promote seismicity on adjacent locked segments.
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The Role of Along‐Fault Dilatancy in Fault Slip Behavior
Abstract Earthquakes result from fast slip that occurs along a fault surface. Interestingly, numerous dense geodetic observations over the last two decades indicate that such dynamic slip may start by a gradual unlocking of the fault surface and related progressive slip acceleration. This first slow stage is of great interest, because it could define an early indicator of a devastating earthquake. However, not all slow slip turns into fast slip, and sometimes it may simply stop. In this study, we use a numerical model based on the discrete element method to simulate crustal strike‐slip faults of 50 km length that generate a wide variety of slip‐modes, from stable‐slip, to slow earthquakes, to fast earthquakes, all of which show similar characteristics to natural cases. The main goal of this work is to understand the conditions that allow slow events to turn into earthquakes, in contrast to those that cause slow earthquakes to stop. Our results suggest that fault surface geometry and related dilation/contraction patterns along strike play a key role. Slow earthquakes that initiate in large dilated regions bounded by neutral or low contracted domains, might turn into earthquakes. Slow events occurring in regions dominated by closely spaced, alternating, small magnitude dilational and contractional zones tend not to accelerate and may simply stop as isolated slow earthquakes.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1723249
- PAR ID:
- 10372287
- Publisher / Repository:
- DOI PREFIX: 10.1029
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth
- Volume:
- 126
- Issue:
- 11
- ISSN:
- 2169-9313
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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